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公众号:青山王⭐币安手续费8折⭐职业交易员导师⭐《道氏理论》《威科夫理论》《缠论》《波浪理论》研究员
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Battle of Bulls and Bears: Is the Plunge the Finale or a Halftime Break? Tonight's Livestream Breakdown!
Friends, I am Qingshan. BTC has been fluctuating between $74,600 and $79,000, with long and short divergences reaching a peak. On one side of the market is the "extreme fear" sentiment of retail investors, while on the other side is the genuine buying from exchanges. Now, should we be in despair or see hope?
The core contradiction lies here:
1. Can the "cost defense line" hold? Data indicates that the average holding cost of the Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. is around $79,000, forming a crucial psychological defense line for institutions. Options market data shows that $75,000 is a concentration of a large number of put options, becoming a lifeline for short-term bulls. Are these two defense lines still solid tonight?
2. Conflicting signals, whose to listen to? On-chain data shows that U.S. buying demand is quietly warming up, and Binance has even utilized the SAFU fund to buy the dip with $100 million. However, the technical analysis remains dominated by bears: the daily MACD death cross continues, and prices are suppressed by all major moving averages. Should we trust the actions of "smart money," or respect the cold charts?
3. If we break down, where is the bottom? If the key support at $74,500 is effectively breached, the mid-term target may point to $72,000 or even lower. Some analysts even believe that without upward catalysts, BTC may retrace to the realization price of $56,000. Is this alarmist talk, or a scenario we need to be wary of?
Tonight's livestream, Teacher Qingshan will clarify for you:
· Technical Explanation: What are the long and short conversion signals on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts? How to anticipate the key resistance level ($79,000-$80,000) and support zone ($76,000-$76,500)?
· Strategy Response: How can heavy investors use rebounds to reduce positions? When can light investors consider gradual entry? What are the specific position management strategies?
· Mentality Building: In the extreme switch between fear and greed, how to stay calm and not be swayed by the market?
What question do you care about the most right now? Is it how to handle your current positions, or the next clear entry and exit signal?
Bring your questions to Teacher Qingshan's livestream! Together we will clear the fog and seek certainty amidst the volatility.
Click to make a reservation, don’t get lost in the livestream.
Friends, I am Qingshan. BTC has been fluctuating between $74,600 and $79,000, with long and short divergences reaching a peak. On one side of the market is the "extreme fear" sentiment of retail investors, while on the other side is the genuine buying from exchanges. Now, should we be in despair or see hope?
The core contradiction lies here:
1. Can the "cost defense line" hold? Data indicates that the average holding cost of the Bitcoin ETF in the U.S. is around $79,000, forming a crucial psychological defense line for institutions. Options market data shows that $75,000 is a concentration of a large number of put options, becoming a lifeline for short-term bulls. Are these two defense lines still solid tonight?
2. Conflicting signals, whose to listen to? On-chain data shows that U.S. buying demand is quietly warming up, and Binance has even utilized the SAFU fund to buy the dip with $100 million. However, the technical analysis remains dominated by bears: the daily MACD death cross continues, and prices are suppressed by all major moving averages. Should we trust the actions of "smart money," or respect the cold charts?
3. If we break down, where is the bottom? If the key support at $74,500 is effectively breached, the mid-term target may point to $72,000 or even lower. Some analysts even believe that without upward catalysts, BTC may retrace to the realization price of $56,000. Is this alarmist talk, or a scenario we need to be wary of?
Tonight's livestream, Teacher Qingshan will clarify for you:
· Technical Explanation: What are the long and short conversion signals on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts? How to anticipate the key resistance level ($79,000-$80,000) and support zone ($76,000-$76,500)?
· Strategy Response: How can heavy investors use rebounds to reduce positions? When can light investors consider gradual entry? What are the specific position management strategies?
· Mentality Building: In the extreme switch between fear and greed, how to stay calm and not be swayed by the market?
What question do you care about the most right now? Is it how to handle your current positions, or the next clear entry and exit signal?
Bring your questions to Teacher Qingshan's livestream! Together we will clear the fog and seek certainty amidst the volatility.
Click to make a reservation, don’t get lost in the livestream.
In the 'low-level oscillation trap' of BTC, how to become one of the few winners? Teacher Qingshan gives you three survival rules
Friends, I am Qingshan.
I know, the recent market is suffocating. Bitcoin is oscillating at a low level, with no direction, just like a punch hitting cotton—no strength can be exerted, and you don't know which way it will fall next.
Bottom fishing? Afraid of catching it halfway up the mountain. Shorting? Again, afraid of a sudden big bullish line pulling it up. Most people are just consuming their principal and confidence in this kind of hesitation and anxiety. But I want to tell you, professional traders precisely love this kind of 'oscillating bottoming' chaotic period. Because the more ambiguous the rules, the more the gap in cognition can be transformed into profit.
I know, the recent market is suffocating. Bitcoin is oscillating at a low level, with no direction, just like a punch hitting cotton—no strength can be exerted, and you don't know which way it will fall next.
Bottom fishing? Afraid of catching it halfway up the mountain. Shorting? Again, afraid of a sudden big bullish line pulling it up. Most people are just consuming their principal and confidence in this kind of hesitation and anxiety. But I want to tell you, professional traders precisely love this kind of 'oscillating bottoming' chaotic period. Because the more ambiguous the rules, the more the gap in cognition can be transformed into profit.
BTC 1-Hour MACD High Win-Rate Strategy: The 'Rhythm Master' of Short-Term Trading
Friends, I am Qingshan. In day trading, do you often feel dizzy from the market's noise? Chasing highs and cutting losses, utterly exhausted? Today, I will give you a set of high win-rate MACD strategies based on the 1-hour chart. It cannot guarantee you will win every battle, but it can help you catch the market's rhythm like a 'rhythm master' and significantly improve your win rate in short-term trading.
Core idea: Only trade in the direction of 'zero axis resonance'.
On the 1-hour chart, the zero axis of the MACD is the dividing line of bullish and bearish forces and a trend filter. Remember our highest principle: never operate against the trend.
Core idea: Only trade in the direction of 'zero axis resonance'.
On the 1-hour chart, the zero axis of the MACD is the dividing line of bullish and bearish forces and a trend filter. Remember our highest principle: never operate against the trend.
Has Bitcoin stabilized? Is it a bullish trend now? Teacher Qingshan gives you the most direct answer.
#BTC走势分析
Friends, I am Qingshan. Recently, the market has left people bewildered, with countless individuals asking two core questions: 'Has it bottomed out? Can we start buying long?'
In today's article, I will not provide ambiguous answers; I will directly present the driest conclusions and logic.
Core judgment: Stabilization is in progress, but asserting a 'bullish trend' is premature.
Directly answering the two questions in the title:
1. Has BTC stabilized? The answer is: It is attempting to build a temporary bottom, but the foundation is still not solid. The price has received strong buying support in the $74,000-$75,000 range and has rebounded, indicating that funds recognize the long-term value of this area. At the same time, some long-term indicators, such as ahr999, have entered a rare 'buying zone,' which is usually an important signal of market overselling.
Friends, I am Qingshan. Recently, the market has left people bewildered, with countless individuals asking two core questions: 'Has it bottomed out? Can we start buying long?'
In today's article, I will not provide ambiguous answers; I will directly present the driest conclusions and logic.
Core judgment: Stabilization is in progress, but asserting a 'bullish trend' is premature.
Directly answering the two questions in the title:
1. Has BTC stabilized? The answer is: It is attempting to build a temporary bottom, but the foundation is still not solid. The price has received strong buying support in the $74,000-$75,000 range and has rebounded, indicating that funds recognize the long-term value of this area. At the same time, some long-term indicators, such as ahr999, have entered a rare 'buying zone,' which is usually an important signal of market overselling.
Live, follow Teacher Qingshan
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Everyone is guessing the bottom, feeling uncertain? The true bottom is not determined by guesswork, but by the fixed 'script' revealed by the market — that is, the classic bottom patterns.
Most people incur losses because they mistake the 'consolidation' during a downtrend as the bottom, ending up buying in halfway down the slope. Professional traders remain calm because they only recognize a few market-recognized bottom structures, such as:
· Double bottom (W bottom)
· Head and shoulders bottom
· Rounded bottom
Each pattern has its clear structural characteristics, volume-price requirements, and confirmation signals. By identifying them, you can break free from guessing and use rules to recognize the real starting point of trend reversals.
Join Teacher Qingshan's live stream at 8 PM tonight.
I will break down these core bottom patterns one by one:
1. What do they specifically look like?
2. How to confirm the pattern is valid?
3. Where is the best entry point?
Click to make a reservation, tonight at 8 PM, arm yourself with knowledge, and say goodbye to blind bottom guessing.
Everyone is guessing the bottom, feeling uncertain? The true bottom is not determined by guesswork, but by the fixed 'script' revealed by the market — that is, the classic bottom patterns.
Most people incur losses because they mistake the 'consolidation' during a downtrend as the bottom, ending up buying in halfway down the slope. Professional traders remain calm because they only recognize a few market-recognized bottom structures, such as:
· Double bottom (W bottom)
· Head and shoulders bottom
· Rounded bottom
Each pattern has its clear structural characteristics, volume-price requirements, and confirmation signals. By identifying them, you can break free from guessing and use rules to recognize the real starting point of trend reversals.
Join Teacher Qingshan's live stream at 8 PM tonight.
I will break down these core bottom patterns one by one:
1. What do they specifically look like?
2. How to confirm the pattern is valid?
3. Where is the best entry point?
Click to make a reservation, tonight at 8 PM, arm yourself with knowledge, and say goodbye to blind bottom guessing.
Is the 'False Rebound' a Trap or an Opportunity? Key Distinctions Between Downward Continuation and True Bottom at a Glance
Friends, I am Qingshan.
The rebound after a crash is the most tempting and also the most dangerous. What you think is a 'bottom reversal' may just be the market catching its breath before continuing to fall — this is known as a 'false rebound', also called a 'downward continuation'. Today, I will teach you a few key distinctions so that you are no longer 'fooled' by the rebound.
Core Concept: What is a 'Downward Continuation', and what is a 'True Bottom'?
· Downward Continuation: It's like taking a break at a pavilion while climbing a mountain. After a wave of price decline, a brief and limited rebound occurs (this 'pavilion'), but the bullish momentum is insufficient, and the break will soon end, continuing the downward journey.
The rebound after a crash is the most tempting and also the most dangerous. What you think is a 'bottom reversal' may just be the market catching its breath before continuing to fall — this is known as a 'false rebound', also called a 'downward continuation'. Today, I will teach you a few key distinctions so that you are no longer 'fooled' by the rebound.
Core Concept: What is a 'Downward Continuation', and what is a 'True Bottom'?
· Downward Continuation: It's like taking a break at a pavilion while climbing a mountain. After a wave of price decline, a brief and limited rebound occurs (this 'pavilion'), but the bullish momentum is insufficient, and the break will soon end, continuing the downward journey.
Three Things Experienced Traders Are Doing When the Market Is in Panic (Not Buying the Dip)
Friends, I am Qingshan.
When the market is in turmoil and the group is in mourning, you will notice a phenomenon: beginners are asking everywhere, 'Can we buy the dip now?', while those who have truly experienced multiple cycles remain particularly silent. They are not daydreaming, but are focused on doing the following three things. These three things are a thousand times more important than 'buying the dip'.
The first thing: Immediately conduct a 'position stress test'.
The first reaction of experienced traders is not to look at the market, but to check their own accounts. They will conduct a thorough 'position stress test' like doctors performing emergency checks:
When the market is in turmoil and the group is in mourning, you will notice a phenomenon: beginners are asking everywhere, 'Can we buy the dip now?', while those who have truly experienced multiple cycles remain particularly silent. They are not daydreaming, but are focused on doing the following three things. These three things are a thousand times more important than 'buying the dip'.
The first thing: Immediately conduct a 'position stress test'.
The first reaction of experienced traders is not to look at the market, but to check their own accounts. They will conduct a thorough 'position stress test' like doctors performing emergency checks:
'Heaven and Earth Lock' Dilemma Explained: Two Solutions for Different Positions
Friends, I am Qingshan. I am currently live streaming. Join the live stream to receive 🧧🧧🧧.
Recently, the market has been fluctuating sharply. Many friends have reached out to me, saying their long and short positions are locked in both directions, unable to move. This is what we commonly refer to as 'Heaven and Earth Lock.' Today, I won't talk about vague concepts; I'll get straight to the point and provide you with two clear unlocking paths for both light and heavy positions.
What is 'Heaven and Earth Lock'?
In simple terms, it means that you opened a long position at a high point, and after the price dropped, you were unwilling to cut losses. Then, you opened a short position at a low point in an attempt to hedge. As a result, both long and short positions exist simultaneously, and regardless of whether the price rises or falls, the total floating loss is basically locked within a certain range, as if being trapped by both 'Heaven' and 'Earth.'
Recently, the market has been fluctuating sharply. Many friends have reached out to me, saying their long and short positions are locked in both directions, unable to move. This is what we commonly refer to as 'Heaven and Earth Lock.' Today, I won't talk about vague concepts; I'll get straight to the point and provide you with two clear unlocking paths for both light and heavy positions.
What is 'Heaven and Earth Lock'?
In simple terms, it means that you opened a long position at a high point, and after the price dropped, you were unwilling to cut losses. Then, you opened a short position at a low point in an attempt to hedge. As a result, both long and short positions exist simultaneously, and regardless of whether the price rises or falls, the total floating loss is basically locked within a certain range, as if being trapped by both 'Heaven' and 'Earth.'
Red Alert! Three urgent self-check steps, take immediate action to avoid liquidation!
Friends, I am Qingshan. The market has plummeted sharply. Has your account turned red? Don't worry about the market for now, stop immediately and take 1 minute to follow these three urgent self-check steps! This is the last line of defense to protect your principal.
Step 1: Check the position's 'bleeding point'
Immediately check your position ratio. If a single position exceeds 20% of total funds, or total positions exceed 50%, you are a 'high-risk patient.' In a sharp decline, having a heavy position is the fastest path to liquidation. Ask yourself immediately: If the price drops another 10%, can I still hold on?
Step 2: Check the stop loss 'escape route'
Open your order list and see if you have set a stop loss? Has the stop loss been moved back repeatedly as the price has fallen? Remember: a position without a stop loss is like driving without a seatbelt. Moving the stop loss is equivalent to dismantling the brake pads by hand. If your stop loss level has been breached or you haven't set one at all, the danger level rises to the highest.
Step 1: Check the position's 'bleeding point'
Immediately check your position ratio. If a single position exceeds 20% of total funds, or total positions exceed 50%, you are a 'high-risk patient.' In a sharp decline, having a heavy position is the fastest path to liquidation. Ask yourself immediately: If the price drops another 10%, can I still hold on?
Step 2: Check the stop loss 'escape route'
Open your order list and see if you have set a stop loss? Has the stop loss been moved back repeatedly as the price has fallen? Remember: a position without a stop loss is like driving without a seatbelt. Moving the stop loss is equivalent to dismantling the brake pads by hand. If your stop loss level has been breached or you haven't set one at all, the danger level rises to the highest.
#爆仓了
Live! Has the market reached the bottom? Come in and learn to identify bottom signals!
Stop guessing! After such a big drop, is it the bottom or a pit? Come to Teacher Qingshan's live broadcast now!
Currently explaining live: how to identify real bottom signals and avoid the pitfalls of bottom fishing.
If you have any questions, what to do if your position is trapped, how to view the current trend... directly connect or ask in the comments, answers will be provided on the spot!
Click on the profile picture to enter the live room immediately and see the direction with technology!
Live! Has the market reached the bottom? Come in and learn to identify bottom signals!
Stop guessing! After such a big drop, is it the bottom or a pit? Come to Teacher Qingshan's live broadcast now!
Currently explaining live: how to identify real bottom signals and avoid the pitfalls of bottom fishing.
If you have any questions, what to do if your position is trapped, how to view the current trend... directly connect or ask in the comments, answers will be provided on the spot!
Click on the profile picture to enter the live room immediately and see the direction with technology!
Has the sky fallen? While you are busy 'catching the bottom', Qingshan's disciples have long been eating麻了
Friends, I am Qingshan.
When the square is opened, the screen is filled with 'liquidation' screenshots and wails of 'where is the bottom'. Bitcoin and Ethereum are continuously declining, countless accounts have vanished, and it really feels like 'the sky has fallen again'.
Many people ask me: 'Teacher Qingshan, since it has fallen so much, can we catch the bottom now?' The most common thing friends hear in my live broadcast is: 'Don't guess the bottom, we only follow the trend.'
Today, I must say a heartbreaking truth: constantly 'catching the bottom' during a continuous decline is one of the most expensive and tragic forms of 'suicide' in the market. Those students who followed us in the live broadcast and focused on being 'trend friends' not only avoided this massacre but even managed to profit steadily amidst the volatility.
When the square is opened, the screen is filled with 'liquidation' screenshots and wails of 'where is the bottom'. Bitcoin and Ethereum are continuously declining, countless accounts have vanished, and it really feels like 'the sky has fallen again'.
Many people ask me: 'Teacher Qingshan, since it has fallen so much, can we catch the bottom now?' The most common thing friends hear in my live broadcast is: 'Don't guess the bottom, we only follow the trend.'
Today, I must say a heartbreaking truth: constantly 'catching the bottom' during a continuous decline is one of the most expensive and tragic forms of 'suicide' in the market. Those students who followed us in the live broadcast and focused on being 'trend friends' not only avoided this massacre but even managed to profit steadily amidst the volatility.
Gold plummets, must Bitcoin follow? Wrong! Teacher Qingshan reveals the real risks at present.
Friends, I am Qingshan.
This morning, several friends urgently asked me: 'Teacher Qingshan, gold has collapsed, is Bitcoin going to be doomed?'
I know that many people have a deep-seated notion: Bitcoin is 'digital gold.' When gold falls, Bitcoin must follow. But today, I must clarify this misconception for you—if you look at the market with this mindset, you are likely focusing in the wrong direction, overlooking the real dangers!
1. Digital gold? The data tells you: the correlation is extremely low!
First, let's talk with data. According to research from ARK Invest, the long-term statistical correlation between Bitcoin and gold prices is only 0.14. What does this number mean? Simply put, it means that the two are almost uncorrelated and go their separate ways.
This morning, several friends urgently asked me: 'Teacher Qingshan, gold has collapsed, is Bitcoin going to be doomed?'
I know that many people have a deep-seated notion: Bitcoin is 'digital gold.' When gold falls, Bitcoin must follow. But today, I must clarify this misconception for you—if you look at the market with this mindset, you are likely focusing in the wrong direction, overlooking the real dangers!
1. Digital gold? The data tells you: the correlation is extremely low!
First, let's talk with data. According to research from ARK Invest, the long-term statistical correlation between Bitcoin and gold prices is only 0.14. What does this number mean? Simply put, it means that the two are almost uncorrelated and go their separate ways.
High Winning Rate Short-term Trading Method
'5-3-1' minimalist intraday trading strategy: How to seize high-winning-rate opportunities like a cheetah, only once a day
Friends, I am Qingshan. Many students ask me: Teacher Qingshan, is there a simple, clear, high-winning-rate intraday short-term method that doesn't require watching the market all day and still allows for stable profits?
Today, I will share a set of '5-3-1' minimalist intraday trading strategies that I taught internally at 'Qingshan Academy'. Its core is not to make you trade frequently, but to patiently wait like a cheetah, strike with full force, and hit the target in one go.
Step one: Determine the trend in '5' minutes—see where the big river flows
Friends, I am Qingshan. Many students ask me: Teacher Qingshan, is there a simple, clear, high-winning-rate intraday short-term method that doesn't require watching the market all day and still allows for stable profits?
Today, I will share a set of '5-3-1' minimalist intraday trading strategies that I taught internally at 'Qingshan Academy'. Its core is not to make you trade frequently, but to patiently wait like a cheetah, strike with full force, and hit the target in one go.
Step one: Determine the trend in '5' minutes—see where the big river flows
From being a liquidation novice to stable profits, they only did one thing: joined the Qingshan Academy.
#爆仓了 What should I do?
Students, I am Qingshan.
After so many years in the crypto space, I have seen too many tragic cycles: crazy FOMO chasing the rise, holding on through crashes without cutting losses, increasing positions against the trend and getting liquidated, emotional breakdowns leading to exit... Then the bull market returns, and the story repeats itself.
Many people are not lacking in effort, but rather are putting their effort in the wrong direction. Treating the market like a casino, equating luck with skill, and seeing 'signal callers' as a lifeline.
So, today I officially announce on Binance: I have founded the 'Qingshan Academy'.
This is not another 'wealth password group', but a learning community focused on trading techniques themselves. My goal is very pure: to help every serious trader establish their own trading system and no longer be mindless victims.
Students, I am Qingshan.
After so many years in the crypto space, I have seen too many tragic cycles: crazy FOMO chasing the rise, holding on through crashes without cutting losses, increasing positions against the trend and getting liquidated, emotional breakdowns leading to exit... Then the bull market returns, and the story repeats itself.
Many people are not lacking in effort, but rather are putting their effort in the wrong direction. Treating the market like a casino, equating luck with skill, and seeing 'signal callers' as a lifeline.
So, today I officially announce on Binance: I have founded the 'Qingshan Academy'.
This is not another 'wealth password group', but a learning community focused on trading techniques themselves. My goal is very pure: to help every serious trader establish their own trading system and no longer be mindless victims.
Qingshan Academy, the achievements of one billion students. Follow the broadcaster to join Qingshan Academy.
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