The most dangerous signal in a market cycle isn’t fear. It’s confidence.
What’s interesting right now isn’t #bitcoin recovering.
It’s how bullish everyone already is at such a shallow pullback.
At every major low earlier in this cycle, calling for new highs meant standing alone.
You had to fight disbelief, exhaustion, and constant “this rally will fail” narratives.
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Now?
The crowd is suddenly aligned.
The popular belief sounds something like this:
The bottom is definitely inBear markets are a thing of the pastThe 4-year cycle is brokenMacro says the real cycle is only just beginning
When the majority agrees this easily, the risk isn’t missing upside.
The risk is believing the hard part is over.
Markets are cruel in one specific way: They make the obvious feel safe… right before it isn’t.
The hardest moments aren’t when price is collapsing.
They’re when price is holding up just well enough that no one feels the need to question it.
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Going against the crowd never feels brave in real time.
It feels uncomfortable, unnecessary, even stupid.
But that discomfort is often the only signal that actually matters.
Because cycles don’t end when fear disappears. They end when doubt does.
And right now, doubt is getting rare.
#CPIWatch #BTC $BTC $XRP