chainlink

$Chainlink (LINK) sta negoziando intorno a $11.81, mostrando un declino giornaliero di circa -1.99%. Nelle ultime 24 ore, LINK ha registrato un massimo vicino a $12.14 e un minimo intorno a $11.36, indicando una moderata volatilità intraday.
Nel grafico a 30 minuti, il mercato ha recentemente subito un forte movimento ribassista, spingendo il prezzo giù fino al livello di supporto di $11.36. Tuttavia, i compratori sono intervenuti a quel livello, innescando un recupero a breve termine. Il prezzo è rimbalzato costantemente e è risalito verso la zona di resistenza di $11.85–$12.00, dove è attualmente visibile una pressione di vendita.

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As January draws to a close, “extreme fear” has once again taken hold across the crypto market. This shift in sentiment has pushed many traders toward defensive positioning, with short exposure dominating derivatives markets. However, a closer look at liquidation data, on-chain metrics, and positioning imbalances suggests that several altcoins are now sitting at critical inflection points.
Ethereum (ETH), Chainlink (LINK), and River (RIVER) stand out as assets where positioning has become increasingly crowded. If price action moves against prevailing expectations, these tokens could collectively trigger billions of dollars in liquidations over the coming days.
Here’s a breakdown of why liquidation risk is rising for each.
1. Ethereum (ETH)
Ethereum’s 7-day liquidation heatmap reveals a sharp imbalance between potential short and long liquidations. Short positioning has expanded significantly following ETH’s recent decline below the $3,000 level, leaving the market vulnerable to a short squeeze.
According to derivatives data, a rebound toward $3,200 could result in more than $4.8 billion in short liquidations. This makes ETH one of the most asymmetric setups in the market this week.
On-chain data adds another layer of caution. Analyst CW highlights that Ethereum’s Whale vs. Retail Delta has flipped from negative to positive and continues to rise. This suggests that while retail traders are being forced out during the downturn, large holders are quietly increasing long exposure.
“Retail investors are being liquidated, while whales are increasing their long positions. The ones who suffer from this decline are retail investors. Whales will continue to instill fear until they give up,” CW noted.
Additional reports indicate that ETH whale accumulation accelerated after the price dropped below $3,000. If this accumulation translates into renewed buying pressure, ETH could rebound sharply, putting heavily leveraged short positions at risk.
2. Chainlink (LINK)
Chainlink is showing a similar liquidation imbalance, though on a smaller scale. Bearish sentiment across the altcoin market in late January has driven derivatives traders to increase short exposure on LINK, particularly using leverage.
Liquidation data suggests that a recovery toward $13 could trigger over $40 million in short liquidations. While this figure is modest compared to Ethereum, it remains significant relative to LINK’s current derivatives open interest.
Supporting the rebound risk, on-chain data from CryptoQuant shows that LINK exchange reserves have fallen to a new monthly low. Despite declining prices, investors continue to withdraw LINK from exchanges, signaling accumulation rather than distribution.
Santiment data also flags LINK as one of the more undervalued altcoins following the recent market drawdown. If accumulation persists while price remains suppressed, a sharp upside move could occur, catching short sellers off guard and amplifying liquidation pressure.
3. River (RIVER)
River presents a very different liquidation profile. Unlike ETH and LINK, where short exposure dominates, RIVER is heavily skewed toward long positions after an explosive rally.
RIVER is a DeFi protocol focused on chain-abstraction stablecoins, enabling users to deploy collateral on one blockchain while accessing liquidity on another—without relying on bridges or wrapped assets. The project has attracted significant attention, with its market capitalization surging above $1.6 billion, up from under $100 million just one month ago.
This rapid expansion has fueled strong FOMO-driven buying. As a result, long positions now dominate the derivatives market. If price reverses sharply, the downside liquidation risk is substantial.
Data suggests that a drop below $60 could trigger up to $35 million in long liquidations. While some investors remain optimistic about a move toward $100, on-chain metrics raise caution.
According to Etherscan data, the top five River wallets control over 96.6% of total supply, indicating extreme token concentration. This has led to growing concern among some market participants about volatility and potential price manipulation.
“Its controlled by insiders, that’s the tweet. Keep manipulating. It started with MYX, COAI, AIA and ended up at almost zero. Be cautious,” investor Honey warned.
If sentiment shifts or early investors begin to de-risk, RIVER could see a sharp correction, placing overleveraged long positions at elevated risk.
Market Takeaway
As January ends, the altcoin market is becoming increasingly selective. Crowded positioning—whether short-heavy or long-heavy—has raised liquidation risk across multiple assets. Analysts broadly agree that only projects attracting sustained institutional interest and healthy on-chain fundamentals are likely to maintain capital inflows.
Until broader market confidence returns, volatility-driven liquidations may continue to shape price action in the short term.
This article is for informational purposes only and reflects personal analysis. It does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research and bear full responsibility for their investment decisions.
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