🚨 FED POWER SHIFT ALERT | MARKETS ON EDGE 🚨
The Federal Reserve succession race has taken a dramatic turn — and global markets are watching closely.
On Jan 16, Donald Trump publicly told Kevin Hassett to “stay put,” effectively sidelining him from the Fed Chair race. This single comment reshaped the odds overnight.
📊 Prediction markets now show:
Christopher Waller nomination probability surging to ~60%
Hassett collapsing from 35% → 15%
With Jerome Powell’s term ending in May, the window for a leadership shift is tightening fast.
🔍 Why Waller?
Former Federal Reserve Board member (2006–2011)
Interviewed by Trump for Fed Chair back in 2017
Seen as more aligned with Trump’s push for rate cuts
Now the front-runner in a highly politicized environment
Trump has also launched a criminal investigation into Powell, but insists there’s no immediate plan to remove him — signaling a high-stakes “wait and see” game.
🌍 Global Pushback: Defending Fed Independence
The international response has been loud and clear:
IMF President publicly supports Powell’s professionalism
Fitch & S&P cite Fed independence as a pillar of US credit strength
ECB + central banks from the UK, Canada, Brazil & others warn against political interference
This is no longer just a US issue — it’s a global credibility test.
⚖️ What’s Really at Stake?
This battle goes far beyond personalities:
🏛️ Trump: Aggressive rate cuts to boost growth
🧠 Fed Doctrine: Independence above politics
If Waller becomes Fed Chair, markets may be pricing in:
Faster & deeper rate cuts
Potential USD weakness
A more favorable backdrop for risk assets & crypto
🔮 Key Questions for Investors
Will Waller prioritize political pressure or institutional independence?
Can the Fed remain autonomous under a more political chair?
Does this mark the start of a structural shift in USD dominance?
👀 Stay sharp. The Fed decision could redefine global liquidity, the dollar, and digital assets.
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