$BTC President Trump's Tariff Threat & Its Global Market Implications 🌎

President Trump's warning to Canada is a strategic move, primarily targeting China. He fears a special trade deal between Canada and Beijing could allow Chinese goods to bypass American tariffs via Canada, effectively undermining U.S. trade defenses. This could transform Canada into a "drop-off port" in his view.

Canada's economic reliance on the U.S. is significant, with 75-76% of all Canadian exports, valued over $450B annually, going south. A 100% tariff would immediately render Canadian goods uncompetitive. Past tariffs (10-25% in 2018-2019) led to substantial declines in steel (-41%) and aluminum (-19%) exports, disrupting $16.6B CAD in trade and impacting jobs. 📉

Such a drastic tariff would expose critical sectors like autos, energy, steel, and aluminum. Meanwhile, Canada seeks to diversify its trade, strengthening ties with China in areas like agriculture, EVs, and batteries. While economically sensible for Canada, this strategy is politically volatile given U.S.-China relations. 🇨🇦🇺🇸🇨🇳

Could Canada become caught in the crossfire of the U.S.-China trade war? This evolving standoff has the potential to introduce rapid shocks to global markets.

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#Macro #TradeWar #GlobalMarkets