democracy

¿Que sucede cuando sube explosivamente el precio de una moneda, pero nada lo advirtió? No fue una conspiración ni magia, es un defecto del mercado. Las gráficas y las encuestas nos muestran números y tendencias, pero no emociones he aquí un ejemplo:

El 10 de abril de 2013, el Bitcoin estableció un pico histórico en su momento de 266 USD, marcando así el final del segundo mercado alcista. Después de que el precio del Bitcoin cayera más de un 80% en los siguientes seis días, mucha gente predijo la posible desaparición del invento de Nakamoto (...) Después de que las autoridades alemanas reconocieran el Bitcoin como un método de pago privado de pleno derecho el septiembre de 2013 (...) Apenas ocho semanas fueron suficientes para que el Bitcoin estableciera otro máximo histórico, esta vez en 1242 USDXBT. (s.f). La historia del Bitcoin

Este extraño fenómeno es el Salto Invisible en política es un fenómeno sociológico que ocurre cuando una sociedad cambia de opinión o de comportamiento de manera masiva, pero sin que existan señales previas visibles en las encuestas o en el discurso público.
Es el momento en que una mayoría silenciosa decide abandonar una postura y adoptar otra, pero el cambio ocurre bajo cuerdas hasta que se manifiesta de golpe, generalmente en una elección o una revolución.
Aquí te explico cómo funciona y por qué es tan peligroso para el traders tanto expertos como inexpertos:
1️⃣ La Teoría de la Preferencia Falseada

Para entender el salto invisible, hay que mirar la teoría del economista Timur Kuran.
*️⃣ La gente suele mentir sobre lo que piensa para evitar el conflicto social. En caso del trading, los traders dicen apoyar tokens desconocidos, para evitar los reclamos o consejos de "expertos".

*️⃣ Públicamente apoyan al régimen o al candidato políticamente correcto, pero en privado están acumulando descontento. Caso similar con el mercado, a pesar de apoyar técnicamente la adopción de un activo, existe descontento.

*️⃣ El salto es invisible porque, exteriormente, todo parece estable hasta que un pequeño evento actúa como catalizador y todos saltan a su verdadera opinión al mismo tiempo.

2️⃣ El fenómeno de la Cascada de Información

El salto ocurre cuando el costo de decir la verdad baja.
1️⃣ Fase de acumulación: La presión interna crece, pero nadie se atreve a ser el primero en saltar.

2️⃣ El catalizador: Un evento, como una noticia, un cambio en los gráficos, un movimiento de inversores mayoristas, hace que unos pocos valientes actúen.

3️⃣ El salto invisible se vuelve visible: Al ver que otros piensan igual, el resto de los traders salta en cadena. En 24 horas, un activo que no ha variado su precio en meses, salta a un incremento masivo.

3️⃣ ¿Por qué es imposible de ver?
Es invisible porque las herramientas tradicionales como encuentras y gráficos miden lo que la gente dice, no lo que la gente siente. Este fenómeno tiene un paralelo exacto en el mercado cripto: La Capitulación o el FOMO masivo.

*️⃣ En sistemas muy polarizados o autoritarios, el miedo o la presión social crean una cortina de humo. Así, como el miedo de los traders a quedarse fuera (FOMO)

*️⃣ Los analistas ven una línea recta de estabilidad, pero debajo de la superficie hay una curva exponencial de descontento que está a punto de romper.

A veces, un activo parece estable durante meses. De repente, sin noticias aparentes, el precio rompe una resistencia y todo el mundo compra o vende a la vez. No fue un evento del momento, fue la acumulación de sentimientos que no se reflejaban en el libro de órdenes hasta que se rompe la resistencia.

¿ES POSIBLE SACAR ALGÚN BENEFICIO?
Es posible sacar ventaja de este fenómeno, pero debes dejar de mirar lo que todos ven; como el precio y empezar a mirar la presión acumulada : lo que nadie quiere ver. El objetivo es posicionarte antes de que el cambio de estado sea evidente.
Aquí solo expondremos dos estrategias, para obtener beneficios:

1️⃣ Detectar la divergencia de sentimientos

El salto ocurre cuando el consenso público. Es decir, lo que se comenta en las publicaciones, redes y debates difiere de lo que está pasando en el dinero real.

El interés Abierto en Binance Futures es una de las claves. Si el precio está plano o bajando levemente, pero el Interés Abierto está subiendo agresivamente, hay un Salto Invisible preparándose. Significa que hay gente "apostando" fuerte en privado, acumulando presión que estallará en cualquier momento.

2️⃣ Identificar zonas de Liquidez Oculta

El salto siempre busca el camino de menor resistencia para explotar. Para ello emplearemos los mapas de calor de liquidez.

Busca grupos de órdenes de liquidación acumuladas por encima o por debajo del precio actual. El mercado se mueve como un resorte: cuanto más tiempo pase el precio sin tocar esas zonas, más violento será el "salto" cuando finalmente las alcance, ya que activará una reacción en cadena.

💡 CONSEJO DE ENEAS BB:
"Compra en el silencio, retén en el estallido"
No cedas ante el miedo a vender o comprar, cuando el estallido se produjo ya es demasiado tarde, identifica patrones y actúa antes del boom. No escuches ciegamente a los "expertos" ni confíes en lo que todo el mundo lee, sino en lo que nadie ve.

1.El techo de tus ganancias en Binance es: e
2. Pierdes en Binance por un grano: La paradoja del Sorites
3. 11 consejos para cuidar tus dólares
‎4. Comprar Bonos del Tesoro de EE.UU en Binance: RWUSD

#democracy #Binance #BinanceSquareTalks #LatinoaméricaCripto #Write2Earn

The evolution of blockchain technology has been heralded as a revolutionary force in how society conducts transactions, governs systems, and ensures privacy. The primary ideals of blockchain revolve around decentralization, transparency, and democratizing access to technology and financial systems. However, as the landscape of blockchain applications expands, so does the emergence of permissioned blockchains like Hyperledger, which stand in contrast to the very principles that make blockchain a democratic tool in the first place. In this article, we explore how Hyperledger raises serious questions about democracy, ethics, and its alignment with decentralized ideals.

The Democratic Dilemma of Hyperledger

At its core, Hyperledger is a permissioned blockchain designed for use by trusted organizations and corporations in various enterprise applications. It aims to create secure, private networks where only authorized parties can access and validate information. While permissioned blockchains have their use cases—particularly in industries such as supply chain management or finance—they pose significant challenges to the principles of democracy that are central to decentralized blockchain technologies.

Centralized Control vs. Distributed Governance:In a democratic system, power is distributed among all participants, and decisions are made collectively, ensuring equality and fairness. Hyperledger significantly centralizes power in the hands of a few trusted entities that control the network and validate transactions.In a typical permissioned blockchain like Hyperledger, only approved organizations can participate in governance. This directly contrasts with public blockchains like Ethereum or Bitcoin, where any participant can engage in network activities, propose changes, or even validate transactions (depending on the consensus mechanism).Hyperledger restricts this participatory nature by limiting access to a select few, creating an oligarchic structure rather than a democratic one. This restriction on who gets to participate and influence the network makes it inherently undemocratic.Exclusion and Lack of Equal Opportunity:In true democratic systems, everyone has equal access to resources and opportunities, whether it’s voting rights or the ability to create wealth. Hyperledger’s permissioning model limits participation to only those entities that meet certain pre-approved criteria, thus excluding smaller players, individuals, or organizations that cannot meet these standards.By limiting access to a small group of participants, Hyperledger perpetuates inequality and fails to uphold the principle of inclusivity that is a hallmark of both democratic systems and blockchain technology. The elites—corporations or trusted entities—control the entire ecosystem, leaving others with little to no control over the network.Transparency and Accountability Concerns:Democracy thrives on transparency—the ability of the public to scrutinize the actions of those in power. In contrast, Hyperledger operates within a closed environment, where decision-making processes, network transactions, and data management are often not transparent to the public.In a decentralized network, transparency and auditability are key principles that ensure participants can trust the system and its actors. However, because Hyperledger is private and permissioned, it often operates under the radar, limiting the public’s ability to scrutinize actions. This reduces accountability and opens the door for unethical practices to take place, much like in centralized systems of power.The Threat to Democracy in Blockchain:The beauty of blockchain technology lies in its democratic potential—the idea that anyone, anywhere, can participate in and benefit from the network. Hyperledger's centralized nature undermines this ideal by granting the privilege of network control only to a few approved parties, effectively creating a system where participation is restricted, and influence is concentrated among a select few.This stands in stark contrast to DeFi (Decentralized Finance), where the idea is to create open, inclusive systems that are not controlled by any single entity. While Hyperledger may suit enterprise needs, it fails to serve the democratic ideals that are central to the blockchain and crypto world.

The Unethical Aspects of Hyperledger

While Hyperledger may provide security, privacy, and efficiency for certain enterprise-level applications, it raises several ethical concerns, especially when its potential is viewed through the lens of democracy and decentralization.

Exploitation of Centralized Control:In democratic systems, the abuse of power is considered unethical. Similarly, the centralized control within Hyperledger can lead to unethical practices, where a select few entities exploit the system to maintain power and control. The lack of external scrutiny allows these entities to operate with little to no accountability, making it easier for them to exploit the system for financial or strategic gain.If these entities manipulate the network for selfish purposes, it could lead to unfair advantages in the marketplace, perpetuating inequality and undermining the core values of transparency and fairness in blockchain technology.Restricting Innovation and Financial Inclusion:DeFi is based on the principle of open financial systems, where anyone can participate regardless of their economic or social standing. Hyperledger, with its closed environment, limits access to financial innovation. By restricting participation to a select group of players, it inadvertently contributes to the exclusion of individuals or smaller entities who could benefit from this transformative technology.In this sense, Hyperledger may not only stifle innovation but also hinder the financial inclusion that blockchain technology promises. Individuals who don’t meet the criteria to participate in these networks could miss out on the potential economic opportunities afforded by decentralized financial systems.Undermining the True Spirit of Blockchain:The essence of blockchain is to distribute power, eliminate intermediaries, and empower individuals. Hyperledger, by contrast, limits the access and participation of individuals and smaller organizations, instead granting control to a few centralized entities. This goes against the very spirit of what blockchain stands for.When used for enterprise applications, it may be a pragmatic solution. However, using it as a blockchain solution for systems that should ideally be open, transparent, and decentralized can be considered unethical, as it restricts the freedom and empowerment that blockchain technologies were meant to promote.

Conclusion: The Ethical Dilemma of Hyperledger

In conclusion, Hyperledger Fabric raises serious ethical and democratic concerns when compared to the open, decentralized models of blockchain. While permissioned blockchains like Hyperledger have their place in certain enterprise applications, they fundamentally clash with the democratic ideals that blockchain technology was designed to promote. By concentrating power in the hands of a few participants and restricting access to the broader public, Hyperledger limits the open access, transparency, and inclusivity that are essential to a truly democratic system.

While Hyperledger may be seen as an efficient tool for enterprise use, its centralized nature and lack of transparency mean that it risks undermining the ethical foundation of blockchain—leaving the door open for practices that contradict the principles of equality, accountability, and fairness. As we continue to build on blockchain's democratic potential, it is essential to critically evaluate how permissioned systems like Hyperledger may shape the future of decentralization, ethics, and governance in the blockchain world.
#centralized #hyperledger #blockchain #democracy #decentralization

In a landmark decision, Brazil's Supreme Federal Court (STF) has voted to convict former President Jair Bolsonaro and seven allies for their involvement in the coup plot that followed the 2022 elections. This is a monumental moment for Brazilian democracy. 🇧🇷⚖️
The Verdict:
The STF's First Panel reached a majority of 4-1, with Justices Alexandre de Moraes, Flávio Dino, Cármen Lúcia, and Cristiano Zanin voting for conviction. The final vote by Cristiano Zanin confirmed the overwhelming majority. The court found that Bolsonaro was the leader of a criminal organization and orchestrated a plot to remain in power.
Key Points from the Trial:
Cármen Lúcia's decisive vote sealed the conviction, stating that Bolsonaro "is the instigator, he is the leader" of the criminal organization.
Justice Luiz Fux was the lone dissenter, voting to acquit Bolsonaro and raising questions about the court's jurisdiction.
Mauro Cid's plea bargain was unanimously upheld by the court, with ministers acknowledging his testimony provided "relevant elements" to the case.
The sentences are expected to be defined today, with some reports suggesting Bolsonaro could face a sentence of over 27 years.
This historic ruling makes Jair Bolsonaro the first former president in Brazil's history to be convicted for attacking democracy. The verdict sends a powerful message about the strength of democratic institutions in the face of political turmoil.
#Brazil #Bolsonaro #STF #Democracy #Politics