Fernando Pessoa

Bitcoin is facing renewed downside pressure after failing to hold a key breakout, with technical signals now pointing to a potential move toward sub-$60,000 levels, according to multiple analysts.BTC slid to eight-day lows near $90,000 on Tuesday as markets digested rising geopolitical tension and weakening technical structure, putting bulls back on the defensive.Key takeawaysBitcoin has re-entered its multi-month trading range after a failed breakout attemptA new weekly death cross has formed, historically associated with macro bottomsAnalysts warn BTC could revisit $58,000–$62,000 if support failsBitcoin breakout fails as price slips below key levelsData from TradingView shows BTC retesting the $90,000 zone ahead of the week’s first full Wall Street session, after briefly attempting to break higher earlier this month.The pullback coincides with renewed global risk aversion as US-EU trade tensions re-emerge, tied to Washington’s proposed tariff actions involving Greenland. While gold and silver pushed to fresh all-time highs, risk assets — including crypto — came under pressure.Trader Daan Crypto Trades said Bitcoin has now clearly fallen back into its long-standing consolidation range.“Now fully back into the ~$84K–$94K range it has spent the past two months in,” he wrote on X.“Breakout failed — and it doesn’t make for a pretty look.”Technically, BTC lost both the 4-hour 200-period SMA and EMA, weakening short-term structure and shifting focus toward lower support zones.Yearly opens back in playAnalysts are now watching key yearly levels closely.2025 yearly open: ~$93,5002026 yearly open: ~$87,000Rekt Capital noted that Bitcoin must reclaim $93,500 to preserve its weekly breakout structure.“Bitcoin will need to find a way to reclaim $93,500 throughout the week to confirm this as a successful retest,” he said.Failure to do so would place the 2026 yearly open near $87,000 in focus — a level some traders believe is likely to be tested.“It’s rare to see no wick below the yearly open,” Daan Crypto Trades added.“Better to get that out of the way sooner rather than later.”Liquidations spike as volatility returnsMarket stress was reflected in derivatives data.According to CoinGlass, more than $360 million in liquidations occurred over the past 24 hours, with forced selling accelerating as U.S. futures opened overnight.The spike followed renewed trade-war headlines, though some analysts say macro news merely acted as a trigger — not the root cause.Death cross flashes warning signalAccording to Keith Alan, cofounder of Material Indicators, Bitcoin’s latest decline was technically telegraphed well in advance.“This move had nothing to do with narratives,” Alan said.“We’ve seen it developing in the charts for over a month.”Alan highlighted a newly formed weekly death cross, where the 21-week moving average crosses below the 50-week average — a signal that has historically preceded major cycle bottoms.He added that Bitcoin may attempt to bounce near the 100-week SMA, currently around $86,900.$58K–$62K zone back on the tableVeteran trader Peter Brandt offered the most bearish outlook, suggesting Bitcoin could revisit the $58,000–$62,000 range — levels last seen in October 2024.“58k to 62k is where I think it is going,” Brandt wrote on X.“If it does not go there, I won’t be ashamed. I’m wrong 50% of the time.”While Brandt emphasized uncertainty, his call reflects growing caution among technical traders as BTC struggles to reclaim lost momentum.Market outlook: correction or reset?Despite the near-term pressure, several analysts note that:Leverage has already been flushedOpen interest remains well below October highsSpot demand has not collapsedThis leaves open the possibility that further downside — if it occurs — could act as a structural reset rather than a trend reversal, particularly if long-term holders continue accumulating.For now, however, Bitcoin remains vulnerable unless bulls reclaim $93,500–$98,000, with downside liquidity increasingly clustered below.