Many people ask, why can we still make a stable profit when the market crashes? There really is no secret; it's just repeatedly validating the most basic technical analysis methods. The case of rolling a small account into a large account has been verified countless times.
The core logic of this method is actually very simple: a three-layer funnel of fundamental screening + technical confirmation + strict risk control. It sounds easy, but not many can execute it well.
First layer: Market heat screening
Take out the cryptocurrencies that have risen the most in the last 11 trading days to look at them separately. But that's not enough—at the same time, we need to exclude those that have already fallen for more than 3 consecutive days. These coins usually represent capital fleeing, the trend has already weakened, and there is no need to catch the falling knife. The remaining ones are the true targets that are being pursued by capital.
Second layer: Monthly level confirmation
Open the monthly candlestick chart and only pay attention to the coins with a MACD golden cross. Simple and straightforward, but effective. After the golden cross forms, see if it can hold on during the first pullback—if it doesn't break down, it indicates a clear bullish intent. Coins with a death cross should be completely avoided; that is the bottom line.
Third layer: Daily level precise entry
Switch to the daily chart and focus on the 60-day moving average. When the coin price pulls back near this line and there is a spike in volume with a bullish candle or a long lower shadow, the signal of major activity is very clear. At this time, the probability of entering heavily is relatively high. But if there is no accompanying volume, even if it looks perfect, we have to wait—it's better to miss out than to force it.
Risk control is everything
After entering, the 60-day moving average is the only stop-loss line. Sell one-third when it rises to 30% to secure some profit. Sell another one-third when it rises to 50% to continue locking in gains. If it falls below the 60-day moving average the next day, exit completely without any room for negotiation.
This logic with dual confirmation from the monthly and daily levels has a sufficiently high winning rate, with obvious low-risk characteristics. But the premise is that risk control must be regarded as the most important thing in trading, rather than profit. $BTC #加密市场观察
