$BTC $SOL $DOGE 🚨The biggest variable for the Federal Reserve: Will Waller really take the position, and will there be a rate cut in June? The market is about to get excited! 专注于MEME行情，马年就玩马斯克概念的小奶🐶狗🐶P U P P I E S
It's here! Just saw the latest update, and there's a new script for this big drama at the Federal Reserve📜
If Waller, strongly backed by Trump, really can sit in the chairman's position in May, the situation might be completely different! Why? This person has publicly criticized high interest rates before, and the market thinks he is 'both reliable and market-friendly'.
Now the key point comes: the market has already started to bet!
According to CME's FedWatch tool, the probability of a direct 25 basis point rate cut at the June FOMC meeting (which will be Waller's first after taking office) has risen to 46%! It's almost a coin flip situation.
In other words, the next two meetings (in March and May) will likely keep the interest rates unchanged, and everything will wait until June to see the real picture. If Waller takes office, he might quickly start the easing cycle.
What does this mean for our crypto circle? Those who understand, understand 🫢 The shift in liquidity expectations has always been one of the core engines of the market.
Let's take a look at the reactions of some hot coins right now (data fluctuates in real-time, for reference only):
· $CYBER: +3%, showing some momentum.
· $SUI: -1.9%, short-term consolidation.
· $XLM: -0.9%, relatively stable.
A key figure could change the direction of the entire market in the second half of the year. Right now, all eyes are focused on that tough nomination battle (yes, the one previously mentioned, still stuck in the Senate!).
If Waller gets through, will June become the starting point for a new round of market activity? If he doesn't, does the plan have to be completely rewritten?
(What do you all think? Waller taking office is the start of a June rate cut celebration, or just another chapter of 'The Wolf is Coming'? Share your judgment in the comments! 👇)
#美联储 #降息预期 #宏观经济 #BTC走势分析 #Strategy增持比特币 
