🚨 BREAKING: U.S. Government Shutdown Risk in 6 Days

Markets are entering a high-uncertainty window. Historically, shutdowns have pushed gold and silver to new highs, while risk assets face elevated pressure.

⚠️ 4 Key Risks to Watch:

1️⃣ Data Blackout

No CPI, no jobs data → policy and risk models lose visibility. Volatility typically reprices higher.

2️⃣ Collateral Shock

Credit stress + shutdown risk may trigger downgrades, pushing repo margins higher and tightening liquidity.

3️⃣ Liquidity Freeze

The RRP buffer is largely depleted. Dealer cash hoarding could strain funding markets.

4️⃣ Recession Risk

Each shutdown week cuts ~0.2% of GDP, potentially tipping a fragile economy into recession.

📉 Key signal:

Watch the SOFR–IORB spread — widening indicates private markets starved for cash.

Market Watch:

• $DUSK : −18.2%

DUSK
DUSK
0.134
-2.11%

• $ZKC : +6.1%

ZKCBSC
ZKC
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• $AUCTION : active setup

AUCTION
AUCTION
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Bottom line:

Markets are highly sensitive. Stay disciplined, manage risk, and avoid emotional positioning.

#Macro #Volatility #Risk #CryptoNews #Markets