Bitcoin – Complete Macro Trading Blueprint (Updated With SuperTrend Logic)

🚀 $BTC – Complete Macro Trading Blueprint (Updated With SuperTrend Logic)

🟩 1. Long Entry Zone (EMA Ribbon Support)

$84,739 – $86,830

#BTC is holding inside the weekly EMA Ribbon, which is currently green and expanding.

This entire ribbon width acts as a strong dynamic support, making it the ideal zone for long entries toward the Right Shoulder.

🟦 2. Right Shoulder Target Zone (Dual Resistance Zone)

$104,463 – $108,246

BTC is expected to rally into the Right Shoulder where two major resistances meet:

🔹 Horizontal Weekly Resistance

Strong supply where previous rejections happened.

🔹 Nov-2022 Trendline Resistance

A macro trendline from Nov-22 acting as upper structure resistance.

📌 This creates a high-probability reversal zone, ideal for taking profit on longs and preparing for shorts.

🔻 3. Updated Weekly SuperTrend Logic (Very Important)

BTC triggered the Weekly SuperTrend Sell Signal when price dropped to $93,000.

At that moment, the SuperTrend line was positioned around $115,000, and it is still standing there now.

📌 Historical SuperTrend Behavior:

Whenever the SuperTrend gives a Sell Signal, the following sequence always happens:

1️⃣ Market forms a swing low after the signal.

✔ Current swing low: $80.6k

2️⃣ After forming the swing low, BTC moves upward toward the SuperTrend line, typically reaching Fib 0.5–0.618 of the entire move.

➡ This matches perfectly with the target zone: $104k–$108k

3️⃣ Only after this Fib 0.5–0.618 retracement does the real sell-off begin.

✅ What does that mean for the current chart?

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  SuperTrend Sell was activated at 93k

  
  

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  Swing low was made at 80.6k

  
  

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  Now BTC is showing bullish momentum,

  
  

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  SuperTrend line remains at $115k
  
  ➡ So BTC must retrace to Fib 0.5–0.618 ($104k–$108k) before the real downside begins.

  
  

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This aligns perfectly with the Right Shoulder formation.

🔻 4. Short Setup – Head & Shoulders Completion

After hitting the Right Shoulder zone:

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  Fib 0.786 → ~$59,995

  
  

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  Fib 0.88 → ~$54,890

  
  

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This is where the Head & Shoulders pattern completes.

🟩 5. Relief Rally (Before Final Downside)

Expected bullish bounce targets:

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  $74,500

  
  

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  $80,000 – $84,000

  
  

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This is the pre-final-correction relief move.

🔻 6. Final Bottom Before Halving

BTC is expected to reach the major cycle bottom in:

Fib 0.5–0.618 → $34,500 – $44,193

This zone aligns with:

✔ BTC macro cycle behavior

✔ SuperTrend retracement history

✔ EMA + trendline confluence

✔ Final accumulation before halving

📌 Final Summary (Fully Updated With SuperTrend Logic)

✔ Long: $84.7k–$86.8k (EMA Ribbon Support)

✔ Target: $104k–$108k (Fib 0.5–0.618 + Dual Resistance + SuperTrend retrace zone)

✔ SuperTrend Sell: Activated at 93k, target 115k → BTC historically retraces to Fib 0.5–0.618 before the real sell

✔ Short: $104k–$108k → down to $60k–$55k

✔ H&S Completion: Fib 0.786–0.88 zone

✔ Relief Rally: $74.5k & $80–84k

✔ Final Bottom: $34.5k–$44.1k

✔ Real bull cycle begins AFTER this retracement

#DYOR #NFA #BTC100kNext? #btc70k