#usiranmarketimpact Escalating tensions from Trump's 25% tariffs on Iran's trade partners (China/India/UAE/Turkey/Brazil) + shadow fleet sanctions fuel oil volatility, but crypto/stocks hold steady.

Oil & Energy Shock

Iran protests (deadliest since '79) + Strait of Hormuz blockade fears spiked Brent to $65+/bbl last week; full disruption could hit $91/bbl late 2026, pressuring global inflation/commodities. China (80% Iran exports) faces trade hit, but no Hormuz closure yet.

Crypto/Equities Reaction

BTC rallied to $97K Jan 14 on "digital gold" hedge (+3.9%), $500M shorts liquidated; now rebounding despite risks — markets price low strike odds (70% Polymarket by Jan 31). Stocks unmoved amid multi-geopolitics (Venezuela/Greenland).

Tariffs > bombs: Risk-on intact, watch energy flows. 🛢️📈 #CryptoMarkets #Geopolitics $BTC