After nearly three years, Bitcoin is approaching the completion of its major Elliott Wave cycle. Historically, once a full impulsive Elliott Wave structure is completed, the market transitions into a corrective phase, which often creates rare, high-probability accumulation opportunities.
This is not a typical dip. Such opportunities are short-lived and extremely rare, usually appearing once every five years.
Using Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci retracement, and trend-based retracement, price action suggests that Bitcoin is moving toward a high-confluence accumulation zone.
This same analysis framework also provides a long-term trend projection once the corrective phase is complete.
🟢 Spot Accumulation Zone
71,000 – 53,000 USDT
If BTC enters this zone:
Begin spot accumulation
Follow DCA (dollar-cost averaging)
This opportunity should not be ignored
This zone is designed for long-term investors, not short-term traders.
🚀 Long-Term Trend Projection
According to Elliott Wave expansion and trend-based Fibonacci extensions, once the corrective structure is completed and a new impulsive cycle begins, Bitcoin has the potential to expand toward the 200,000 – 240,000 USDT range over the long term.
This projection is trend-based, not time-based, and depends on market structure continuation.
⚠️ Risk Management
Avoid futures trading — futures involve extremely high risk
Spot buying only
No leverage; patience and discipline are essential
📚 Disclaimer
This post is for educational purposes only. I am not providing financial advice, as I do not know your financial circumstances. Always do your own research (DYOR).
Markets reward patience, structure, and discipline — not emotion.
$RENDER Decoding the Trade: A Technical Look at RENDER/USDT
This trading setup for RENDER/USDT (RENDER/TetherUS) presents a classic technical analysis strategy with clearly defined risk and reward parameters. Here’s a breakdown of the key components and the logic behind the trade.
Trade Thesis: Bullish Breakout and Continuation
The chart shows price action respecting a "Strong High" level with an "Equilibrium" zone below. The primary thesis is that after a period of consolidation (around the equilibrium), the asset is breaking out or has broken out of resistance. The entry is placed at 1.605, suggesting this level is seen as a confirmed breakout point or a retest of a former resistance turned support.
Trade Structure: Precision in Planning
1. Entry Point (1.605): This is the trigger price to enter a long position (indicated by "BUY" at the top, though "SELL" is shown on the button, likely a UI element; the structure is bullish). The trader believes momentum is shifting upwards from here. 2. Take Profit (TP) Levels: · TP 1 (1.67066): The first, most conservative target, offering a reward of ~4.1% from entry. · TP 2 (1.73532): A secondary target for extended gains (~8.1%). · TP 3 (1.79999): The most ambitious target, representing a full bullish move (~12.1% gain). This tiered approach allows for securing profits at multiple stages. 3. Stop Loss (1.54134): Placed strategically below the equilibrium zone and recent lows ("Low" at 1.497-1.506). This level, ~4.0% below entry, defines the maximum risk. It invalidates the bullish thesis if hit. 4. Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): Using TP3, the potential reward is ~12.1% against a ~4.0% risk. This results in a favorable RRR of approximately 1:3, a cornerstone of professional risk management. The trade seeks to gain three times what it risks losing.
Key Technical Levels
· Support ("Low"): The zone between 1.497 - 1.506 is critical support. A break below here would signify a much more bearish structure. · Equilibrium: The mid-range area where the price previously consolidated. Holding
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Trading Signal: $WAL /USDT (Long) The WAL/USDT chart is showing a strong recovery from the Buy Zone. After a sharp dip, the price found support and is now trending upward. Here is the setup: Entry Price: 0.14235 Stop Loss: 0.14147 (Always protect your capital) Take Profit Targets: TP 1: 0.14323 TP 2: 0.14410 TP 3: 0.14498 Current Status: The price is already moving toward the first target. If it holds above the entry level, we could see a push into the red "Sell Zone" near the higher targets. #walrus @WalrusProtocol
Buy trade setup with a fairly aggressive reward-to-risk structure. Here is the breakdown of your levels:
Entry: 91839
Stop Loss (SL): 91439 (implied by the 1:1 TP distance)
Current Price (Ask): 92,131.73 (Trade is currently in profit)
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
1:1 TP: 92182 (Almost reached)
2:1 TP: 92525
3:1 TP: 92868
Quick Tip: Since the price is hovering right near your 1:1 TP (92182), you might want to move your Stop Loss to your Entry (91839) to lock in a "risk-free" trade while you aim for those higher 2:1 and 3:1 targets.
You can monitor real-time price action on TradingView or Yahoo Finance to see if the momentum holds toward 92868. Always stick to your plan!