subroofficial

Never seen this data before. SF Fed 11 year data history tracking beige book responses vs PCE rate of change:
The US Dollar (USD) staged a meaningful comeback this week, rebounding from three-year lows recorded in the first half of the week to end the week with modest gains after a positive reaction to the Fed’s interest rate cut and Chief Powell’s upbeat press conference.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) rose for the third consecutive day on Friday, managing to advance slightly on the weekly charts and come close to the 98.00 barrier. The Chicago Fed National Activity Index will kickstart the calendar on September 22. The Current Account results will be released on September 23, followed by preliminary S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMIs, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, and the the API’s weekly report on US crude oil inventories.

The usual weekly MBA Mortgage Applications are due on September 24, prior to New Home Sales, and the EIA’s weekly report on US crude oil stockpiles. The usual weekly Initial Jobless Claims will be published on September 25, seconded by Durable Goods Orders, the final Q2 GDP Growth Rate, Existing Home Sales, and Wholesale Inventories. Wrapping up the docket, the PCE is due on September 26, followed by the final U-Mich Consumer Sentiment.
Despite the post-Fed resumption of a strong bearish bias, EUR/USD managed to close the week with humble gains, extending the positive streak for the third week in a row. The European Commission’s falsh Consumer Confidence gauge is due on September 22. The advanced HCOB Manufacturing and Services PMIs in Germany and the Euroland are expected on September 23, while the IFO’s Business Climate in Germany will be published on September 24. The German Consumer Confidence tracked by GfK will come on September 25, followed by the ECB’s M3 Money Supply. On September 26, the ECB will release its Consumer Inflation Expectations survey.

A dreadful second half of the week for the British Pound was enough to prompt GBP/USD to end the week with decent losses, returning to the 1.3460 zone despite surpassing the 1.3700 barrier in the wake of the Fed’s decision to trim rates. The preliminary Manufacturing and Services PMIs are due on September 23, seconded by the CBI Industrial Trends Orders. On September 25 will come the annualised Car Production figures and the CBI Distributive Trades.
Another choppy week saw USD/JPY extend its recent gains, although they remain capped by the key 200-day SMA around 148.50 for now. The flash Manufacturing and Services PMIs will be released on September 24, while the BoJ will publish its Minutes on September 25. The Tokyo Inflation Rate will close the calendar on September 26 followed by the weekly Foreign Bond Investment figures.
It was too good to be true. AUD/USD rapidly reversed its move to levels above the 0.6700 hurdle to end the week on the back foot after three consecutive advances. The advanced Manufacturing and Services PMIs are expected on September 23, while the Monthly CPI Indicator is due on September 24.

📊 Anticipating economic perspectives: Voices on the horizon
• The Fed’s Williams, Musalem, Barkin and Hammack are all due to speak on September 22, alongside the BoE’s Pill and Bailey.
• The Fed’s Bowman, Bostic, and Powell speak on September 23, seconded by the ECB’s Cipollone and the BoE’s Pill.
• The Fed’s Daly and the ECB’s Machado speak on September 24, along with the BoE’s Greene.
• The Fed’s Goolsbee, Williams, Bowman, and Daly will speak on September 24.
• The Fed’s Hammack, Barkin, Bowman, and Musalem will speak on September 26, along with the ECB’s Lagarde and the BoJ’s Noguchi.
• The Fed’s Bostic speaks on September 27.

🪙 Central banks: Upcoming meetings to shape monetary policies
• The Riksbank will meet on September 23 (2.00% act. vs. 2.00% exp.), as well as the MNB (6.50% act. vs. 6.50% exp.).
• The SNB will decide on rates on September 25 (0.00% act. vs. 0.00% exp.).
This article is collect from FXStreet website.

#StrategyBTCPurchase #PCE #USBitcoinReserveDiscussion #FedRateCut25bps #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.

Bitcoin holds key support at $108K and now tests $112.3K, a critical technical pivot.

A breakout above $115K–$117K could confirm trend reversal and open path to $119K–$125K.
Fed rate decisions, labor data, and geopolitical risks remain decisive for Q4 rally prospects.
Looking for actionable trade ideas to navigate the current market volatility?

Since July, Bitcoin has attempted several recoveries with brief upward pushes, but the broader price action has remained corrective. Profit-taking after the August peak near $124,400 confirmed the bearish phase. Last week, however, support around $108,000 prevented deeper losses and limited selling pressure.
This week, momentum has turned positive again. Buyers have gained strength since midweek, driving the price into the $110,000–$112,000 range and testing $112,000 today. The $112,300 level stands out technically, as it aligns with both the midpoint of the descending channel and the three-month exponential moving average (EMA).

Critical Levels for the Short-Term Trend
A daily and weekly close above $112,300 could reinforce Bitcoin’s recovery and open the door to $114,600. Clearing that resistance would mark the end of the corrective structure in place since July.
In September, trading between $110,000 and $114,000 is likely to remain pivotal. Sustained closes above $115,000 would confirm an uptrend heading into the final quarter.

Key levels to watch:
Support: $112,000 | $107,700 | $102,000 | $82,000 (deep downside risk)
Resistance: $112,300 | $114,600 | $115,000–$117,000 (crucial weekly threshold) | $119,000 (Fib 1.414) | $125,450 (Fibonacci expansion target)
A weekly close within $115,000–$117,000 would mark Bitcoin’s first breakout from this zone since July, likely coinciding with a channel breakout on the daily chart and signaling a strong bullish reversal.

What’s Needed for a Rally
For a genuine rally to emerge, Bitcoin must breach these resistance zones and overcome key psychological barriers. If the Stochastic RSI on the weekly chart shifts upward while the price holds above $115,000–$117,000, the bullish case strengthens. Under this scenario, the market could revisit $119,000 and $125,000—levels last tested in July and August. A sustained break above these regions would raise the probability of Bitcoin entering a three-digit rally, with potential targets in the $180,000–$190,000 range.
Bitcoin was trading just above $114,200, down from $123,236. The structure of that decline, however, made it quite clear that a new record lied ahead. It was a simple a)-b)-c) zigzag, with a triangle in wave b), marked a-b-c-d-e. Not only does the preceding trend resume once a correction is over, but triangles also precede the final wave of the pattern, in this case wave c).
So instead of joining the bears near $114k, we thought another surge was likely to follow. As the next chart shows, we didn’t have to wait long for it.

Fundamental Outlook: Fed Policy to Drive Sentiment
While the technical picture is improving, fundamentals remain decisive. Macroeconomic data and Federal Reserve policy continue to shape crypto market direction. Weak employment data earlier this week boosted expectations for a September rate cut, and today’s non-farm payrolls report adds another key input for traders.

Beyond rates, questions around the Fed’s independence are starting to weigh on risk appetite. While deeper cuts could draw institutional inflows, doubts about central bank credibility may dampen enthusiasm. Trade tensions, tariff policies, and ongoing geopolitical risks—particularly the Russia-Ukraine conflict—add further layers of uncertainty.

Bottom Line
Despite its recent correction, Bitcoin has not lost its underlying bullish bias. Technical signals are mixed, but a decisive break of resistance levels could put the bullish scenario firmly back in play by the final quarter of 2025. Whether this shift evolves into a true rally will depend as much on fundamentals—especially Fed decisions and global market conditions—as on technical momentum.

Breaking: U.S Nonfarm Payrolls
Nonfarm Payrolls measures the change in the number of people employed during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. Job creation is the foremost indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for the majority of economic activity.
A higher than expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower than expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD.

#Write2Earn #BinanceSquareFamily #Binance #BTC☀️ #SUBROOFFICIAL
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions. Digital asset prices are subject to high market risk and price volatility. The value of your investment may go down or up, and you may not get back the amount invested. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions and Binance is not available for any losses you may incur. Past performance is not a reliable predictor of future performance. You should only invest in products you are familiar with and where you understand the risks. You should carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives and risk tolerance and consult an independent financial adviser prior to making any investment.

Welcome to the Battlefield of Crypto Trading — Where every candlestick tells a story and every pattern reveals a potential move? In this image, you’re looking at 20 of the most powerful chart patterns that seasoned traders rely on day in and day out.
This isn’t just art — it’s a tactical map. And if you’re serious about leveling up your trading game, you need to commit these to memory.Let’s break it down. I’ll guide you through each category, help you spot what matters, and show you how to turn these shapes into strategic decisions.1. Reversal Patterns: Catch the Turning Point Reversal patterns signal a potential change in the market’s direction. Think of them as warning signs. If you're long and see a reversal forming, it’s time to tighten stops or consider flipping your position.
2. Bearish Reversals:1. Double Top and Triple Top: When the price fails to break above a key resistance twice (or three times), it's losing steam. Volume typically drops on the second peak — a key confirmation.2. Head and Shoulders: Classic bearish reversal. Watch the neckline. Once it breaks, momentum often accelerates downward.3. Rising Wedge & Expanding Triangle: They lure traders in with higher highs — then pull the rug. Volume divergence and narrowing ranges are red flags.4. Bullish Reversals:Double Bottom, Triple Bottom: Price tests support multiple times, fails to break lower, and rallies hard once resistance is cleared.5. Inverted Head and Shoulders: A golden setup. Mark your neckline and wait for the breakout. Ideal for swing entries.6. Falling Wedge & Expanding Triangle: These can trap short-sellers. Watch for higher lows with a breakout on increased volume.
Pro Tip: Don’t guess reversals. Wait for confirmation — usually a close beyond a key level or a volume surge. Patience > prediction.
3. Continuation Patterns: Ride the Momentum Markets trend more often than they reverse. Continuation patterns are your best friends when you're in a winning trade. They help you stay in longer and milk the move.
4. Bullish Continuations:7. Flag & Pennant Patterns: These form after strong moves up. A brief consolidation followed by a breakout. Fast setups — great for day traders.8. Falling Wedge / Falling Village: Look like reversals, but if they form mid-trend, they usually resolve upward.9. Symmetrical Expanding Triangle: A rare but explosive pattern. Volume matters here. The expansion often leads to sharp breakouts when resolved.
5. Bearish Continuations:10. Rising Wedge & Bearish Pennant: Price climbs with decreasing volume and momentum. High risk of collapse.11. Descending Triangle: Lower highs, flat support. Once the support breaks, it’s usually fast and brutal.
Pro Tip: When trading continuations, enter on the breakout with a tight stop below the consolidation zone. You’re not looking for range-bound action — you’re hunting momentum.
6. Pattern Psychology: What’s Happening Behind the Scenes on chart?Every pattern is driven by crowd psychology: Fear, greed, uncertainty. Support and resistance levels are where decisions get made. Breakouts happen when the majority finally gives in to the pressure. Understanding the why behind the what is crucial. Patterns repeat not because of magic — but because human behavior does.
7. Execution Strategy: From Pattern to Profit Here’s how to trade these patterns smartly: 1. Wait for confirmation. A breakout candle with volume is your green light.2. Set stop-losses logically. Below pattern support or above resistance.3. Use risk-reward rules. Target at least 2:1 reward to risk.4. Backtest. Don't trade patterns blindly. Practice them on historical charts. Patterns are tools, not guarantees. The edge comes from how you use them.
8. Final Takeaway: Patterns Are Power — If You Respect Them Every trader you admire — from the market wizards to your top-performing friends — has mastered chart patterns. Why? Because they work. Not every time. But often enough to give you an edge when combined with sound risk management and discipline.So study this chart. Burn it into your brain. Print it out and keep it on your wall. Next time you're staring at a chart, don’t just see price. See opportunity.Ready to trade smarter? Then let the patterns guide you — and let your discipline keep you in the game. Let’s get it.
#Write2Earn #TrendingTopic #Binance #BinanceSquareFamily #SUBROOFFICIAL
✨ SUBRO OFFICIAL ACADEMY 💫

• BOOST UP YOUR TRADING SKILL ON SUBROOFFICIAL ACADEMY 🌟 Source: https://bento.me/subroofficialacademy
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.