btcreview

The first cryptocurrency has fallen below $80,000 for the first time since April 2025. The drop was triggered by forced liquidations totaling $2.55 billion, noted Wintermute analysts.
Experts called this event the tenth largest liquidation volume in the industry's history. Major sell-offs occurred over the low liquidity weekend. The market reacted to the news with a delay, 'digesting the accumulated negativity over the week.'

The price of Bitcoin during trading fell below the psychological support level of $80,000. The asset updated a nine-month low, losing support at the True Market Mean level ($80,500).
The technical breakout caused a large-scale reduction in the share of borrowed funds in the market. Over the past day, the volume of liquidations of traders' positions amounted to $2.58 billion. This is evidenced by data from analytical platforms.

On the evening of January 31, $BTC it fell below $80,000. Over the course of a day, the coin lost about 7%.

Bitcoin recorded a local bottom just above $75,000 — such values have not been observed since April 2025. At the time of writing, the asset has recovered and is trading near $78,000.
The fall coincided with the end of January: thus, the monthly chart of digital gold closed with a red candle for the third time in a row.

Against the backdrop of weakness $BTC at the end of the week, many participants in the crypto community shared negative forecasts. In their opinion, too much indicates the risks of further declines in bitcoin.
1. The global liquidity cycle is approaching a reversal
The cryptocurrency market is tightly linked to the influx of global money. Research by CrossBorder Capital shows that it is liquidity, not halving, that has been the main driver of price movement in recent years. This factor is highlighted by George Noble, who previously managed the Fidelity Overseas Fund.

On January 29 $BTC it sharply dropped from $88,000 to $85,000, losing about 3.5%. The decline followed a drop in the price of gold.

Shortly before the correction, the precious metal reached another historical maximum at $5600 per ounce. At the time of writing, the asset is trading around $5100.

The stock market is also showing a decline: the S&P 500 index fell by 1.36% in a day, while NASDAQ dropped by 1.8%.

According to Peterson, February is traditionally one of the most favorable months for Bitcoin — during these days the growth of the first cryptocurrency is sometimes more stable than in October.
In the second half of February, companies publish annual reports and updated forecasts, which are most often positive in nature. Against this background, investors begin to actively seek returns and show greater interest in risky assets, including Bitcoin. As a result, part of the capital flows into the crypto market, the economist said.

Bitcoin is facing increasing pressure from sellers at the end of January 2026. $2.24 billion outflow from stablecoins, the minimum Coinbase Premium, and a sharp drop in hash rate due to a powerful ice storm in the USA have weakened BTC.
A combination of factors inspired one of the most respected traders in the market, Peter Brandt, to make a forecast. He believes that $BTC could fall below $70,000 if the overall market sentiment does not change.

The crypto market is sending mixed signals again — altcoins are printing double-digit gains, while the giants — Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana — are barely moving.


At first glance, it looks like the leaders have lost momentum. But dig deeper, and the story is more about liquidity dynamics than weakness.



⚖️ 1️⃣ The Weight of Giants


Large-cap coins are heavy by nature.

To move $BTC, $ETH, or $SOL by 10–15%, the market needs billions in fresh inflows.


When liquidity returns after a correction, capital prefers “lighter” stories — mid-cap and small-cap tokens where the same money can create a more explosive chart.


It’s not that the big three are broken — they’re just too large to dance to the same beat as alts. Traders chase visible momentum, and right now, the smaller caps are where that momentum lives.



💰 2️⃣ Profit-Taking and Risk Rebalancing


Institutional and large retail players often use blue chips as hedges and collateral. After a market drawdown, these positions are the first to be adjusted.


When $BTC or $ETH attempt to rally, profit-taking kicks in fast — not out of fear, but out of discipline.

Meanwhile, many altcoins have already lost 60–70% of their value, leaving less overhead supply.


That gives them more room to bounce sharply — even on small inflows — while top coins face waves of controlled selling from cautious investors.



🔄 3️⃣ Narrative Rotation


Markets run on stories, not just liquidity.

After months of dominance by the majors, attention inevitably shifts to fresh narratives — AI, memes, modular chains, and new Layer-1 networks.


These smaller ecosystems promise higher short-term excitement, while BTC and ETH become the silent backbone — used for settlement, collateral, and stability, but not for spectacle.


This is not decay — it’s rotation.



📉 4️⃣ Does the Market Lack Liquidity?


Partially, yes.

Fresh capital inflows are limited — especially after recent liquidations and macro uncertainty. The market must choose where to deploy what little liquidity exists.


Right now, traders prefer focused bets over broad rallies. This makes altcoin moves look spectacular while the big caps grind sideways.


But there’s a silver lining: liquidity concentration reveals what’s actually attracting belief. The projects sustaining volume through this phase are likely to survive the next contraction.



🧭 Final Outlook


Weak growth in $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL is not a verdict — it’s a snapshot of where we are in the market cycle.


The majors are acting as liquidity donors, absorbing risk and providing structure, while altcoins take center stage in short-lived bursts of volatility.


Once real liquidity returns — through new money, ETF inflows, or macro easing — the rotation will reverse, and the flagships will reclaim momentum.


Until then, this is a market of sharp bursts and silent foundations.



#BTCReview #ETHOutlook #SOLAnalysis #AltcoinRotation #CryptoMarketWatch


Disclaimer: Includes third-party opinions. Not financial advice. For educational and informational purposes only. Always conduct your own research before trading or investing.

Bitcoin fell again to the $91,000 zone on Tuesday, after a failed attempt to recover above $94,000 earlier in the day.
Fresh data shows that despite improvements in key demand indicators, strong selling pressure remains near a critical resistance level.
Bitcoin under pressure
The pullback occurred after an unsuccessful attempt to break above the $94,000–$95,000 range — order book data revealed nearly $100 million in sell orders concentrated at major exchanges within this corridor.

BlackRock's statement that spot bitcoin ETFs have become one of the key drivers of its revenue effectively underscores a shift in focus in the business model of the world's largest asset manager. This is not just about launching a new line of products, but about how crypto instruments are beginning to make a significant contribution to the overall stream of commission revenue for the company, competing in importance with traditional areas — classic index funds, bond strategies, and solutions for institutional clients.

The risk-return ratio $BTC has become the most attractive since mid-2023. This is evidenced by data from CryptoQuant.

The Sharpe ratio has fallen into negative territory for the first time since June of last year. An analyst under the nickname MorenoDV noted that a similar market structure was observed in 2019, 2020, and 2022. During those periods, the indicator remained at low levels for an extended time before the formation of multi-month upward trends.

There will be no serious crash of Bitcoin — at least, that's what macroeconomist Lyn Alden believes. While everyone panics over the decline

from $126,000 to $80,000, the expert calmly explains why the 'big capitulation' is not a threat to us.
Lyn Alden talked about euphoric levels when the cryptocurrency price rises for an extended period, and traders believe that it will always be this way, buying coins en masse at their peak value. This frenzy inevitably ends with a sharp market crash. Alden explained that in this market cycle, Bitcoin did not reach euphoric levels, so there is no reason to expect serious capitulation from traders.

The fixation of a net outflow of funds from spot Bitcoin ETFs amounting to approximately $3.46 billion at the end of November indicates a noticeable cooling of demand from institutional and retail investors using these instruments for exposure to BTC. In academic discourse, such dynamics are interpreted as a change in the balance of flows: the dominance of redemption requests for fund shares over new subscriptions reflects either profit-taking after previous periods of growth or an increased tendency to reduce risk amid heightened volatility and uncertainty in the cryptocurrency market.

It cost $BTC to abruptly leave the highs, as the charts of companies with large BTC reserves turned into a textbook on what 'paper profit' is. What just recently looked like hundreds of millions in profit on the balance sheet, within a few weeks of downturns turns into hundreds of millions of unrealized losses. And the market instantly changes its optics: companies that were recently praised for their 'bold strategy of digital gold on the balance sheet' begin to be portrayed as potential bankrupts. But essentially, we see not magic, but ordinary mathematics: when the value of a key asset on the treasury account is tied to a volatile market, reporting turns into a cardiogram of the bitcoin price.

Arthur Hayes has once again rolled out his signature "20-page essay, but the essence can be summarized in two sentences."
Let me explain it to you in simple terms:
$BTC lives on dollar liquidity. Not on memes, not on ETFs, not on short sellers — it's about whether the USA is printing money or not.
Hayes commented on the statements:

The price of Bitcoin ($BTC ) started the week with a sharp drop. On Monday morning, January 19, the price of the first cryptocurrency plummeted from $95,500 to $92,500 in just a few hours. The decrease over 24 hours amounted to 2.6%.
The price of Ethereum ($ETH ) over the past day dropped even more sharply - by 3.2%. As of 10:40 MSK, the leading altcoin is trading around $3,200.

By the end of the year, $BTC still has chances for an attempt to break through and consolidate above the mark of $100,000 per coin. This scenario is based on a combination of several factors: a structural reduction in supply due to halving, the growing role of spot ETFs, as well as a gradual expansion of institutional demand. Given favorable macroeconomic conditions and sustained interest in risk assets, the market is theoretically capable of forming another wave of an upward trend aimed at recovering quotes above the psychologically significant level of $100,000.

Coinbase, the largest trading exchange in the U.S. by trading volume, expects the cryptocurrency market to enter a recovery phase as early as December. The main prerequisites for this are an increase in liquidity and a weakening of price pressure from long-term holders $BTC .
On December 5, the American trading platform announced a shift in market conditions in recent weeks. Exchange experts point to an influx of new capital, narrowing spreads, and increased macroeconomic support as key indicators.

$BTC #BTCReview #CryptoMarketAnalysis #Trump #TrumpTariffs
The escalation of the trade war between the USA and China in early October triggered a cascade of liquidations in the cryptocurrency market, crashing prices. Now, a reduction in macroeconomic risks could launch a bullish rally for Bitcoin, the expert noted.
Another factor that, according to Dawson, may lead to a sustained positive trend for the first cryptocurrency is another reduction in the Federal Reserve's interest rates. In such a scenario, speculative interest in traditional financial instruments decreases, prompting investors to adopt riskier strategies, including cryptocurrencies.