The crypto market often moves according to portfolio allocation before prices respond. In the final days of January, interest shifted to small-cap coins produced in the United States, which no longer moved with the overall market. However, they are now showing early signs of a significant change, both upward and downward.
As the market looks for direction heading into February, these three US-produced coins stand out based on price structure, on-chain allocation, momentum signals, and accumulation patterns.
Chainlink (LINK)
One of the US-produced coins to watch this week is Chainlink, as LINK's price has faced difficulties lately, dropping about 7.5% over the past week and about 3.6% over the past 30 days. Overall, the direction remains weak, but fundamental signals are beginning to show changes.
From an on-chain perspective, Chainlink is trading at an exceptionally low 30-day MVRV. MVRV compares the average cost of holders with the current price.
When it turns negative, it shows that many traders are at a loss, which historically has helped mitigate selling pressure and reduce downside risk. Simply put, LINK no longer has a dense short-term profit-taking crowd.
The chart gives more weight to this image. Between late November and January 25, the price of Chainlink made new lows, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) made higher lows.
RSI measures momentum, and this discrepancy is called bullish divergence, which often occurs when downward pressure begins to weaken, even if the price hasn't reversed direction yet.
For this situation to strengthen, Chainlink needs to hold above 12.51 USD, which has been both a support and resistance level multiple times.
If the daily close is above this point, it will signal that the recovery begins to gain support, and once it breaks above, the point 14.39 USD will be the zone that changes the overall structure to bullish and opens the way to 15.01 USD.
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If the price closes below 11.35 USD on a daily basis, the bullish scenario will weaken, and the recovery idea will have to wait. Until then, LINK remains one of the technically interesting US-produced coins as we enter February.
World Liberty Financial (WLFI)
World Liberty Financial is another coin produced in the United States that is gaining attention this week, but for entirely different reasons. While the WLFI token has increased about 12% over the past 30 days, on-chain data reveals a clear divide between large holders and faster-moving capital.
During this same time, whales reduced their holdings of WLFI by more than 75%, while smart money wallets increased their holdings by about 95%.
In general, smart money refers to a group of traders focused on short-term and rapid movements, while whales represent long-term confident investors. When both groups are clearly moving in opposite directions like this, it usually indicates instability rather than a clear trend.
The chart reflects this tension, with WLFI forming a head-and-shoulders pattern on the daily chart, but with a descending neckline that favors the sellers. This structural pattern signals increased downside risk if the support fails.
Additionally, the token recently lost the 20-day EMA (exponential moving average) and is at risk of testing the 50-day EMA again. The last time both lines crossed down together, the price fell almost 20%.
EMA gives more weight to recent prices, so it responds quickly to trend changes. These lines can become significant support or resistance zones.
If WLFI drops below the 50 EMA and then below 0.136 USD, the pattern will become even stronger to the downside, opening the door for a deeper correction near 0.112 USD.
Conversely, if the price pushes back above 0.181 USD, it will help restore some confidence in the smart money concept, and if it breaks above 0.191 USD, it will immediately negate the entire downtrend structure.
This contradiction makes WLFI one of the most volatile coins to watch in the final week of January. While there may be a rebound opportunity, sentiment remains divided, and the price may swing sharply in either direction.
Render (RENDER)
Render closes out this list of US coins with a structure driven more by capital flow than investor sentiment. Even though the price has increased over 50% in the past 30 days, this token has corrected about 4% in the last 24 hours, leading some traders to question whether this upward move has run out of steam.
However, the inflow data into the exchange platform indicates the opposite, as at the end of December Render saw significant coin inflows in the exchange, signaling strong selling pressure.
At the peak, the net inflow reached about 469,000 tokens, and by January 26, this number had shifted to a net outflow of approximately 9,800 tokens. This change reflects that most selling pressure has dissipated, and accumulation is about to begin instead.
On the RENDER chart, it is swinging within a descending channel after surging 130% from December 19 to January 11. While that channel remains intact, the price has begun to approach the upper edge of the channel, and if it moves above the price of 2.03 USD, it will break out of this channel, shifting the structure to neutral to bullish.
If this breakout occurs, the upward targets will be near 2.37 USD and 2.71 USD. If it fails to break the range, this token remains at risk of short-term selling, with 1.88 USD being the first support level.
A deeper correction can only occur if the price goes below 1.49 USD, which is still quite far from the current price.
With the AI momentum still strong and selling pressure decreasing, Render stands out as one of the US coins with a balanced and watchable structure in the last week of January.
