The future of prediction markets depends on whether a framework can be built that is not only efficient but also considered fair and transparent. This framework may need to integrate cryptoeconomic incentives, AI information processing, and legal logic to create a new type of truth discovery mechanism suitable for the digital age. Otherwise, prediction markets will always oscillate between "niche financial products" and "social phenomena that trigger regulatory storms," making it difficult to become the cornerstone infrastructure that its advocates hope can support large-scale social expectations. #ton