đ§ Breaking news :Prediction Markets Are Moving: Rick Rieder Odds Surge for Fed Chairđ„đ„
Markets arenât waiting for an official announcement â prediction markets are already pricing it in.
After President Trump called BlackRock executive Rick Rieder âvery impressive,â traders reacted fast.

đ Kalshi odds for Rieder as next Fed Chair jumped to 33%
âŹïž Nearly 2Ă higher than earlier this week
đ Current Fed Chair Odds (Prediction Markets)
đ„ Kevin Warsh: 45% (down ~14 pts this week)
đ„ Rick Rieder (BlackRock): 33% (surging)
âł Decision expected next week
Trump also said the shortlist went from 11 candidates to âmaybe one.â


đ§© for Markets
Rick Rieder isnât a career central banker â he runs global fixed income at BlackRock.
That signals:
đ Markets-first thinking
â ïž Possible pressure on Fed independence
đ Higher sensitivity to bond market stress
đĄ Bullish case for gold & BTC as policy hedges
As one investor said:
Markets donât trade headlines â they trade expectations.

đź Big Picture
Prediction markets are becoming real-time political alpha:
Faster than polls
Faster than analysts
Often faster than Wall Street itself
If a Wall Street insider becomes Fed ChairâŠ
Is that bullish stability or political risk?