$BTC
A month later, this is still my core thesis. We’re stuck in a higher-timeframe range, rotating and building liquidity near the top of that range.
The monthly low has been swept, but it’s still unclear if that move is enough to kick off an upside rotation. Ideally, I’d like to see a deeper sweep of lows first.
There’s also a seasonal angle: in 10 of the last 14 years, Bitcoin has set a yearly high or low in January. If that pattern holds and we’re heading higher, the January low needs to stay intact.
That said, it’s just one data point with a small sample size, best used as confluence, not a standalone signal.
