cryptopolicyadvocacy

Here we are on January 10, 2026, and the vibe in crypto still feels electric, even with a little weekend dip. Bitcoin's hovering around $90,500–$90,600 right now (down a touch from earlier in the week, but nothing that screams panic—more like healthy consolidation after the 2025 highs). S&P 500's sitting pretty near 6,966 after another record push, mostly carried by AI chips. The Trump second-term tailwinds are real, and they're starting to show up in policy wins that make crypto feel less like the rebel asset and more like part of the system.

The **GENIUS Act** (signed July 2025) is the big one so far. It finally gave stablecoins proper federal rules: 1:1 reserves in high-quality assets, regular audits, the stuff that lets banks jump in without sweating enforcement letters. USDC's been gaining ground on Tether in volumes because institutions actually care about that compliance box now. BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF keeps pulling in serious money. Rollout had some bumps, and critics say it could've gone further on yields for issuers, but it's a massive step away from the old "regulation by enforcement" era.

Next up: the **CLARITY Act** (H.R. 3633). The House passed its version last year, and the Senate Banking Committee has markup hearings coming soon—mid-January looks likely. It's aiming to cleanly split oversight between SEC (for investment contracts) and CFTC (for commodities once a blockchain matures). There's still pushback from Democrats on ethics (especially with Trump family-linked projects like World Liberty Financial in the spotlight), and debates over stablecoin yields. If it clears with some bipartisan buy-in, expect a rush of registrations, DeFi getting real legitimacy, and tokenized assets moving from niche to normal.

Don't sleep on the **Strategic Bitcoin Reserve** either. It's mostly built from seized coins (estimates north of 325k BTC), no active buying announced yet, but the framework exists. Banning CBDCs outright keeps the narrative strong: Bitcoin as a national hedge against de-dollarization. Folks like Cathie Wood keep floating the idea of scaling toward a million BTC before midterms—if that kicks in, scarcity dynamics change fast.

Hot sectors? AI and semiconductors are still dominating (Nvidia, AMD, Broadcom near highs, with U.S. policy pushing domestic production hard). Tokenized real-world assets are quietly heating up under clearer stablecoin rules. Stablecoins are becoming actual financial plumbing. Crypto-native side: Solana's ecosystem keeps humming, XRP and ONDO feel like the "U.S.-friendly" bets, DeFi's experimenting with fee switches and normalized perps.

World Liberty Financial just filed for a national trust bank charter to custody and issue their USD1 stablecoin (already over $3B in circulation). Insider optics aside, it fits the bigger push to bring crypto under regulated rails.

Risks are real, though. U.S. debt's pushing $38T+, interest payments could top $1T this year. Tariffs might spike volatility, fiscal blowouts lurk, and meme dips remind us hype doesn't always last. Some days it feels like we're front-running a global shift; others, like the big wins might already be priced in.

Bottom line: Crypto's not begging for a seat anymore—it's negotiating how it fits in. Early 2026, that negotiation's tilting our way. Watch the Senate hearings this month, next jobs data, and any real movement on Bitcoin reserve purchases. The story's still unfolding. 🚀

What do you think—bullish continuation or chop ahead? Drop your takes below!
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One year ago, a seismic shift in the political landscape saw Donald Trump re-enter the White House, igniting a whirlwind of both triumph and tribulation for the burgeoning crypto industry. For those of us who believe in the profound potential of decentralized technologies, this past year has been a masterclass in the unpredictable dance between innovation and political will.
The Promises Delivered: A Glimmer of Hope ✨
Many in the crypto sphere held their breath, some with optimism, as Trump embarked on his second term. Their faith, in many respects, was not entirely misplaced. We witnessed immediate executive orders pushing for crypto-friendly policies, even a directive to explore a #Bitcoin reserve – a visionary concept that speaks volumes about the shifting perception of digital assets at the highest levels of government.
Cody Carbone, CEO of the Digital Chamber, rightly notes, "Since day one he has issued executive orders and moved for agencies to pay attention to digital assets and how blockchain can increase transparency across the government." This top-down mandate for exploration has been crucial.
Perhaps the most significant legislative leap was the swift and bipartisan passage of the Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins Act (GENIUS) Act. This landmark legislation, a first of its kind, signaled a monumental shift, transforming crypto from a regulatory pariah to a genuine priority within Congress. The Treasury Department and banking agencies are now grappling with its implementation, a complex but necessary step towards mainstream adoption.
Key appointments also fueled this progress. Paul Atkins at the SEC and Jonathan Gould at the OCC, both recognized for their understanding and support of crypto, have begun to recalibrate regulatory approaches, moving away from "regulation by enforcement" towards a framework that fosters innovation. As Kristin Smith, president of the Solana Policy Institute, eloquently puts it, "The past year has delivered what many thought impossible: a complete reversal of federal crypto policy, transforming America from a jurisdiction defined by regulation-by-enforcement to one that's racing to lead the global digital economy."
The Unforeseen Hurdles: A Test of Resilience 🚧
Yet, the path of progress is rarely smooth. Trump's characteristic leadership style, marked by volatility and a willingness to push boundaries, has also created headwinds. The ongoing, record-breaking government shutdown, a stark political reality, has unfortunately sidelined crucial legislative efforts, most notably the comprehensive market structure bill. This legislative stagnation, fueled by political infighting and a redirection of governmental focus, leaves the broader crypto market in a state of continued uncertainty.
The shutdown's ripple effect extends beyond Capitol Hill, delaying essential product approvals and public offerings requiring SEC sign-off. Even the ambitious plan for federal crypto reserves, a testament to forward-thinking policy, remains in its nascent stages, awaiting further legislative clarity.
Furthermore, the optics surrounding Trump's personal involvement in digital asset businesses have raised eyebrows, particularly concerning potential conflicts of interest. Private events with foreign nationals holding significant stakes in his memecoin underscore the delicate balance between personal enterprise and public office, a dynamic that warrants careful observation.
Looking Ahead: Adaptability is Key 💡
As we reflect on this tumultuous year, it's clear that the journey for crypto in the U.S. remains an evolving narrative. While Trump's administration has undeniably accelerated policy progress, the political landscape is ever-shifting. Faltering approval ratings, particularly among younger voters, and potential shifts in congressional power following upcoming elections, could necessitate a more bipartisan approach to crypto policy in the years to come.
Regardless of political tides, the core principles of decentralization, transparency, and financial freedom continue to drive the crypto revolution. The challenges encountered this past year are not roadblocks, but rather learning opportunities, forcing the industry to adapt, innovate, and advocate with even greater conviction. The resilience of the crypto community will ultimately define its trajectory.
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BITCOIN Act: On March 11, 2025, Senator Cynthia Lummis and Representative Nick Begich introduced the Boosting Innovation, Technology, and Competitiveness through Optimized Investment Nationwide (BITCOIN) Act.
Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: The legislation proposes creating a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve by authorizing the U.S. Treasury to acquire 1 million bitcoins over five years, mirroring the scale of the nation's gold reserves.
Tax clarity: Lummis also introduced digital asset tax legislation in July 2025 to create a more level playing field for digital asset users.
Shifting government narratives
President Trump's crypto stance: Then-presidential candidate Donald Trump pledged to make the U.S. the "crypto capital of the world," and his administration has since taken steps consistent with that posture, such as using seized cryptocurrencies to create a strategic stockpile.
Other global policy shifts: While the U.S. and Europe have moved towards regulation, other countries show different approaches. Pakistan, for instance, implemented its Virtual Assets Ordinance in July 2025 to create a legal framework for crypto, while El Salvador privatized or closed its "Chivo" crypto wallet under pressure from the International Monetary Fund (IMF).
Regulatory clarity: As of late 2025, lawmakers are still working toward a comprehensive market structure for digital assets to keep pace with other global regions.
Bitcoin's price performance
Market volatility: The Bitcoin market continues to be volatile, with significant price fluctuations. For example, after an "Uptober" surge, prices have fluctuated, with a notable downturn around the end of the first week of November 2025.
Market drivers: Price movements in 2025 have been influenced by several factors, including the approval of the first spot Bitcoin ETPs and the U.S. government shutdown, which was cited as potentially sending Bitcoin to new all-time highs.
Future outlook: Forecasts vary, with some analysts predicting significant gains by the end of 2025, driven by ongoing ETF inflows and economic factors.
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CoinDesk reports that Trump Media & Technology Group plans to distribute digital tokens to DJT shareholders. The company has not confirmed whether these tokens will carry financial rights, governance power, or tradable value.

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