The rain outside is pouring heavily, just like today's market.🌧️
I just glanced at the group, and the screen was filled with sorrow.
Some people are cursing, and some are sharing their liquidation charts.
Old Li next door sent me a voice message: "Empty Uncle, the knife that fell down at $ETH 3400 has gone too deep, can we go all in at 3200 here?"
I blew on the foam, took a sip of tea, and replied to him:
"The knife just fell, still trembling, why are you in such a hurry to reach out and pull it out?"
From the market perspective (especially the 15-minute chart), this is indeed a typical panic situation.
A huge amount has been released, indicating that some people are panicking and fleeing, while others are quietly picking up goods.
This is the cruelty of trading: calling each other fools, mutually providing liquidity.
But I still have to pour cold water: a sharp drop doesn't mean it will rise immediately.
Now at 3200, it's like a boxer who has been knocked out; although still standing, the legs are weak.
The bullish structure has been destroyed, and recovery will take time, possibly requiring a 'double bottom' to confirm.
My opinion is very straightforward:
Don't panic blindly: those who cut losses now are likely to cut at the floor. A severe drop must have a rebound; this is a physical law.
Don't be blindly greedy: a rebound is not a reversal. The 3300-3350 above is all trapped positions, that's the 'ghost gate' set by the main force.
My strategy today is very simple, just six words: Defense, Retracement, Hunt.
🔥 Aggressive (Short-term Long):
If you're feeling itchy, it's fine to bet on a short-term rebound here at 3150-3160.
It's like grabbing a piece of meat and running away. Remember: it's grabbing, not taking.
Stop loss must break 3130 to decisively run away.
🛡️ Conservative (Trend Down):
I will wait.
Wait for it to rebound to around 3255 - 3270. When the bulls feel they can do it again, that will be my opportunity to short. Breakout at $3310 stop loss to exit, target 3200-3150 (test lower support).
In this market, those who live long are never the fastest to run but the most patient.
Do you want to be the hero for that one minute, or do you want to be the winner who laughs last? Let me know in the comments.👇#加密市场观察 #瀑布 #ETH走势分析
