#happy_puppies #HappyNewYears
The suspense around the new head of the Federal Reserve rises again! Trump is about to announce the candidate, and the odds have changed overnight!
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The big show on New Year's Eve unexpectedly unfolds in the prediction market! Just as everyone awaits the New Year fireworks, betting on the next chairman of the Federal Reserve suddenly takes a dramatic turn—the lead of Hassett is rapidly evaporating.
$ZEC $



The latest odds show that Hassett, who was originally seated firmly in the top position as the Director of the National Economic Council, has seen his probability of being elected plummet from a high of 44%, almost losing half of his support. Meanwhile, former Federal Reserve Governor Kevin Walsh has surged unexpectedly, with his probability soaring to 33%, becoming the biggest dark horse. Current Federal Reserve Governor Waller follows closely behind with an 11% probability.
The direct trigger for this betting storm was the key signal released by Trump’s side—the new chairman candidate is expected to be officially announced in January. Once the news broke, the prediction market instantly boiled over, with trading volume tripling and odds fluctuating every minute.
"This is simply the political betting version of 'Million Dollar Traders,'" said an anonymous trader. “The decline curve of Hassett and the rise curve of Walsh are almost perfectly symmetrical, indicating that large funds are repositioning.”
Walsh has been a harsh critic of the Federal Reserve's easing policies, and if he takes office, it may mean that interest rate policies will shift to tightening more quickly.
Now everyone's attention is focused on three questions:
1. Will Trump ultimately choose the loyal Hassett, or turn to the more financially market-friendly Walsh?
2. Will this personnel change alter the pace of interest rate hikes throughout 2024?
3. To what extent will the Federal Reserve's independence be affected?
This appointment concerns not just one candidate but will directly impact the mortgage rates, stock market accounts, and wage growth of millions of people. A single appointment document may trigger another storm in the global financial market.