The Time Factor: Is Bitcoin really a risky investment? 📉🕒
Many fear short-term volatility, but On-Chain data tells a very different story. The key is not to "buy low," but how long you stay in the market.
Analyzing the probability of negative returns based on daily closes, the numbers are compelling:
Short Term (Noise Risk): If you invest for just 1 day, you have a 47.4% chance of loss. It's practically a coin toss.
Medium Term (Consolidation): By holding for 1 year, the risk of loss drops significantly to 24.0%.
Long Term (The Safe Zone): After 3 years, the probability of loss is almost nonexistent (0.8%).
The 10-Year Threshold: Historically, after 10 years, the probability of negative returns in Bitcoin is 0.0%.
Conclusion:
Bitcoin punishes impatience but rewards conviction. While daily "noise" scares many, the data shows that time is the best ally of the investor. Is your horizon days or decades? 🚀
#bitcoin #HODL #BTC #CryptoAnalysis #Onchain $BTC
See the chart for yourself 👇🏻
