$BTC انخفضت عملة البيتكوين بعد الأخبار السلبية، والتي كانت أيضًا بسبب ارتفاع الذهب والضغط على سيولة البيتكوين بسبب FOMO (الخوف من الضياع) الذي يؤثر حاليًا على الذهب والفضة. السيولة منخفضة في السوق الذي ينتظر أي تحرك من الأسواق الأمريكية.
ومع ذلك، من المحتمل جدًا حدوث انتعاش قبل افتتاح الأسواق الأمريكية. قد نشهد حركة مع افتتاح الأسواق الآسيوية، ولكن حاليًا، تقع عملة البيتكوين في مناطق التراكم.
كما نرى، يمكن أن تعود عملة البيتكوين غدًا إلى 86000، وربما أقل من ذلك، حيث إنها بداية الأسبوع، لذا كل شيء ممكن. ومع ذلك، أرى تحركا سلبيا.
كسر مستوى 86,450 سيكون سلبياً، لكن طالما أن البيتكوين فوق 87,150 فإن فرص الارتداد مرتفعة، وقد ترتد مرة أخرى. ولذلك، فإن الأسواق الأمريكية والآسيوية مغلقة.
عند افتتاح الأسواق الآسيوية، قد نشهد حركة جانبية، أو قد نشهد العكس. لذا، كل شيء وارد. حاليًا، يتداول البيتكوين في نطاق 87,450.
نتوقع أن يتراوح سعر البيتكوين بين 85,000 و80,000. والسبب هو الفجوة الكبيرة بين 88,750 و80,000. عدم اختراق هذا المستوى يعني أن فشل الحركة الصعودية، والذي يُعد إعادة اختبار، قد يؤدي إلى انخفاض حاد جدًا، مشابه لما حدث قبل أسابيع قليلة عندما انهار البيتكوين.
على أي حال، من المتوقع حدوث انخفاض تصحيحي إلى 86,450 أو أقل. أفضل مناطق الارتداد حاليا هي 85350 و 84450.
$BTC fell after negative news, which was also due to the rise in gold and pressure on Bitcoin liquidity due to FOMO (fear of missing out) currently affecting gold and silver. Liquidity is low in the market, which is awaiting any movement from the US markets.
However, a rebound is very likely before the US markets open. We might see movement with the opening of the Asian markets, but currently, Bitcoin is in accumulation zones.
As we see, for tomorrow, Bitcoin could return to 86,000, possibly even lower, as it is the beginning of the week, so anything is possible. However, I see a negative move.
Breaking the 86,450 level would be negative, but as long as Bitcoin is above 87,150, the chances of a rebound are high, and it might bounce back. Therefore, the US and Asian markets are closed.
When the Asian markets open, we might see sideways movement, or we might see the opposite. So, anything is possible. Currently, Bitcoin is in the 87,450 area.
If it bounces, that's good; if it doesn't, it's negative, even though it's above, but we haven't seen a daily close. I expect that if we don't see a breakout in the next few hours, it will be negative.
We expect to see Bitcoin between 85,000 and 80,000. The reason is the large gap between 88,750 and 80,000. Failure to break through it means The failed upward move, which is a retest, could lead to a very sharp decline, similar to what happened a few weeks ago when Bitcoin plummeted.
In any case, a corrective drop to 86450 or below is expected. The best rebound zones currently are 85350 and 84450.
$BTC might see a sideways rise today, followed by a momentary correction on the 1D candle, then another correction, and finally a surge to 90,000. Currently, Bitcoin is at 87,940. However, the negative aspect is that the 1D RSI indicator is in oversold territory. We might see Bitcoin fluctuations on the 1W weekly chart in rebound zones, but the US market opens tomorrow. Therefore, we might see a sideways rise as I mentioned, or conversely, if we see signs of war between Iran and Israel, we might see Bitcoin fall, breaking the 86,000 level. Currently, the strongest support is at 86,300. If this fails, and with tomorrow's news, we might see a drop to at least 80,000. Keep in mind that the potential for an upward move exists. Why might Bitcoin fall? It could be similar to what happened when news broke that Bitcoin was at 74,450, and we saw the strongest rise. Currently, we might see a strong rise. We need to break through 88,750 or for Bitcoin to close at 88,300 on the daily chart to rebound on the weekly chart and continue the upward trend. Therefore, let's wait until tomorrow and not rush into trades.
🟥 The US Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.5%–3.75%, despite pressure from President Donald Trump and growing calls to lower borrowing costs. 🇺🇸
📈 Chicago Board Options Exchange data indicates a 96% probability of rates remaining unchanged at the upcoming meeting.
🔵 Everyone knows that buying and selling are the main reasons, but you might not know that there are political and other factors that have fueled the crypto market crash, causing altcoins to plummet to new lows and prices from which they haven't recovered.
🔴 The 10/10 crash isn't listed as a cause, but it's related to them.
1️⃣ US Tariffs
Since Donald Trump took office as President of the United States, we've seen him declare a trade war, which caused Bitcoin and global markets to crash in 2025. However, the crisis continues to this day, putting pressure on crypto markets. Everyone assumes it's due to China or other countries. When the United States imposes tariffs on other countries, those countries are harmed, inflation rises, prices increase, and the cost of living becomes more difficult. This puts crypto traders in a state of extreme panic, buying or selling based on certain news that creates intense pressure that no one can resist. Therefore, they resort to selling cryptocurrencies and converting to fiat currency. But the main reason here is the current trade war between China and the United States. In 2026, the problem between the United States and Europe escalated when the US president sought to acquire Greenland from Denmark. This led to tensions between Europe and America, and the issue was further raised at their recent meeting in Davos. While Europe refused to sell Greenland, it allowed the United States to use it. This appeared to resolve the issue somewhat, but in reality, it wasn't truly resolved because America wanted to annex it. This situation suggests a potential conflict between Europe and its ally, America.
2️⃣ Lack of Liquidity in Crypto Markets
Everyone witnessed the collapse of Bitcoin from $120,000 to $80,000 in a short period after the October 10th crash. The worst was on October 10th, but the problem is that most of the cryptocurrencies that had reached peaks are now forming new lows. This has exacerbated the situation. We also saw Michael, the founder of MicroStrategy, stop buying Bitcoin. MicroStrategy was a major factor in Bitcoin's rise to $120,000. Currently, we see how liquidity is extremely low, and many projects have announced their exit from the crypto market. KDA was the first to announce its exit due to bankruptcy, and more projects are expected to follow. The meme coin market has seen a decline in activity, and most meme coins that formed peaks are now close to their previous lows. We also shouldn't forget that most projects under the ETH framework have reached new lows. Projects on the BTC network have also disappeared. Despite this, the market is still relying solely on altcoins that had sufficient liquidity. There haven't been any new projects since 2025 or earlier. 2024 was a period of stability, with some altcoins, and Bitcoin being the most prominent, experiencing a drop from $97,800 to $86,000 during that week. This was due to the possibility of a war between Iran, Israel, and the United States. This occurred just one day before the markets opened, leading to this decline, and we don't know when the war might take place.
3️⃣ Platform Hacks and the Theft of $1.5 Billion in Ethereum
Everyone knows that the Bybit platform was hacked in 2025. This happened at the beginning of the first quarter of the year, and it led to a drop in most cryptocurrencies instead of an increase. We saw how the market collapsed abnormally. This was a major setback, as liquidity was scarce after the hack due to the fear of such a platform being breached. However, the opposite happened. Trading platforms like Binance and others stepped in to provide full support to the platform, and everything was fine. But after Bitcoin reached $123,000 and then crashed in a single day, there was no buying liquidity at that time. This led to pressure on the markets, and they were unable to correct.
4️⃣ The US Government Shutdown
One of the strongest reasons traders were forced to sell cryptocurrencies just to survive was the US government shutdown. With no government salaries or income, everyone was in a state of extreme panic. Some even sold gold and other valuables. As the government shutdown continued for 43 days, crypto markets in the US and globally suffered even more. Currently, there are rumors of another government shutdown, which could mean we might see Bitcoin return to the $70,000-$90,000 price range. If this happens again, we can expect some projects to declare bankruptcy, others to be placed under review on Binance, and many more to be removed from Binance US.
5️⃣ Gold and War Metals in the Middle East
Everyone knows that Bitcoin is digital gold, but real gold has seen a remarkable rise since 2023. However, everyone also knows that the rise in gold and other metals is decreasing the value of cryptocurrencies. This is causing a liquidity shortage. Currently, when gold rises, Bitcoin falls, and vice versa. Everyone remembers when gold fell sharply; liquidity usually flowed into cryptocurrencies. But currently, Bitcoin is under significant pressure due to gold. The price of an ounce of gold has reached $5110 on trading platforms, which is putting pressure on Bitcoin and reducing market liquidity. However, the war in the Middle East could be a contributing factor to the rise in gold prices. There is a high probability of conflict between Iran, Israel, and the United States over the construction of nuclear reactors and the US's refusal to allow them to be built. This would harm all the Gulf states in the Middle East due to the inherent danger. If this conflict were to occur, we might see gold rise to $6000 per ounce in the second quarter of 2020, but currently, everything is uncertain and not yet confirmed.
⚠️🔴 Stern Japanese Warning: Prime Minister Takeachi Vows to Take Action Against Speculators
⬅️ Firm Tone: Prime Minister Takeachi warned that all necessary measures would be taken to counter abnormal market movements and speculation that harm economic stability.
⬅️ Message to Markets: Traders interpreted the remarks as a sign of limited patience regarding yen volatility and bond yields, especially after the pressures of government spending and recent election promises.
📌 Impact of the News: Positive for the Japanese yen; the remarks heightened caution regarding imminent intervention, pushing the yen higher as short positions were closed to mitigate risk.
🔴🔴 The specter of a US government shutdown looms again
🛑 Risks escalate: The likelihood of a US government shutdown by Friday has reached a new record high amid stalled negotiations in Congress.
🛑 Race against time: Political disagreements over the budget are pushing Washington to the brink of administrative paralysis, with funding set to expire in just a few days.
📌 Impact of the news: Negative for the dollar and positive for gold; the uncertainty is driving investors to flee the US currency for safe havens.
$RIVER is experiencing significant price inflation, and a correction is expected this week due to the high supply of coins. A correction to 60-50 is anticipated, but currently, a drop to 85-95 is expected before the correction. The best entry point for selling is in the 88-93 range only (scalping).
⚡ Gold continues its record-breaking rise, surpassing the $5,000 per ounce mark for the first time, amid escalating global tensions and increased demand from central banks and individual investors.
🚨 The London Bullion Market Association forecasts that gold prices could reach $7,150 an ounce, with an estimated annual average of $4,742 during 2026.
$ENSO is downward and I think it might return to 1.5000 or even lower, but currently a correction is very necessary due to the sideways rise without a correction.
$BTC is trading inside a key demand area (88,750 – 88,300) after a corrective move, showing clear stabilization and buyer absorption. Price is holding above a major intraday support level, while sell pressure is weakening — a classic sign of accumulation before a potential rebound. As long as price stays above the invalidation level, the structure favors a continuation to the upside with momentum-driven targets.