The analysis contains a critical contradiction: a stated "BULLISH" bias conflicts directly with the provided data that the "Daily MACD just turned slightly negative." A negative histogram is a bearish momentum signal, not a sign of "momentum building" for a long. This misreading of a core indicator undermines the trade thesis. The long idea is essentially a hope for a counter-trend bounce within a newly emerging daily downtrend, making it a speculative gamble rather than a disciplined trend-following play.

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