Gold verlor 3 Billionen Dollar an Marktkapitalisierung in nur einer Stunde. Silber verlor 700 Milliarden Dollar im gleichen Zeitraum. Floss all dieses Geld in $BTC und Altcoins? Keineswegs.
Krypto fiel ebenfalls, wodurch fast 100 Milliarden Dollar von seiner Marktkapitalisierung ausgelöscht wurden.
Das beweist meinen Punkt von vor ein paar Tagen: Eine Korrektur von Gold und Silber befeuert nicht automatisch Altcoins. Was tatsächlich wichtig ist, sind Faktoren wie das Inkrafttreten des Clarity Act, die SEC, die Krypto in 401(k)s erlaubt, und geringere geopolitische Spannungen.
ON-CHAIN SIGNALS ARE HEATING UP Wallets holding 1M+ $XRP are climbing again for the first time since September 2025. Meanwhile, XRP ETFs have seen $92M in inflows this month. This isn’t speculation. It’s positioning. And the data is speaking loud and clear.
$ETH Macro Perspective The key is zooming out and ignoring the daily noise. From a macro view, ETH isn’t showing real strength or weakness. What stands out is a forced equilibrium. Price keeps rotating within the same well-defined ranges for months, even years, without developing true structural direction. Upper zones get sold, lower zones get bought. This market burns time and energy, not trends. Most people lose the plot here. They react to a single candle, a single day, a single tweet, treating every move as a “new phase.” That’s not trading that’s emotion.
As long as $ETH remains boxed within these ranges, nothing truly changes. We can bounce, spike, and create excitement on lower timeframes, but without clear acceptance outside key levels, there’s no regime shift, only liquidity rotation. This structure is brutal for traders: choppy, deceptive, full of fake breaks. It punishes impatience and rewards those who wait, size down, and act only when conditions are clean.
Bottom line: this is neither a bull nor bear market. It’s a macro stalemate. Until we see a decisive breakout or breakdown from these ranges, any strong narrative is just storytelling.
$BTC is defending the key ~$87,600 support zone after the post-FOMC pullback. With it being Thursday, history suggests a low probability of the weekly low being taken. That’s why I’m looking for local long opportunities at support. The ideal setup would be a sweep of the current low within the support box, followed by a market structure break to the upside. My primary target is the ~$91,180 liquidity level. Even a brief push below support wouldn’t be bearish, if anything, that kind of manipulation followed by a structure break would be very bullish. In both scenarios, the plan is to target the ~$91,180 wick, with two take-profit levels along the way, as wicks tend to attract liquidity. It’s also possible we simply hold the current low. For that reason, I’ve already taken a first-touch long with 0.5% risk and will add up to another 1.5% if we get a clear reversal today. Now it’s about waiting for the trigger.
$BTC / GOLD has fully retraced to the 0.618. FVG filled. Inverse H&S target met. Price sitting on support. Not calling a top or bottom, but this is exactly the same setup that marked the end of the last bear market.
The move in metals has been brutal, gold added Bitcoin’s entire market cap in a single day. Feels like a bottom is getting very close.
$ETH konsolidiert sich um 3,060 nach einem sauberen Rücksprung aus der Nachfragezone von 2,780–2,800.
Die Derivateaktivität bleibt hoch, da ERC-8004 kurz vor dem Start steht, aber der Preis bleibt unter den wichtigen gleitenden Durchschnitten, was die Erholungsprognose vorsichtig hält.
#Bitcoin hat seine jüngsten Verluste und kurzen Liquidationen abgebaut, genau wie ich es vor drei Tagen gesagt habe. Eine bullische umschließende 2D-Kerze bestätigt einen falschen Durchbruch unter unsere wichtige Trendlinie. $BTC sieht jetzt bereit aus, um auf über 100.000 $ zu drängen, wobei viele wahrscheinlich überrascht werden. Ich halte mich an den vollständigen Fahrplan mit detaillierten Levels, Zeitrahmen und exklusiven Einblicken, die in unserem angehefteten Gruppenbeitrag geteilt werden.
$BTC A month later, this is still my core thesis. We’re stuck in a higher-timeframe range, rotating and building liquidity near the top of that range.
The monthly low has been swept, but it’s still unclear if that move is enough to kick off an upside rotation. Ideally, I’d like to see a deeper sweep of lows first.
There’s also a seasonal angle: in 10 of the last 14 years, Bitcoin has set a yearly high or low in January. If that pattern holds and we’re heading higher, the January low needs to stay intact.
That said, it’s just one data point with a small sample size, best used as confluence, not a standalone signal. #TokenizedSilverSurge #VIRBNB
One thing I've been reminded of recently: don't just sit and wait for your limit order to fill at that "perfect" entry price.
I waited for the 20-16$ zone to hit for months, which was my long-term entry with the plan to stake the bag until new highs.
What did I get? One order filled (1/7). That's it.
Signs were there: the 10/10 wick sweep, and days later, a strong reclaim of YO. Instead of reacting to what the chart was actually showing and entering manually, I stuck to my predefined entry as if it was set in stone. When you see real conviction in PA, it's often better to adapt and tighten the risk than miss the move entirely.
One of my most used phrases in my mentorship is "The market doesn't care about your perfect entry".
Still a student of the game myself, so that was a costly, regarding missed opportunity, lesson for me.
$ETH is pressing up against the $3,000 mark. A decisive breakout clears the path toward $3,200 and higher. Failure to reclaim keeps downside risk in play, with $2,500–$2,800 as the next major demand zone. For anyone holding #Altcoins, $ETH strength here is critical.
$BTC Buyers keep defending range lows, preserving the bullish Po3 thesis. We got a clean deviation below the range, followed by acceptance back inside, with VAL and POC now stacking at range-low demand. This favors a rotation toward range highs. I’m still holding weekend longs. Weekly stats are already skewing bullish and would strengthen further if local highs are reclaimed, confirming a new Weekly P2 and solidifying the current weekly low as a strong base. Bullish bias remains while demand near $87k holds. First upside target is supply around $90.5k. If range highs flip, last week’s unfinished weekly candle becomes the next key POI. If range-low demand fails, attention shifts to a potential three-drives move into demand near $85.5k as the next long opportunity.
The gold–silver ratio breakdown is unfolding exactly as expected. While most anticipate a bounce, I see another 60% drop toward 20, then softening into a deeper crash below 10. Silver mirrors this, an explosive move from $100 to $200 in weeks, then sustained upside. Still not bullish enough.
$BTC was expected to pivot and close the week in the mid-to-upper $90K range, possibly pushing higher first. Instead, price action has been weak, with unprecedented pressure from underlying fundamentals.
$SOL has dipped into the $118–$121 demand zone and is now trying to stabilize after the sharp sell-off, signaling that bearish momentum may be fading. If this base holds, the first key level to reclaim is $126–$130, with a move toward $138–$145 possible if buyers return with conviction.
$BTC has respected this channel for the past month, making it a pretty clean trade, longs at the lower boundary, shorts near the top. If we break below the channel and get a failed retest, downside continuation becomes the higher, probability scenario. The key liquidity zones are highlighted in the white box. That said, as long as price holds inside the channel, a push higher to grab upside liquidity is still on the table.
$ETH briefly lost its lower-timeframe structure and even closed a daily candle below the trendline. That breakdown didn’t last long though, price quickly reclaimed the trend with a daily close back above it, a textbook fakeout.
Right now, price action is neutral. $ETH is still ranging within this accumulation zone, and a bounce from here remains on the table. Until we get a clear breakout or breakdown, expect sideways, choppy conditions. I’ll share updates if the structure changes.
$BTC retested the $87,000 support once again and managed a bounce. However, bulls still have heavy work ahead to reclaim and hold above $90,000. Failure to do so increases the probability of a sweep toward the $85,000 support zone.
$BTC is moving exactly as we anticipated! The next likely move could be a drop toward $85K, which we hope to avoid. Ideally, it would first rally above $90K, then pull back to $88K, establishing that level as solid support.
$ETH Monatliche Analyse – Einfach & Klar Die blaue Box im Diagramm markiert eine starke monatliche Nachfragezone. Rückblickend auf August 2024 hielt $ETH die Tiefststände nicht für drei aufeinanderfolgende Monate:
Viele Trader erwarteten ein Tief, das nie kam. Dann im November 2024 drückte eine riesige bullische Kerze $ETH von ~$2.300 → $3.700 in einem einzigen Monat. Jetzt, schauen Sie sich die aktuelle Preisbewegung an:
November 2025 Tief hielt Dezember 2025 Tief hielt Januar 2026 Tief hält bisher
Wenn diese drei monatlichen Tiefs geschützt bleiben, ist eine große bullische Kerze im Februar sehr wahrscheinlich. Dasselbe Muster, dieselbe Psychologie – Trader warten am Rand. Wir kaufen Spot, tätigen Trades und positionieren uns im Voraus für die Bewegung.