The Japanese yen is rising and the dollar is collapsing – what does this mean for crypto?
For weeks, I have been warning about Japanese bond yields and the unnatural movements of the yen, and now the thing I was worried about is starting to happen.
When we see the yen rising strongly with the dollar falling, it indicates a transitional movement of liquidity from the dollar to the yen. Typically, Bitcoin moves opposite to the dollar: if the dollar falls, Bitcoin is expected to rise $BTC . But today we see the dollar collapsing while Bitcoin is moving downward! Why? Because the flows are not only leaving the dollar but also from crypto and heading towards the yen.
If this situation continues, as I told you, the next collapse of Bitcoin will originate from Japan, and I hope I am wrong. ⚠️
🚨 Important legislative development for the crypto market in America
Galaxy Research Director, Alex Thorn, announced that next week will enter a critical phase for shaping the legal framework for the cryptocurrency market. The Senate Agriculture Committee issued a draft law granting the CFTC authority to regulate the spot crypto market. The goal is to establish a clear structure for regulating platforms and intermediaries. The anticipated session on Tuesday may determine the legislative direction of the market, which is a very important factor for the future of crypto in 2026 and beyond. Things are leaning towards clearer regulation and the market is watching 👀📜
📊 Ethereum is at a critical decision area near 2,950
After a strong rejection from the 3,300 area, it quickly returned $ETH back inside the overall price range and is now trading near 2,950. The most important support currently is between 2,900 – 3,000, and staying above it maintains the sideways structure.
🔹 A breakout and stability above 3,300 opens the way to the next resistance area near 3,600. 🔹 A clear break below 2,900 may push the price to test 2,800
The current situation is a decisive point: either a rebound from support and continuation within the range, or additional weakness and an expansion in the correction.
🚨 I don't know why everyone is talking today about an attack on Iran as if it's guaranteed!\nSo far, there is no official report or reliable source predicting an imminent attack from the United States.\n\nAll that Trump focused on today is the Canada and China file and his threat to impose a 100% tariff on Canada if it trades commercially with China.\n\nThe market is not driven by rumors but by information. The fear of a scenario that has happened before does not mean it will repeat.\n\nYes, I still see the possibility of a drop in Bitcoin, but this drop could be an opportunity to enter, not the end of the market.\n\nRemember:\nFear, greed, and regret are the fastest ways to lose your future in crypto before it even starts.\n\n$SOMI $ENSO
🚀 $KAIA ignites the market with strong movement despite the calm in crypto
The Kaia coin ($KAIA ) jumped more than +60% in less than 48 hours with a trading volume exceeding 130 million dollars, confirming that the rise is supported by real buying rather than mere speculation.
The main reason is the launch of the new Web3 game Magic Squad on the Kaia network, with a gas abstraction feature that allows playing and purchasing without the need to own KAIA to pay fees, making it easier for new users to enter.
In addition, $KAIA has made significant regulatory progress with USDT support in Abu Dhabi and expansion in Southeast Asia. Technically, the indicators are starting to lean towards an upward trend and KAIA seems to be at the beginning of a new momentum phase, it looks like 0.1000 is close 🔥
📢 $IOTA connects the global trade economy with blockchain
Project $IOTA announced its ambitious plan to link the global trade economy valued at 35 trillion dollars with blockchain through an organized and production-ready infrastructure. The focus here is not on speculation, but on tokenized assets, digital identity, and data integrity. The network is actively operating in Africa and Europe, expanding towards Asia, with real applications in export, customs, and cross-border payments. Despite the recent price decline, the fundamentals build long-term value for $IOTA . 🚀
📢 Urgent: A new statement from Trump this time about Canada and China Trump says that Canada opposes the Golden Dome project over Greenland, and confirms that they voted in favor of expanding business with China. He added: China will eat them up in a clear geopolitical warning.
🚀 Seeker ($SKR ) between profit taking and the bounce opportunity
The currency $SKR has shown a fiery performance this week, soaring over +340% after launch and reaching a historical peak at 0.067. This rise attracted speculators significantly, but after the peak, we started to see profit taking and a correction of about 23%, and the price is now hovering around 0.0300.
Currently, selling pressure is higher than buying, and if this negative balance continues, we may see a drop towards the stronger support at 0.021. However, on the other hand, any strong return of demand could bring $SKR back to life, and recovering the level of 0.051 would be an important signal to target the peak again and possibly record a new ATH. 👀🔥
🔥 Tezos ($XTZ ) enters the weekend with a very important event 👀
Token $XTZ is anticipating the activation of the Tallinn upgrade aimed at improving network efficiency, speed, and security. Typically, these upgrades bring with them volatility and strong movement opportunities in price.
📊 Technically: Bollinger Bands are narrowing → price pressure before the explosion. If the market reacts positively, a breakout at 0.59 – 0.61 could open the way towards 0.69.
However, if momentum is absent, the price may remain within the range of 0.55 - 0.61 waiting for a clear direction.
Watch $XTZ , the upcoming movement could be strong 👀 👇 🚀
🔹 $ADA Under pressure but the movement is still calm
The price of Cardano has decreased by about 0.78% over the last 24 hours as of now.
On the hourly frame, we notice local support near 0.3515 and with more than 50% of the daily ATR passing, the chances of violent movements are weak in the near future.
If we do not see a clear rebound, the correction may continue towards 0.35 during the weekend. On the larger frame, there are no strong reversal signals yet, and the volume is still weak, which means that the bulls have not taken the initiative yet.
In general, testing support at 0.3190 before the end of the month remains a possible scenario. The current price for $ADA is near 0.3600.
🔻 The markets are in a tug of war and Bitcoin is at a crossroads
Last week we witnessed a strong rebound, reaching $BTC to 97,500 USD. However, Trump's statements about tariffs on Greenland and the European Union turned the scene, causing Bitcoin to drop below 90,000 and Ethereum below 3,000 with a clear decline in most altcoins.
📊 Currently: - A breakout above 91,000 could liquidate over a billion dollars in shorts - A break below 88,000 could liquidate 638 million dollars in longs
In the last 24 hours, about 200 million dollars have been liquidated due to leverage.
The market is very sensitive right now to any political or economic news, risk management has become more important than ever.
🔵 Who will attack the market first, down or up? 📉📈
🔎 The market is in a state of anticipation, and alternatives are showing resilience.
The crypto market is trading today, Friday, within a narrow range, with Bitcoin stabilizing near the 89,000 area and Ethereum declining by about 1%. In contrast, gold and silver continue to attempt to reach historical peaks as investors shift towards safe-haven assets, indicating a risk-averse mood.
Nevertheless, some alternative currencies have shown relative strength: 🔹 $ZRO rose by 12% amidst anticipation of a major upgrade. 🔹 $DASH is showing strong momentum.
More than 200 million in futures contracts have been liquidated, mostly long positions. Despite the overall pressure, there is net buying in #TRX and $ZEC and #BCH . If momentum returns to the market, alternative gains could be strong due to weak sell orders. 🚀
🚨 The Bank of Japan keeps interest rates at 0.75% as expected
The Japanese central bank left the interest rate unchanged after 8 members voted to maintain it against 1 member who called for an immediate increase. However, the bank clearly hinted at a possible increase soon if economic improvement continues.
⬅️ The yen reacted positively and jumped strongly after these statements.
In short, monetary policy in Japan is gradually moving towards tightening.
🔥 $HBAR officially enters the world of Formula 1 with McLaren!
Hedera has announced a multi-year partnership with McLaren F1 and Arrow McLaren IndyCar. The logo $HBAR will appear on the cars, driver suits, and team uniforms 👕🏎️ The goal? To provide new Web3 experiences for fans through free digital collectibles launched at every F1 race weekend, with a larger expansion in 2026.
This is a strong step that enhances Hedera's institutional presence and connects blockchain with the world of sports. 🚀
⚠️Reminder: The Bank of Japan's decision on its interest rate tomorrow
Tomorrow, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will decide on the interest rate, and most expectations indicate that the bank will keep the rate unchanged at 0.75% due to monitoring growth, inflation, and the impact of a weak yen on the economy. There are no strong indicators for raising the interest rate at this time, but beware of surprises.
Additionally, Japanese bonds have reached record levels for the first time, in a strong movement that raised concerns about financial stability. The reason? Weak demand and government debt exceeding 250% of GDP. Be wary of surprises, especially since what is happening in Japan is unusual, and I still maintain my statement that the upcoming crypto collapse will be caused by Japan.
📉 Why do I still lean towards another drop for Bitcoin and the market in general?
$BTC is trading near $89,000 but fails to rise despite the calm tensions between the US and the European Union, which has surprised many. In my opinion, the reason is deeper: the likelihood that the Fed will not lower interest rates next week, in addition to what is happening in Japan with rising bond yields amid a weak yen. This makes big players very cautious. I still see a downward movement; to be honest, the scenario I want is a quick drop that pulls liquidity down, creates fear and panic, then the smart ones buy and come from the bottoms. ⚠️ As of now, do not overextend yourselves with risk, the market is still in a cautious position.
Gold prices have officially breached the level of $4,900 per ounce for the first time in history, reaching around $4,920. Our old target of $5,000 is now less than 2% away 👀
But I believe that buying gold now is not a good idea at all. I still see a strong correction downward coming first, before continuing the rise again. The drop will be for entering and preparing again for the upcoming events.
💡 As long as global economic problems persist, gold will remain a safe haven and will continue to rise until the sentiment changes.
$ZEC is trading near 365 after extended downward pressure, and is now on long-term support that separates the uptrend from the downtrend. Breaking this level previously created a negative structure that could target 255 if the current support fails.
Technically, the price is below key moving averages and the RSI is near oversold areas. However, on the other hand, chain data shows accumulation from whales, along with institutional support after the Winklevoss brothers donated for protocol development.
The scenario now is between technical pressure and long-term confidence. 📌 Staying above the 350 - 360 area is essential, and regaining $375–400 could spark a strong rebound.
$ZEC is testing the patience and faith of investors, and the decision is near.
Massive movements from wallets linked to BlackRock 👀
Arkham data revealed that wallets associated with BlackRock's Bitcoin and Ethereum funds transferred over $430 million to Coinbase Prime within hours. The transfers included approximately 3,070 $BTC and 52,800 $ETH , coinciding with strong net withdrawals recorded by U.S. ETFs: about $708 million from #BTC and nearly $297 million from #ETH .
These are likely operational moves rather than direct sales, but they could create short-term volatility. Some see it as negative, but remember: the big players sell at peaks, and this may be preceded by a price rise to attract liquidity. Stay vigilant and manage your risks well. 📉📈