The Riksbank’s policy decision on 29 January is unlikely to deliver any drama. The policy rate has been held at 1.75% since September 2025 and is widely expected to remain unchanged. Markets would be surprised by a move. The real question is not what the Riksbank will do, but how it will explain the growing tension between two forces now pulling policy in opposite directions: rapid disinflation and a strengthening real economy. Disinflation since the summer of 2025 has been faster than the Riksbank anticipated. Both headline CPIF inflation and CPIF excluding energy have fallen sharply in recent months . $AXS $AXL $RIVER
US Dollar Pressure Mounts as Traders Reopen Debasement Debate
By asking New York traders to confirm the price of the Japanese yen against the dollar on Friday, US authorities handed investors yet another reason to sell the greenback. The yen jumped and the dollar weakened on Monday as investors decided the so-called rate check was the biggest sign yet of official disquiet toward the sliding Japanese currency and that the next step could be an intervention to buoy it. That the calls were made in US hours by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York also fanned speculation President Donald Trump’s administration might be willing to unite with Japan to rescue the yen for the first .$ACU $BTR $RIVER
Japan did not intervene in currency market on Friday From channelnewsasia.com
Bank of Japan money market data on Monday indicated that a spike in the yen rate against the dollar on Friday was not likely the product of official Japanese intervention. The central bank's projection for Tuesday's money market conditions indicated a 630 billion yen ($4.09 billion) net outflow of funds. That exceeded brokerage forecasts of between plus 100 billion yen to minus 300 billion yen, although still below levels seen during actual bouts of intervention. "The size of the projected treasury-related flows and the net change in current account balances are well below the multi-trillion-yen magnitudes ...$ICNT $Mubarakah $BTR
The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged when it meets in the coming week, holding firm despite President Donald Trump’s pressure to slash levels as it guards against threats to its independence. The central bank has cut rates three consecutive times since September as the jobs market weakened, bringing them to a range between 3.50 percent and 3.75 percent.But Fed Chair Jerome Powell has signaled the bar would be higher for a further reduction in January. They meet on Tuesday and Wednesday. “The fact that growth is strong, unemployment is low, equity markets are close to all-time high... #fomc #SouthKoreaSeizedBTCLoss $RESOLV $AUCTION $RIVER
$VVV Trade Idea: LONG (Buy) Entry Zone: 3.24 – 3.26 Stop Loss (SL): 3.10 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 3.35 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 3.45 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 3.55 Reasoning: Price made a strong bullish breakout and is now consolidating near the top. The 3.20–3.24 area is a good support zone for a pullback entry. Trend is bullish, so buying on dips is safer. $VVV
The dollar fell in Asian trade Monday (Jan 26) amid speculation US officials could join their Japanese counterparts to help support the yen after a recent sell-off, while equities started the week on a tepid note. Reports that the Federal Reserve Bank of New York had checked in with traders about the yen's exchange rate sparked a surge in the Japanese currency, according to Bloomberg, pushing it up more than 1 per cent to 153.89 per dollar - its strongest level since November. The yen has been sliding amid worries about Japan's fiscal position, the central bank's decision not to hike interest rates further .$RIVER
Canada is drawing Trump's ire — and faces a 100% tariff From cnbc.com
“Good fences make good neighbors,” goes the saying — one that seems to encapsulate U.S. President Donald Trump’s threat of slapping tariffs of 100% on Canada if the country strikes a trade deal with China. That comes after Trump on Thursday withdrew his invitation to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney for the country to join his “Board of Peace,” a council originally established to oversee the reconstruction of Gaza. Such estrangement with the U.S.′ northern neighbor, however, was probably not what poet Robert Frost meant when he penned the line, often taken out of context. $RIVER
$LINEA – Long Trade Setup Entry Zone: 0.00643 – 0.00645 Stop Loss (SL): 0.00605 Take Profit 1 (TP1): 0.00655 Take Profit 2 (TP2): 0.00675 Take Profit 3 (TP3): 0.00700 Dont miss this setup 💯 $LINEA