About the 50/50 Strategy: A Reflection
Perhaps the 50/50 strategy can be understood as an attempt to harmonize two perspectives that, at first glance, seem to oppose each other: the conviction in the long-term value of an asset and the pursuit of optimizing returns in the present.
It is not a definitive formula, but a continuous exercise of balancing what is expected to happen and what can be done while waiting.
The First Half: The Potential at Rest
Allocating half of the capital in an instrument like Simple Earn suggests a posture of confidence, albeit cautious. The asset remains there, accumulating a modest return (0.26% p.a.), but more importantly, staying intact and available.
There is something contemplative in this choice: to let Bitcoin grow freely, without immediate commitments, allowing any future appreciation to be fully captured. It's like recognizing that action isn't always necessary, and that sometimes the best decision is simply to hold the position and observe.
The Second Half: The Gradual Crystalization
The other half, engaged in a mechanism like Dual Investment, represents a different approach. Here, there is an acceptance that part of the future potential can be exchanged for something tangible in the present: an early yield in exchange for the commitment to sell at a predetermined price.
This exchange is not necessarily better or worse, just different. It recognizes that the uncertainty of the future has a cost, and that there is value in transforming possibilities into certainties, even if partially.
The Cycles and Uncertainties
The market, however, is not static. There are periods when opportunities seem clear and fair, where a strike price like 100,500 USD sounds reasonable. But there are also moments when volatility intensifies, and the only available options seem unfavorable—like a target of 90,000 USD when the trend suggests greater possibilities.
In these moments, it may be valid to question whether it is worth acting. The wisdom may lie precisely in recognizing when the conditions are not favorable, when the prize offered does not adequately compensate for the risk of a premature sale.
It is possible that the best thing is simply to collect the net, let the capital return to the safe harbor of Simple Earn, and allow things to settle.
A Reflective Pause
There is a lesson that emerges from this dynamic: long-term profit may not arise solely from immediate rates or constant actions, but from a deeper understanding of market cycles. It involves knowing when to act and, perhaps more importantly, when to simply wait.
It is a form of humility in the face of uncertainties, a recognition that we do not always have answers, and that sometimes the best we can do is preserve our capital and our patience, trusting that new winds will come.
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