$RESOLV Weekend Outlook: BTC Weak Momentum, Altcoins Highly Divergent $BTR
$AXS At the time of this chart, BTC was around $88,578 (-1.16%). On the 1H timeframe, the price is below key moving averages (MA25 and MA99), meaning sellers are still in control in the short term.
BTC had a green rebound from the low of $88,136, but to be precise: this is just a technical rebound, not a clear reversal.
Another noteworthy point is that liquidity was thin over the weekend, and selling pressure was dominant. Therefore, you'll see a market pattern of "quick drops followed by slight rallies"—making it easy to get carried away by emotions.
Altcoins: Red is the general trend, green is a few "hot spots"
Looking at the Crypto Bubbles daily chart, you'll see a fairly wide area of altcoins in the red, with some coins experiencing significant drops like:
• IP falling sharply
• XMR, KAIA, DASH clearly in the red
• Many top/mid-cap coins down 2-3%
But there are still a few prominent green coins like RIVER, MYX, CC, PUMP… which are rising sharply.
And here's the most important point:
The current green isn't a sign of the entire market entering its peak season, but rather money is flowing selectively according to specific narratives.
In other words: the market is diverging, not an altseason.
So when does an "altcoin season" truly begin?
An altseason isn't just about a few coins soaring and then assuming it's the next season. A true altseason usually has 3 conditions:
1. BTC must be stable (sideways consolidation at high levels, no sudden drops)
2. Money flows out of BTC (BTC dominance decreases)
3. Altcoins rise in line with the overall trend (most top/mid coins are green, volume is widespread)
But what about now?
BTC still has a weak short-term structure + widespread altcoin red → not yet meeting the conditions to be called an altcoin season.
Weekend scenario for you to watch (very practical):
• If BTC holds the $88,136 level and recovers to reclaim the $89.1k–$89.5k area → the market will be more "breathable", altcoins have a chance to recover steadily.
• If BTC loses $88,136 → liquidity will be thin at the end of the week, a strong sweep is very likely, and altcoins usually hurt more than BTC.
My Conclusion
This weekend marks a market rebalancing phase:
BTC is weak – altcoins are polarizing – money flow is selective.
Those who FOMO (fear of missing out) following a few green candles are likely to fall into a trap.
Those who are disciplined, wait for confirmation, and choose the right trades with real money flow are the ones who will survive in the long run.
What coins are you holding, or which coins are you watching? Comment/message me your watchlist, and I'll quickly help you understand the logic of money flow: BTC → ETH → Altcoins.
