TheChainAnalyst
Learning crypto fundamentals. Cutting through noise, focusing on how things actually work. Sharing notes and observations.🌐🏆
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🚨⚖️ US Nejvyšší soud odložil rozhodnutí o clou z doby Trumpa — trhy zůstávají na pohotovosti 🇺🇸
US Nejvyšší soud znovu odložil rozhodnutí o právní platnosti cla z doby Trumpa, což zůstává obchodní politika – a trhy – v nejistotě ⏳
Tento případ má význam. Může předefinovat, jak velkou moc má americký prezident nad obchodem. Zatím zůstávají cla v platnosti, ale jejich budoucnost je nevyřešená.
Hlavní dovozci, jako je Costco, již hledají náhradu za úplatky zaplacené, a americké pokladnice potvrdily, že prostředky jsou připraveny, pokud soud zruší cla.
📉 Proč trhy na to dbají
Pokud budou cla zrušena:
Tento případ má význam. Může předefinovat, jak velkou moc má americký prezident nad obchodem. Zatím zůstávají cla v platnosti, ale jejich budoucnost je nevyřešená.
Hlavní dovozci, jako je Costco, již hledají náhradu za úplatky zaplacené, a americké pokladnice potvrdily, že prostředky jsou připraveny, pokud soud zruší cla.
📉 Proč trhy na to dbají
Pokud budou cla zrušena:
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🇺🇸 USA - ČÍNA 🇨🇳 NAPĚTÍ SE OPĚT ZVÝŠÍ! 🤯
Dnešní útok na Venezuelu nemá nic společného s Madurem a všechno se to týká Číny.
Dovolte mi říct, jak: 👇
Venezuela má největší rezervy ropy na světě, s přibližně 303 miliardami barelů.
Čína je největším kupcem venezuelské ropy, obvykle kolem 80%-85% z jejích celkových exportů ropy.
Po útoku na Venezuelu se vliv USA na venezuelské ropné aktiva zvýší a poškodí to Čínu.
Také pondělí bude vysoce volatilní pro akciový trh. Buďte opatrní, kluci!!
#TRUMP #venezuela #china
Dovolte mi říct, jak: 👇
Venezuela má největší rezervy ropy na světě, s přibližně 303 miliardami barelů.
Čína je největším kupcem venezuelské ropy, obvykle kolem 80%-85% z jejích celkových exportů ropy.
Po útoku na Venezuelu se vliv USA na venezuelské ropné aktiva zvýší a poškodí to Čínu.
Také pondělí bude vysoce volatilní pro akciový trh. Buďte opatrní, kluci!!
#TRUMP #venezuela #china
BTC & SOL: Q1 "Crab Market" Update – What's Next for Your Portfolio? 🦀📉
Binance Square fam, let's talk about the current market sentiment. The Fear & Greed Index is firmly in the Fear (34) zone, and frankly, it feels earned.
While we saw some macro relief post-Davos, Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim $90k, showing weakness around the $89.5k mark. Meanwhile, Solana has taken a significant hit, down -11% this week alone, putting its recent bull run under serious pressure.
This isn't a "bear market" yet, but it's a classic "crab market" where sideways action and sharp corrections can liquidate the over-leveraged.
Key takeaways for your trading strategy:
• BTC: Watch for a strong close above $90k for any bullish continuation. A drop below $88k could see us retesting $85k support quickly.
• Alts (like SOL): Be cautious with new positions. Look for consolidation and volume confirmation before jumping in. DCA on dips might be a safer play.
• De-risking: It seems capital is flowing out of both crypto and traditional risk assets. Are you holding stablecoins, or looking for specific narratives?
Question for the community: What specific altcoins are you keeping an eye on for potential bounces after this consolidation phase? Share your charts and reasoning! 👇
While we saw some macro relief post-Davos, Bitcoin is struggling to reclaim $90k, showing weakness around the $89.5k mark. Meanwhile, Solana has taken a significant hit, down -11% this week alone, putting its recent bull run under serious pressure.
This isn't a "bear market" yet, but it's a classic "crab market" where sideways action and sharp corrections can liquidate the over-leveraged.
Key takeaways for your trading strategy:
• BTC: Watch for a strong close above $90k for any bullish continuation. A drop below $88k could see us retesting $85k support quickly.
• Alts (like SOL): Be cautious with new positions. Look for consolidation and volume confirmation before jumping in. DCA on dips might be a safer play.
• De-risking: It seems capital is flowing out of both crypto and traditional risk assets. Are you holding stablecoins, or looking for specific narratives?
Question for the community: What specific altcoins are you keeping an eye on for potential bounces after this consolidation phase? Share your charts and reasoning! 👇
🚨 U.S. Government Shutdown Risk Spikes to 75%.
A major macro signal is flashing. Reports now indicate a 75% probability of a U.S. government shutdown by January 31st due to a political standoff over funding.
This level of uncertainty often triggers a powerful "risk-off" event across global markets. Capital tends to flee from assets like $BTC and equities, seeking safety. This creates significant downward pressure and could threaten key support levels for the current market structure. Be prepared for increased volatility.
Verdict: Bearish in the short term.
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate #MacroEconomics
A major macro signal is flashing. Reports now indicate a 75% probability of a U.S. government shutdown by January 31st due to a political standoff over funding.
This level of uncertainty often triggers a powerful "risk-off" event across global markets. Capital tends to flee from assets like $BTC and equities, seeking safety. This creates significant downward pressure and could threaten key support levels for the current market structure. Be prepared for increased volatility.
Verdict: Bearish in the short term.
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoNews #MarketUpdate #MacroEconomics
Why does one penguin leave the colony while others stay safe together?
Pepeto captures that moment. Built by the founder of $PEPE , it represents someone who already lived inside meme hype and chose to walk away from it. Not to abandon memes, but to evolve them. Pepeto takes a steeper path, focused on utility and infrastructure from the start, aiming for higher mountains than traditional meme coins ever reached.
The hardest climbs usually begin before anyone is watching. Q1 is when those choices define the cycle.
Could Pepeto be the penguin of memecoins, choosing the difficult road toward real dominance?
#Pepeto #CryptoInsights #NextBigAltcoin #BestCryptoPresale #Crypto2026to2030
Pepeto captures that moment. Built by the founder of $PEPE , it represents someone who already lived inside meme hype and chose to walk away from it. Not to abandon memes, but to evolve them. Pepeto takes a steeper path, focused on utility and infrastructure from the start, aiming for higher mountains than traditional meme coins ever reached.
The hardest climbs usually begin before anyone is watching. Q1 is when those choices define the cycle.
Could Pepeto be the penguin of memecoins, choosing the difficult road toward real dominance?
#Pepeto #CryptoInsights #NextBigAltcoin #BestCryptoPresale #Crypto2026to2030
ON-CHAIN SIGNAL: Velryba uzamkla 503 milionů dolarů z $ETH , což spustilo upozornění na nedostatek nabídky.
Bitmine Toma Leeho právě vsadil dalších 171 264 $ETH , čímž odstranil více než 503,2 milionu dolarů likvidity z otevřeného trhu.
To je silný signál institucionální důvěry. Na rozdíl od posílání mincí na burzu k prodeji, staking uzamyká nabídku na dlouhou dobu, čímž vytváří potenciální šok v nabídce. Tato úroveň akumulace od hlavního hráče zpevňuje dostupnou nabídku a je předzvěstí býčí tržní struktury.
Verdikt: Silně býčí. Zmenšující se likvidní nabídka pro $ETH v tváři konstantní poptávky je klasický recept na proražení ceny.
#etherium #staking #WhaleAlert #OnChainAnalysis #ETH
Bitmine Toma Leeho právě vsadil dalších 171 264 $ETH , čímž odstranil více než 503,2 milionu dolarů likvidity z otevřeného trhu.
To je silný signál institucionální důvěry. Na rozdíl od posílání mincí na burzu k prodeji, staking uzamyká nabídku na dlouhou dobu, čímž vytváří potenciální šok v nabídce. Tato úroveň akumulace od hlavního hráče zpevňuje dostupnou nabídku a je předzvěstí býčí tržní struktury.
Verdikt: Silně býčí. Zmenšující se likvidní nabídka pro $ETH v tváři konstantní poptávky je klasický recept na proražení ceny.
#etherium #staking #WhaleAlert #OnChainAnalysis #ETH
BTC vs. Gold: The Great Rotation? 🧐 + BNB ETF News!
Hey #BinanceSquare fam! 👋
Big moves today: While #GOLD just hit all-time highs, Bitcoin is battling to hold $89,000. Is capital rotating into traditional safe havens, or is this a temporary dip before the next leg up for crypto?
Key Hot Takes for Jan 23:
1. #GBNB ETF Filed! Grayscale just submitted an application for a Binance Coin ETF ( $GBNB )! This is massive validation for the BNB ecosystem. Keep an eye on $BNB — it's showing strength even in a red market. This could be a huge catalyst!
2. $87.5k Support? Analysts are looking at $87,500 - $88,000 as critical support for $BTC . A break below could see more downside, but a bounce here confirms bullish intent.
3. My Play: I'm watching BNB closely for entry points and keeping some USDT ready for potential dips on $BTC . Patience is key!
What's your strategy today? Are you buying the dip, or are you in "wait and see" mode? 👇 Let me know your thoughts!
#CryptoNews #TradingSignals #BTC #BNBChain #ETF #MarketUpdate
Big moves today: While #GOLD just hit all-time highs, Bitcoin is battling to hold $89,000. Is capital rotating into traditional safe havens, or is this a temporary dip before the next leg up for crypto?
Key Hot Takes for Jan 23:
1. #GBNB ETF Filed! Grayscale just submitted an application for a Binance Coin ETF ( $GBNB )! This is massive validation for the BNB ecosystem. Keep an eye on $BNB — it's showing strength even in a red market. This could be a huge catalyst!
2. $87.5k Support? Analysts are looking at $87,500 - $88,000 as critical support for $BTC . A break below could see more downside, but a bounce here confirms bullish intent.
3. My Play: I'm watching BNB closely for entry points and keeping some USDT ready for potential dips on $BTC . Patience is key!
What's your strategy today? Are you buying the dip, or are you in "wait and see" mode? 👇 Let me know your thoughts!
#CryptoNews #TradingSignals #BTC #BNBChain #ETF #MarketUpdate
$BTC Price Action: Full Retracement to Yearly Open!
Bitcoin has wiped out its 2026 gains, completing a 100% retracement of the recent move.
Key Levels:
• Resistance Rejected: $97,900 (The +12% peak).
• Support Tested: ~$87,500 (The Yearly Open).
Market Analysis: 👇
The rapid decline has neutralized the Year-to-Date (YTD) performance. However, technical structure suggests the long-term trend is still intact.
This price action is characteristic of a "shakeout" phase to clear excess leverage before trend continuation.
$BTC #bitcoin #MarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis #Volatility
Bitcoin has wiped out its 2026 gains, completing a 100% retracement of the recent move.
Key Levels:
• Resistance Rejected: $97,900 (The +12% peak).
• Support Tested: ~$87,500 (The Yearly Open).
Market Analysis: 👇
The rapid decline has neutralized the Year-to-Date (YTD) performance. However, technical structure suggests the long-term trend is still intact.
This price action is characteristic of a "shakeout" phase to clear excess leverage before trend continuation.
$BTC #bitcoin #MarketUpdate #TechnicalAnalysis #Volatility
Why Pepeto Mirrors SHIB’s Early Advantage, and SHIB No Longer Can ? 🤔
The biggest meme-coin gains historically occurred at presale or pre-listing stages, when market caps were measured in millions, not billions.
Shiba Inu today sits above $5B market cap. Achieving a 100× return would require a ~$500B valuation — a structural limitation of late-stage assets.
Pepeto ($PEPETO) operates in a different phase:
• Presale price ~$0.000000178
• $7.17M raised approaching hard cap
• Entry before listings and mass discovery
• Built by a PEPE co-founder
• Ships with zero-fee swap, cross-chain bridge, and staking (~215% APY)
This combination of early timing + utility + demand resembles the conditions that allowed SHIB to create outsized returns in its earliest phase.
Pepeto is available only through the official presale website:
🎥 Project overview: https://youtu.be/yJRt5WZWRrU
Shiba Inu today sits above $5B market cap. Achieving a 100× return would require a ~$500B valuation — a structural limitation of late-stage assets.
Pepeto ($PEPETO) operates in a different phase:
• Presale price ~$0.000000178
• $7.17M raised approaching hard cap
• Entry before listings and mass discovery
• Built by a PEPE co-founder
• Ships with zero-fee swap, cross-chain bridge, and staking (~215% APY)
This combination of early timing + utility + demand resembles the conditions that allowed SHIB to create outsized returns in its earliest phase.
Pepeto is available only through the official presale website:
🎥 Project overview: https://youtu.be/yJRt5WZWRrU
BNB Burn Complete (Q1 2026)
The first $BNB burn of 2026 is finished.
Here is the data:
• Date: January 15
• Amount: 1.37 Million BNB
• Value: $1.27 Billion USD
This means 1.37 million coins are gone forever. The total supply is now lower.
$BNB #bnb #crypto #BinanceSquare #Burn
The first $BNB burn of 2026 is finished.
Here is the data:
• Date: January 15
• Amount: 1.37 Million BNB
• Value: $1.27 Billion USD
This means 1.37 million coins are gone forever. The total supply is now lower.
$BNB #bnb #crypto #BinanceSquare #Burn
Analyst predicts $XRP price targets: $10 and $122
Analyst CryptoBull says XRP price will go up soon.
He sees a specific pattern on the weekly chart.
Targets:
• Short term: $9 - $10
• Long term: $122
This pattern usually means the price will rise.
The price passed the bottom of the pattern.
#xrp #Ripple #crypto #MarketAnalysis
Analyst CryptoBull says XRP price will go up soon.
He sees a specific pattern on the weekly chart.
Targets:
• Short term: $9 - $10
• Long term: $122
This pattern usually means the price will rise.
The price passed the bottom of the pattern.
#xrp #Ripple #crypto #MarketAnalysis
📉 Technical Analysis: SOL Market Structure.
$SOL Current Price Action: Range-bound.
• Upper Bound: $144-$146.
• Lower Bound: $140-$141.
Strategic Analysis:
Do not panic if price deviates to $138. This is a standard "Liquidity Reset."
In choppy markets, algorithms often push price below evident support ($140) to clear over-leveraged longs. This creates a clean base for the next expansion leg.
#altcoins #solana #sol #TechnicalAnalysis
$SOL Current Price Action: Range-bound.
• Upper Bound: $144-$146.
• Lower Bound: $140-$141.
Strategic Analysis:
Do not panic if price deviates to $138. This is a standard "Liquidity Reset."
In choppy markets, algorithms often push price below evident support ($140) to clear over-leveraged longs. This creates a clean base for the next expansion leg.
#altcoins #solana #sol #TechnicalAnalysis
📉 Technical Update: Analyzing the $95k Level.
$BTC has pulled back to $95,000 amid thin weekend volume.
Current Market Structure:
1. Short Term Risk: Support test at $92,000.
2. Long Term Thesis: 81% of sentiment remains bullish.
Key Insight:
On-chain data confirms 83-84% of supply is profitable. This indicates that the sell pressure is driven by realized gains, not panic selling. The fundamental path to $200k (Tom Lee/CZ projections) has not been invalidated by this volatility.
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoNews
$BTC has pulled back to $95,000 amid thin weekend volume.
Current Market Structure:
1. Short Term Risk: Support test at $92,000.
2. Long Term Thesis: 81% of sentiment remains bullish.
Key Insight:
On-chain data confirms 83-84% of supply is profitable. This indicates that the sell pressure is driven by realized gains, not panic selling. The fundamental path to $200k (Tom Lee/CZ projections) has not been invalidated by this volatility.
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoNews
PŘED NÁMI ZAMĚSTNANÝ TÝDEN, spousta volatility na trhu, malí obchodníci by měli být opatrní ✅
🚨 UPOZORNĚNÍ NA VOLATILITU – PŘÍŠTÍ TÝDEN JE NABITÝ 🚨
PONDĚLÍ: Prezident FEDu bude hovořit 🔥
ÚTERÝ: Údaje o inflaci v USA vyjdou ⚠️
STŘEDA: Čísla PPI přicházejí 📊
ČTVRTEK: Počáteční žádosti o podporu v nezaměstnanosti 📉
PÁTEK: Čisté pozice v kovových komoditách v USA 💥
Trhy nebudou klidné. Velké pohyby přicházejí. Obchodujte ostře nebo buďte otřeseni.
PONDĚLÍ: Prezident FEDu bude hovořit 🔥
ÚTERÝ: Údaje o inflaci v USA vyjdou ⚠️
STŘEDA: Čísla PPI přicházejí 📊
ČTVRTEK: Počáteční žádosti o podporu v nezaměstnanosti 📉
PÁTEK: Čisté pozice v kovových komoditách v USA 💥
Trhy nebudou klidné. Velké pohyby přicházejí. Obchodujte ostře nebo buďte otřeseni.
🇺🇸 Policy Update: US Government halts BTC auctions.
The DOJ has confirmed a critical change in procedure: 57.55 $BTC seized from the Samourai Wallet case will remain on the U.S. balance sheet.
The Logic:
Instead of liquidating assets for cash (as done previously by US Marshals), the government is applying Executive Order 14233 to classify this Bitcoin as a "Strategic Reserve Asset."
This effectively removes future government seizures from the potential sell-side supply.
#BTC #StrategicReserve #bitcoin #CryptoNews
The DOJ has confirmed a critical change in procedure: 57.55 $BTC seized from the Samourai Wallet case will remain on the U.S. balance sheet.
The Logic:
Instead of liquidating assets for cash (as done previously by US Marshals), the government is applying Executive Order 14233 to classify this Bitcoin as a "Strategic Reserve Asset."
This effectively removes future government seizures from the potential sell-side supply.
#BTC #StrategicReserve #bitcoin #CryptoNews
🚨 PRÁVĚ SE STALO: Trump vs JPMorgan — Případ debankingu na cestě? 🇺🇸🏦
Bývalý prezident USA Donald Trump říká, že plánuje žalovat JPMorgan Chase, protože obviňuje banku z "debankingu" po událostech z 6. ledna 2021.
🔍 Klíčové body:
• Trump tvrdí, že JPMorgan nespravedlivě zrušila jeho přístup k bankovnictví
• Říká, že žaloba by mohla být podána během příštích dvou týdnů
• JPMorgan popírá jakýkoli politický motiv a uvádí, že rozhodnutí jsou založena na riziku a shodě
• K dnešnímu dni nebyla oficiálně podána žádná žaloba — toto je oznámení, zatím ne soudní akce
⚖️ Proč je to důležité:
Případ by mohl znovu oživit debaty kolem debankingu, politické diskriminace a finanční moci, s potenciálními důsledky pro banky, regulaci a tržní sentiment.
📊 Trhy zatím nereagovaly silně — ale právní eskalace by to mohla změnit.
#JPMorgan #trump #debanking
Bývalý prezident USA Donald Trump říká, že plánuje žalovat JPMorgan Chase, protože obviňuje banku z "debankingu" po událostech z 6. ledna 2021.
🔍 Klíčové body:
• Trump tvrdí, že JPMorgan nespravedlivě zrušila jeho přístup k bankovnictví
• Říká, že žaloba by mohla být podána během příštích dvou týdnů
• JPMorgan popírá jakýkoli politický motiv a uvádí, že rozhodnutí jsou založena na riziku a shodě
• K dnešnímu dni nebyla oficiálně podána žádná žaloba — toto je oznámení, zatím ne soudní akce
⚖️ Proč je to důležité:
Případ by mohl znovu oživit debaty kolem debankingu, politické diskriminace a finanční moci, s potenciálními důsledky pro banky, regulaci a tržní sentiment.
📊 Trhy zatím nereagovaly silně — ale právní eskalace by to mohla změnit.
#JPMorgan #trump #debanking
🟠 Fundamental Analysis: Scarcity vs. Store of Value.
Cathie Wood (Ark Invest) states that Bitcoin's investment thesis remains valid despite Gold's recent appreciation.
The differentiator is the Supply Cap.
Gold has an elastic supply; as price rises, mining increases.
$BTC has an inelastic supply; increased demand cannot create more coins.
Mathematically, this makes BTC the harder asset.
#BTC #bitcoin #CathieWood #Macro
Cathie Wood (Ark Invest) states that Bitcoin's investment thesis remains valid despite Gold's recent appreciation.
The differentiator is the Supply Cap.
Gold has an elastic supply; as price rises, mining increases.
$BTC has an inelastic supply; increased demand cannot create more coins.
Mathematically, this makes BTC the harder asset.
#BTC #bitcoin #CathieWood #Macro
🚨 FUNDAMENTAL SHIFT: The Executive Branch Pivot on Crypto.
President Trump has explicitly stated: “Bitcoin and crypto used to be under attack, that era is over.”
📈 Macro Analysis:
The most significant aspect of this statement is the acknowledgement that crypto "eases pressure on the dollar."
This represents a complete reversal of previous administrative narratives that viewed Bitcoin as a threat to USD hegemony. This redefines digital assets as a strategic financial layer rather than an adversary.
The regulatory risk premium for the US market is rapidly diminishing.
📈 Macro Analysis:
The most significant aspect of this statement is the acknowledgement that crypto "eases pressure on the dollar."
This represents a complete reversal of previous administrative narratives that viewed Bitcoin as a threat to USD hegemony. This redefines digital assets as a strategic financial layer rather than an adversary.
The regulatory risk premium for the US market is rapidly diminishing.
👀 Technical Analysis: The Mechanics of Altseason.
We are observing a Head & Shoulders pattern on the Bitcoin Dominance ($BTC.D) chart.
This is not "hype"; it is a structural signal. A clean break below the neckline mathematically confirms a shift in market momentum.
The Sequence:
1. Breakdown of Dominance.
2. Capital rotation from BTC to Altcoins.
3. Market-wide expansion.
Dominance leads. Price follows.
#BTC #Altseason #Crypto
We are observing a Head & Shoulders pattern on the Bitcoin Dominance ($BTC.D) chart.
This is not "hype"; it is a structural signal. A clean break below the neckline mathematically confirms a shift in market momentum.
The Sequence:
1. Breakdown of Dominance.
2. Capital rotation from BTC to Altcoins.
3. Market-wide expansion.
Dominance leads. Price follows.
#BTC #Altseason #Crypto
🚨 NOVINKA
🇺🇸 PŘEDSEDA FEDu DÁ DNEŠNÍ MIMOŘÁDNÉ OZNÁMENÍ V 11:00 HOD.
OČEKÁVEJTE VYSOKOU VOLATILITU TRHU!!
#fed #MarketSentimentToday
🇺🇸 PŘEDSEDA FEDu DÁ DNEŠNÍ MIMOŘÁDNÉ OZNÁMENÍ V 11:00 HOD.
OČEKÁVEJTE VYSOKOU VOLATILITU TRHU!!
#fed #MarketSentimentToday
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