SCOTUS RULING IMMINENT: TRUMP TARIFFS & THE $600B QUESTION

Tomorrow, Jan 15, the US Supreme Court could reshape the global economy. A ruling on the legality of President Trump’s sweeping tariffs (based on IEEPA powers) is expected.

The Stakes:

If Trump Loses (76% odds on Polymarket): The US Gov might have to refund up to $600 Billion to importers. Trump warned this would cause "total chaos."

Market Impact: A massive budget hole weakens the USD. Historically, Weak USD = Bullish Bitcoin.

Plan B: Trump is expected to pivot to "Section 301" authority immediately if ruled against.

What to watch:
Volatility will spike around 10:00 AM ET tomorrow. If the tariffs are struck down, expect a knee-jerk reaction in DXY (down) and BTC (up), followed by uncertainty regarding the refund liquidity crunch.

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