I've seen too many people stare at candlestick charts during the day and review hot spots at night, with their phones filled with price alerts, yet their principal keeps getting halved over and over.
On the contrary, I myself have used a method that insiders laugh at as 'too stupid' for the past three years: calmly increasing my position when the bear market hits hardest and quietly withdrawing during the bull market, resulting in my account steadily multiplying several times.
The 'stupid method' we're discussing today is not about technology, but about anti-human discipline.
1. Step one: specifically choose 'oversold' assets, and the initial position should never exceed 3%
I never chase prices, nor do I believe in any 'hundred-fold coin narrative'. I only focus on the top 20 by market cap and mainstream coins that have dropped over 60% in the last six months, like BTC, ETH, and SOL.
Why? The risk of small coins going to zero is too high, while for mainstream coins, even if they drop sharply, as long as the project is still operational, there will always be opportunities to recover when the bull market comes.
Key details:
The sign of a bottom is stabilization at the weekly level, for example, if there are two consecutive weeks without new lows and the trading volume shrinks to below one-third of previous highs.
The maximum investment for a base position should be 3% of total funds. Even if I think 'it's bound to rise,' I will never increase my position. Leaving enough bullets can handle sudden crashes.
Once you buy, play dead; don’t get tangled up in short-term fluctuations, wait for the next cycle signal.
Some fans used to blindly buy altcoins at low points and ended up with only their underwear left. Later, I focused on buying only BTC and ETH, recovering 50% in half a year.
2. Step two: Confirm the trend before adding positions. Don't eat the fish head or tail, only the body.
Many people chase after a rise and end up caught halfway up the mountain. My principle is: only act after breaking through key positions.
For example, only when Bitcoin stabilizes above the weekly MA20 and has three consecutive days of increasing volume will I increase my position to 20%-50%. Although this means missing some profits during the startup phase, it avoids the trap of false breakouts.
The rhythm of adding positions is an art.
After the first increase in position, add again every time it rises by 10%, with decreasing amounts each time (pyramid-style position increase).
Never go all-in at once! Once, I greedily went all-in when ETH broke through, and the main force dumped and washed out, almost forcing me to stop-loss.
Immediately set a trailing stop-loss after increasing your position; automatically reduce your position if the drawdown exceeds 10%.
3. Step three: Always take profits, lock in profits in your wallet.
The most terrifying thing in the crypto world is not losing money, but having paper wealth that amounts to nothing. Whenever I make over 50% profit, I will definitely withdraw 30% to my bank card.
This tactic helped me survive the bear market of 2022: at that time, people around me had their contracts liquidated and leverage wiped out, while I had cash on hand for bottom fishing because I withdrew funds in advance.
Withdrawal logic:
The money you withdraw is yours; the account numbers are just an illusion.
After withdrawing funds, my mindset is more stable, and I won't make chaotic moves due to FOMO (fear of missing out).
Especially at the end of a bull market, sell in batches, for example, sell 10% every time it rises by 20%. Don't wait until the waterfall to run.
Why can the 'stupid method' win?
Counter the demon of 'overtrading.'
Most people lose money due to frequent operations. My method might only involve trading 1-2 times a month, with most of the time spent waiting in cash.
Position management is more important than everything.
Some fans started with 200U, strictly following the position rhythm of 3%-20%-50%, rolling it to 60,000U in three years. The core is to never go all-in.
Earn money from emotions.
I slowly buy during market panic and quietly sell during market frenzy. A slower rhythm actually aligns with the big cycle.
Lastly, let me say two things.
There is no holy grail in the crypto world, but 'slow is fast' is an eternal truth.
If you keep losing money, why not change your thinking?
Uninstall unnecessary trading software, look less at group messages.
Invest with spare money; don’t expect to get rich overnight.
Record every transaction, review why you bought and why you sold.
The dumbest persistence is often the smartest strategy.
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