#BTC走势分析 #Max

Deep Analysis Verification: The 80,600 threshold is critical; where is the ultimate bottom?

The market's performance has once again confirmed my analytical path. My repeatedly emphasized core judgment of "no true rebound before February 15" has been validated, and the current large-scale decline is entirely within the expected framework. Bitcoin has now reached the edge of the "safe zone" at $80,600, which I previously defined; this will become the ultimate battleground for determining future market patterns.

Based on market structure and sentiment, I have graded the probability of subsequent paths:

1. Deep Retracement Scenario (Probability Increased): A valid drop below $80,600, seeking the $68,000-$70,000 area as the ultimate bottom for this adjustment. This is a strategy of exchanging space for time, which will lay the most solid foundation for the subsequent market.

2. Weak Fluctuation Scenario: Repeatedly oscillating above $80,600, forming an extended downward continuation platform, but ultimately still difficult to avoid another dip.

3. Low Probability Reversal Scenario: Quickly gaining strong buying support near $80,600, forming an expansion pattern, but this requires a significant macro or funding catalyst to reverse current sentiment.

My core strategy remains unchanged: before clear signals appear, maintain short advantages, while considering the period around February 15 as an important time window to start reserving funds and planning layouts for a possible mid-term rebound that may last for several months.

When price volatility triggers widespread fear and speculation, those who have long anchored their actions to real-world value are even more steadfast. As demonstrated by @Max Charity : no matter where the market bottoms out, their commitment to laying educational infrastructure globally has never slowed down.

📊 What is your judgment on the final bottom area for the adjustment of $BTC ?