🚨 BREAKING: U.S. GOVERNMENT SHUTDOWN CONFIRMED FOR JANUARY 31 🚨
Polymarket is now pricing an 85% probability of another U.S. government shutdown by Jan 31.
Read that again. 85%.
If you forgot what a shutdown really means, look at 2025 👇
• ⏳ 43-day shutdown
• 📉 2.8% GDP hit
• 💸 $34B erased
• 👷 670,000 federal workers sent home
This isn’t politics.
This is real economic damage.
🔍 Why the odds are exploding:
After the Minneapolis Border Patrol shooting, Democrats are moving to block the DHS funding bill in the Senate.
That one detail explains everything.
⚠️ DHS funding = the fuse
If DHS stalls, the shutdown clock starts ticking fast.
And a shutdown is NOT just “people staying home” 👇
• Paychecks delayed
• Contracts frozen
• Approvals halted
• Data releases stalled
Uncertainty slows the economy before anything officially breaks.
📊 Market reaction is always the same:
1️⃣ Bonds move first
2️⃣ Stocks react next
3️⃣ Crypto moves FAST and VIOLENT
Almost no one is watching this right now.
Markets aren’t pricing it yet.
But they always do… late.
👀 Stay alert. Volatility is loading.
