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🌎 1. Global Market: The $5,000 Milestone and "Trump Turmoil"
Global gold prices exploded today, hitting an intraday peak of $5,111/oz before stabilizing around the $5,080 - $5,100/oz range.
Key Drivers:
Geopolitical Chaos: The primary catalyst is the "Greenland Crisis." President Trump’s recent threats of 100% tariffs on allies and intensified pressure regarding the acquisition of Greenland have sent shockwaves through global trade.US Shutdown Fears: Rising tensions in Washington over the Department of Homeland Security funding have sparked fears of a government shutdown, driving investors toward safe-haven assets.Weakening USD Credibility: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is hovering near yearly lows as central banks continue to diversify into bullion, questioning the long-term stability of the dollar.
📅 2. Key Events to Watch This Week
The financial world is laser-focused on two major events:
FOMC Meeting (Jan 27-28): While the Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady, any "dovish" signals regarding future cuts will act as fuel for the fire, potentially pushing gold toward the $5,200 mark.US Economic Data: Keep an eye on the Consumer Confidence Index (Tuesday) and PPI data (Friday). Stronger-than-expected inflation data could trigger a short-term technical correction.
📈 3. Outlook and Strategy
Trend: Bullish (Strong Buy) but watch for a "Technical Pause."
While Bank of America has raised its short-term target to $6,000/oz, a vertical climb like today’s often leads to profit-taking. We might see a brief retracement to the $4,900 support level before the next leg up.
Advice for Investors:
Avoid "All-in" FOMO: Buying at an all-time high carries "peak risk." Consider a Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) approach if you are just entering.The "Hybrid Gold" Strategy: If physical gold premiums are too high, tokenized gold like $PAXG remains an excellent alternative for 24/7 liquidity and exposure to global spot prices.Partial Profit Taking: If you bought in the $4,200 – $4,500 range, this is a textbook opportunity to secure some gains while leaving the rest to run.
Weekly Forecast: Expect global gold to close the week near $5,150/oz, provided the Fed narrative remains neutral to dovish.
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Personal insights, not financial advice | DYOR
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