The Rebound is Real
—But the Fed Holds the Key
Twenty-four hours later, the "Risk-Off" panic has cooled significantly. Bitcoin is currently stabilizing around $88,500, recovering from yesterday's dip to the $86k zone. If you had limit orders sitting just above $86,000, you’re currently in the green.
📈 Why the mood shifted overnight:
The "Greenland Framework": The immediate threat of 25% tariffs on Europe has been shelved following Trump’s meeting with NATO. This "de-escalation" has taken the edge off the macro-fear that was crushing risk assets yesterday.
DXY Weakness: The US Dollar Index just hit a 4-month low. A weak dollar is historically the "rocket fuel" Bitcoin needs to break out of consolidation.
Whale Buy-Walls: On-chain data confirms that as retail was panic-selling at $87k, large-scale accumulation occurred at the $86,200 mark. The "Smart Money" isn't leaving; they’re reloading.
⚖️ The "Wait-and-See" Period: FOMC (Jan 27-28)
Don't get too comfortable just yet. The Federal Reserve meeting starts today.
Expectation: Interest rates will likely remain unchanged.
The Real Catalyst: The market is hunting for a "pivot" signal. If Powell hints at a March rate cut, expect $BTC to challenge $92,000 by the weekend.
Risk: If the Fed remains "hawkish" due to persistent inflation, we could see a retest of that $86k floor.
🛡️ Current Strategy:
I’m holding my entries from the $86k-87k range. I've moved my Stop-Loss to Break-Even to protect capital during the FOMC volatility tomorrow.
Watch for: A decisive 4-hour candle close above $89,200. That is the final gatekeeper before we see a clear path back to the $90k+ range.
What’s your plan for the Fed meeting?
Bullish: Buying the momentum. 🚀
Bearish: This is just a "dead cat bounce." 📉
Neutral: Staying in cash/stablecoins until Thursday. #fomc #CryptoStrategy #BinanceSquare #MarketUpdate $BTC
