🚨 BREAKING: GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN IN 6 DAYS
Last time the U.S. government shut down, Gold & Silver printed new ATHs 🟡⚪
But if you’re holding stocks or risk assets, be EXTREMELY careful ⚠️
We’re heading into a TOTAL DATA BLACKOUT.
⚠️ 4 MAJOR THREATS TO WATCH:
🔻 1️⃣ Data Blackout
No CPI. No Jobs Report.
The Fed & risk models will be flying blind.
➡️ Expect VIX to reprice higher due to uncertainty.
🔻 2️⃣ Collateral Shock
With existing credit warnings, a shutdown could trigger a rating downgrade.
➡️ Repo margins spike
➡️ Liquidity gets crushed
🔻 3️⃣ Liquidity Freeze
The RRP buffer is nearly empty.
No safety net left.
If dealers start hoarding cash → funding markets seize up.
🔻 4️⃣ Recession Trigger
Each shutdown week cuts ~0.2% GDP 📉
A stalling economy could slip into a technical recession fast.
📌 KEY INDICATOR TO WATCH:
SOFR – IORB Spread
If it starts widening, it means the private market is STARVING for cash, just like March 2020.
This may sound scary — but stay calm.
I’ll keep updating everything step by step.
When I make my next move, I’ll post it publicly right here 👀
Pay close attention.
🔮 Many will wish they followed earlier.
