🙀 This Is the Most Dangerous Crypto Setup Before FOMC ❌❌
This is not just a technical issue — macro risk and positioning stress are aligned, which makes this moment risky.
ETF flows stayed negative most of the week. That shows institutions are de-risking, not adding. When the real bid steps back, the market becomes fragile and reacts harder to shocks.
Today, a large options expiry passed. Around $1.8–$2.3B in $BTC and $ETH options expired. Before expiry, dealer hedging often keeps price controlled. After expiry, that control is gone. This is when price turns unstable — sharp moves, failed bounces, liquidation wicks.
Macro uncertainty is adding pressure. Trump tariff talk is back, pressure on the Fed is rising, and most analysts expect no rate cut this month. That removes near-term liquidity support and keeps risk sentiment heavy.
Timing makes it worse. We are heading into a weekend with FOMC next week. Liquidity thins, big players avoid holding risk, and it takes less volume to trigger forced liquidations.
🔸 Institutions stepping back due to ETF outflows
🔸 Volatility released after the $1.8–$2.3B options expiry
🔸 Macro risk unresolved (tariffs, Fed pressure, no rate cut)
🔸 Thin liquidity ahead into the weekend and pre-FOMC
This setup rarely brings stability.
Most likely outcome is choppy downside volatility — fast drops, weak recoverys, leverage flushed, sentiment damage first and price damage later. This is not panic, it’s a risk reset.
Sometimes the best trade is no trade.
Waiting — or even sleeping — is better than forcing positions today.
Calm price does not mean safety.
The most dangerous setups appear when structure is weak and uncertainty is high.
$SENT #WEFDavos2026 #TrumpTariffsOnEurope #PowellRemarks
