tokenunlocks

模組化區塊鏈龍頭 Celestia (TIA) 本週走勢疲軟。根據 Token Unlocks 數據，佔總供應量 8% 的 TIA 代幣解鎖，價值約 3 億美元，將提升早期投資者獲利了結的意願。與此同時，競爭對手 EigenLayer 推出的 EigenDA 解決方案因成本更低，正在快速蠶食 Celestia 的市場份額。
​Delphi Digital 的研究報告顯示，多個原本計畫基於 Celestia 構建的 Rollup 項目，近期宣佈遷移至 EigenDA 生態。面對激烈的競爭與即將到來的供給衝擊，技術面已跌破關鍵支撐。策略建議 「波段做空（Short）」，直至解鎖賣壓消化完畢。
#celestia #tia #ModularBlockchain #tokenunlocks #CryptoShort
$TIA

Pārejot uz 2026. gadu, kamēr Bitcoin joprojām saglabā pozīciju kā "digitālais zelts", Altcoin tirgus piedzīvo lēnu un spēcīgu diferencēšanos. Daudzi analītiķi, tostarp tādi nosaukumi kā George Tung vai Michaël van de Poppe, ir norādījuši uz 2 "nāvējošiem" iemesliem, kas spiež lejup šo monētu izaugsmes iespējas.

Altcoin ir diezgan lēns, nespēj pārsist
Šeit ir detalizēta analīze.

Ever wondered why that hot new listing on Binance Futures suddenly starts a "slow bleed" after the first 48 hours? It's not usually a project failure—it's Structural Sell Pressure.
​After analyzing over 580+ coins on Binance Futures, a repeating "Decay Pattern" has emerged. Here is the breakdown of the strategy we built to trade this reality.
​🔍 The Origin of the Strategy
​Nearly 70% of assets trend lower after their initial listing period. We call this the "67% Negative Growth" Rule. The cause?
​The Exit Liquidity Event: Projects often launch with only 5%–15% float. When the remaining 85% starts unlocking, VCs who bought at $0.001 are ready to exit at $0.10.​The Retail Trap: Hype creates a price spike. Retail traders buy the "New Listing" tag, but 48 hours later, the "Smart Money" has finished selling, leaving the price with nowhere to go but down.
​🛡️ The Refined Rules of Execution
​1️⃣ Rule 1: The Valuation-Supply Mismatch (Selection)
Target assets where the FDV (Fully Diluted Valuation) is at least 5x higher than the Market Cap. If "Locked Supply" is >80%, the asset is a priority candidate for a long-term bleed.
​2️⃣ Rule 2: The 48-Hour Hype Ceiling (Confirmation)
Monitor the first two days of a listing. If an asset sets an All-Time High (ATH) within 48 hours and fails to reclaim it within 5 days, the "Hype Phase" is over. We are now in Distribution.
​3️⃣ Rule 3: The "T-Minus 72" Entry (Timing)
Watch the supply-event calendar. The optimal short entry is 72 hours before a major unlock. This captures the "front-running" behavior of insiders moving assets to the exchange.
​4️⃣ Rule 4: The Overbought "Dead Cat" Fade (Precision)
Never "market short" a dump. Wait for a relief pump (a short-term bounce). Use the 1H or 4H chart to identify an overbought state. Enter when buying volume tapers off near a previous support-turned-resistance.
​5️⃣ Rule 5: The Crowded Trade Filter (Risk)
Always check the Funding Rate. If it’s significantly negative, avoid the short—a "Short Squeeze" is likely. Only enter when the rate is neutral or positive, meaning there's still a "long" bias to trade against.
​💡 Final Thoughts
​In crypto, the gravity of supply is the strongest force. By identifying assets with heavy inflation and weak post-listing momentum, you trade with the mathematical trend of the market.
​Which new listings are you watching this week? Let's discuss in the comments! 👇
​#tradingStrategy #BinanceFutures #CryptoAnalysis #tokenunlocks

Today #kaito token unlocks 33.09M KAITO 3.31%

#KAITO #tokenunlocks

Janvāris ir smagas volatilitātes mēnesis. Ja tu turi šos tokenus, pievērs uzmanību piegādes šokam, kas tuvojas:
​$STRK (Starknet): 127 miljoni tokenu atbloķējas 15. janvārī. Gaidi kādu pārdošanas spiedienu.
​$ARB (Arbitrum): 92 miljoni tokenu atbloķējas 16. janvārī.
​$ZRO (LayerZero): Liels atbloķēšana gaidāma no 20. līdz 26. janvārim.
​Pro Padoms: Bieži vien tirgus "iekļauj" šos atbloķējumus agri. Ja tu redzi strauju kritumu pirms datuma, tas var būt lāču slazds. Vienmēr pārbaudi $FDUSD vai $USDC pārus stabilām ieejām.