brics

$BTC A structural shock to the US dollar caused by the coordinated efforts among BRICS nations to decrease dependence on the dollar as the global reserve currency. Central Bank digital currencies (CBDCs) play a pivotal role in this strategy, with the Reserve Bank of India advocating linking CBDCs, and Russia and China settling nearly 90% of bilateral trade in non-dollar currencies like rubles and yuan. Additional initiatives such as BRICS Pay and the blockchain-based Unit, alongside the New Development Bank's plan to lend 30% in local currencies by 2026, demonstrate a move toward alternative financial systems. These developments are accompanied by increased gold hoarding as a safe reserve alternative, motivated by fears of dollar weaponization through sanctions.
Market Sentiment
Investor sentiment is marked by growing concern and cautious uncertainty about the long-term stability of the US dollar as the uncontested global reserve currency. The narrative of structural change injects anxiety over geopolitical and economic shifts, prompting risk awareness among global investors and governments. The social media and forums observe mixed debates, with some market participants optimistic about diversifying reserve assets and others anxious about potential short-term volatility in currency and commodity markets. Quantitative signals such as a decline in the dollar's share of global reserves below 40%—a level not seen in approximately 20 years—serve to heighten market sensitivity.
Past & Future Forecast
- Past: The dollar's dominance as a reserve currency has been largely unchallenged since the Bretton Woods agreement after World War II. Previous periods of attempted challenges, such as the rise of the euro and China's yuan internationalization efforts, have only caused limited shifts. The 2008 financial crisis highlighted vulnerabilities, but none triggered structural changes comparable to those now posed by BRICS coordination.
- Future: If BRICS nations successfully implement linked CBDCs and widely adopt alternative payment systems, the dollar's share in global reserves may fall further, potentially below 30% over the next decade. This could correspond to increased volatility in FX markets and commodity prices, with gold gaining prominence. Macro-financial adjustments will likely follow, including changes in global lending and trade patterns. Policymakers worldwide may either resist or accommodate these changes, influencing the pace and scale of the dollar's structural decline.
The Effect
The structural shock to the US dollar may trigger broad, systemic impacts beyond currency markets. For instance, US financial institutions could face diminished demand for dollar-denominated assets, impacting Treasury yields and US borrowing costs. Emerging markets may reduce dollar-based debt, altering global credit dynamics. The shift towards CBDCs and blockchain solutions may accelerate fintech innovation but also increase fragmentation of global payment standards. Increased gold demand could stiffen commodity markets. There exists risk of escalation in trade tensions, especially if the US enforces retaliatory tariffs, further unsettling global economic stability.
Investment Strategy
Recommendation: Hold
- Rationale: The US dollar’s structural challenges represent a significant long-term trend but with substantial short- to mid-term uncertainty and geopolitical risks. Investors should maintain existing positions but prepare for increased volatility and potential market realignments.
- Execution Strategy: Retain diversified portfolios with partial exposure to dollar assets, increase vigilance on technical indicators related to major FX pairs and gold prices, and cautiously accumulate assets linked to emerging market currencies and blockchain innovations as hedges.
- Risk Management Strategy: Employ trailing stops on dollar-denominated assets to protect against downside risk amidst geopolitical escalations; avoid overconcentration; monitor geopolitical developments and central bank communications closely. Given the unpredictable pace of this transition, readiness to adjust positions in response to rapid market and policy shifts is essential.
This strategy reflects institutional investor discipline emphasizing capital preservation amid complex geopolitical shifts while positioning judiciously for structural financial evolutions.#brics #CBDC #USDolloar

Золото вперше за 30 РОКІВ перевищило долар США.
Так, це нарешті сталося.
📊 Дані вже є… і це, чесно кажучи, тривожно.
Особливо якщо ви покладаєтеся на долар.
Вперше за три десятиліття центральні банки тепер тримають БІЛЬШЕ золота, ніж казначейські облігації США.
Нехай це осмислиться.
🌍 Це більше не про погоню за доходом.
Країни не стурбовані прибутками
вони стурбовані виживанням капіталу.
І ви не можете їх звинувачувати.
❌ Державний борг США може бути:
• Заморожено
• Зазначено

​Великі новини з Давосу 2026! Марк Карні визнав, що домінування долара США зменшується. Країни БРІКС (на чолі з Індією) запускають свої власні цифрові системи. Це не просто новина; це "Зміна тренду" в глобальній економіці. Світ шукає "Третій шлях!" 🏦📉

​🔥 Зміна:

🔹 Долар США: Домінування зменшується 📉

🔹 БРІКС: Інтеграція цифрової валюти відбувається ✅

🔹 Індія: Лідер технічної революції 🇮🇳

🔹 Криптовалюта: Виникає як глобальна альтернатива 💎