macroeconomia

​🛑 BTC under Pressure: What is moving the market? 🏛️
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​Bitcoin begins the last week of January in a scenario of extreme caution. If you felt the heavy atmosphere in the market today, it was not your impression: the sentiment of "Fear" returned to dominate the mood indicators of investors.
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​But what is behind this selling pressure, besides the prices? We have separated the 3 fundamental points for you to follow:
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​1. Uncertainty in Washington 🇺🇸
​The global market is in "wait mode" due to the growing risk of a U.S. government shutdown. The lack of political consensus in Washington is withdrawing liquidity from risk assets, and Bitcoin, as a global risk thermometer, feels the direct impact of this capital flight to safe havens.
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​2. Gold at New Heights 🏆
​While BTC faces volatility, Gold has broken the historic mark of $5,000. This movement shows that large institutional investors are prioritizing classic wealth protection at this moment, reacting to geopolitical tensions and threats of global trade tariffs that have marked recent days.
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​3. Outflows in ETFs 📉
​After a sequence of institutional inflows at the beginning of the month, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded considerable net outflows last week. This indicates that part of the "smart money" is taking profits or reducing exposure before the next Federal Reserve meeting.
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​💡 Opportunity or Danger?
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While retail is selling out of fear, we see large wallets (whales) quietly taking advantage of these price levels to accumulate. The macro scenario is challenging, but the fundamental scarcity of $BTC remains intact.
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​And you, are you taking the opportunity to accumulate or do you prefer to wait for the dust to settle? Comment below! 👇
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​#Bitcoin #BTC #Macroeconomia #Binance #CriptoNoticias

🚨 Is Japan going to turn on the printer? The fuel that $BTC was waiting for.

The global economy may be facing a silent collapse, and the trigger comes from the East. If you trade $BTC , you need to understand that Japan is in a tight spot:

• 🏦 The Interest Trap: The Bank of Japan operates with minimal rates. If interest rates rise, the system collapses. If they don't rise, the currency devalues (see the graph 👆).

• 🖨️ Forced Solution: The only likely way out? Massively print money to "plug the hole".

• 🌊 Where is this money going? Global liquidity is seeking refuge.

• ⚔️ Gold vs. Bitcoin: With gold already saturated and at historical highs, $BTC becomes the main destination to protect capital and capture this new injection of liquidity.
$BTC #Japão #Macroeconomia

🤔 Gold or Bitcoin: which one would you choose to protect yourself from the collapse of the Yen?

📉 And do you think BTC is aiming for a new historical high as soon as Japan starts printing? Share your opinion below! 👇

The Economic Machine: Are we entering a danger zone for $BTC ?
Many only look at candlesticks, but big capital looks at Debt Cycles. Today we analyze the current scenario using Ray Dalio's logic. 🧠
Numbers don't lie:
GDP Growth (2.33%): An economy that barely walks.
Debt Growth (6.12%): Alert! Debt is growing almost 3 times faster than the economy. We are spending money we haven't earned.
Unemployment (8.4%): A clear sign that the short-term cycle is in a recession phase.
What does this mean for Cryptocurrencies?
When the debt burden becomes heavy and unemployment rises, liquidity drains from risk assets. If the real economy suffers, capital often seeks refuge or simply withdraws to cover debts.
My strategy:
We are in the "Tightening" phase of the long-term cycle. It's not a time to be reckless. I prefer to observe how global liquidity reacts before taking aggressive positions.
​#RayDalio #MacroEconomia #bitcoin.” #tradingview #Write2Earn! $BTC $BNB
⚠️ WARNING: This analysis is based on macroeconomic cycles and current data; it does not constitute financial advice. The crypto market is highly volatile. Always do your own research (DYOR) before investing.

Look at the chart for yourself 👇🏻

It seems that the financial landscape is getting a bit tense and it's impossible to ignore what's happening with the rates.😮

The 10-year Treasury yield in the U.S. (that thermometer that measures how much it costs to borrow in the world) has just hit its highest point in four months, and both Bitcoin and stocks are feeling it.📉

Here I explain simply why this matters to us:

1️⃣ More expensive money: When that index rises, taking out loans becomes more costly for everyone. This usually dampens investor enthusiasm for "risky" assets like cryptos or tech stocks.💸

2️⃣ Bitcoin under pressure: Although many of us see BTC as the future, in the short term it continues to react to traditional macroeconomics. If government bonds yield better returns with "less risk," some big capital decides to move there, taking strength away from the crypto market.📊

3️⃣ Opportunity or danger?: For those who are in it for the long haul, these moments of uncertainty are usually background noise. But for day-to-day, one must tread carefully and closely watch the Fed's next moves.🧐

The million-dollar question: Is this just a bump in the road or the beginning of a deeper correction? For now, it's time to keep a cool head and not trade on impulse.🧘‍♂️✨

How do you see it? Is it a time to accumulate or to wait for the tide to go down? I’m reading you!👇

#bitcoin #mercados #Inversiones #MacroEconomia #Trading $BTC
Disclaimer ⚠️
The information provided in the previous post is for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be construed as financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.🚫
Investments in cryptocurrencies and decentralized finance (DeFi) carry significant risks, including the potential total loss of invested capital.⚠️
Always conduct your own research (DYOR - Do Your Own Research) 🫵🏻

Is it time to accumulate or to wait? The impact of M2 and interest rates on $BTC
To understand where the crypto market is headed, it's not enough to look at the chart; we must look at the flow of global money. Today we analyze two factors that could change the rules of the game in the short term:
1. The contraction of M2 (Monetary Supply):
The M2 money supply is showing signs of cooling. Historically, when global liquidity decreases, risk assets like $BTC tend to suffer selling pressure. Less money circulating means less fresh capital entering the markets and the crypto sector.
2. The uncertainty of interest rates:
There is still no total clarity about the upcoming moves of the Federal Reserve.
If they maintain rates: The dollar strengthens and capital flees from cryptocurrencies.
If they lower rates: Optimism is injected, but the market usually reacts with a delay.
Why buy (or not) now?
Buying at this point requires a DCA strategy (dollar-cost averaging). Going all-in is risky as long as we do not have a clear macroeconomic confirmation. The market may be "cheap" today, but the lack of liquidity (low M2) could give us better entry prices later.
Recommended strategy: Patience and vigilance. Do not trade on impulse; trade on data. Macroeconomics always has the final word.
Do you believe we have already hit the bottom or will liquidity continue to decline? Look at the chart of $BTC that I left below.👇
#Macroeconomia ##Fed #Liquidez $BTC #Write2Earn

🚨 Casa Blanca "Highly Confident" in Supreme Court backing for Tariffs
The U.S. administration declared yesterday, January 15, 2026, that it is fully confident that the Supreme Court will rule in favor of presidential authority to impose global tariffs under the IEEPA Act.

🔍 What does this scenario imply?

✅ Goodbye Uncertainty: A favorable ruling would eliminate legal doubts about charges already made and consolidate the protectionist agenda.

✅ Inflationary Pressure: The market already anticipates that maintaining these tariffs will raise import costs, complicating the task for the Federal Reserve.

✅ Executive Power: A historical precedent would be confirmed regarding the president's total control over foreign trade matters without going through Congress.

📊 Impact on the Crypto market:

🚀 #BITCOIN: Historically, $BTC reacts as a safe haven amid macroeconomic friction. If the market anticipates more inflation and a possible monetary stimulus response in the future, the narrative of "digital gold" gains strength. 📈

✅ Volatility: An increase in the movement of risk assets is expected as investors "price in" a stronger dollar and possibly higher interest rates for longer.

The consolidation of tariffs could be the fuel that Bitcoin needs for a new bullish leg amid a more complex macro outlook. 🚀

#Trump #aranceles #Tariffs #Bitcoin #BTC #MacroEconomia #USA #BinanceSquare #CryptoNews

📉 $BTC Pressured by Wall Street and Risk Aversion.

The strong correction of Bitcoin is not just an internal phenomenon of the crypto market. Today, the weakening sentiment on Wall Street, driven by trade tensions (tariffs) and risk aversion in traditional assets, has further pressured cryptocurrencies.
Bitcoin is increasingly reacting like a risk asset within the global financial landscape, and capital flows are rotating towards traditional safe-haven assets like gold. Traders are watching the $100,000 zone as the next crucial psychological support.
Impact: The correlation with traditional markets is increasing. Investors should closely monitor US macroeconomic indicators (such as the CPI) that will be published soon.
#bitcoin #WallStreet #MacroEconomia $BTC #tradingview #BTCUSDT

🗓️ WEEKLY CALENDAR! Key Events that Will Move the Markets ⚡
🚨 Key Days to Mark:
🔸MONDAY: OPEC Monthly Report. (Direct impact on energy and inflation ⛽).
🔹TUESDAY (The Big One): Speech by Fed Chairman Powell. (High expectations regarding interest rates and monetary policy 🏦).
🔸WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY: Manufacturing Indices (NY and Philadelphia). (Measure of economic health 🏭).
🔥 Our Biggest Expectation:
Powell's speech on Tuesday is the main event. His guidance on rates dictates risk appetite and the cost of borrowing. Combined with OPEC data, it defines the narrative of inflation and investment decisions for the week!
#MacroEconomia #Powell #Fed #OPEP #trading
➡️ Follow Alezito50x for market alerts and strategy analysis. 🧠

⚠️ ALERT MACRO! UNEMPLOYMENT IN THE U.S. SPARKS FEAR: 4.6%
While we all look at the Bitcoin charts, the data has just come out that could change the course of the economy for 2026. The unemployment rate in the United States has jumped to 4.6%, its highest level since September 2021.
What you need to know about this report:
The Jump: The rate rose from 4.4% (September) to 4.6% in this November report.
Black October: It was confirmed that in October 105,000 net jobs were lost, primarily due to cuts in the public sector after the government shutdown.
Fed Reaction: Jerome Powell has called for calm and to view these data with skepticism due to the "distortions" of the 43-day government shutdown.

How does this affect Bitcoin and Crypto?
Immediate Shock: BTC has already reacted by briefly falling below $87,000 after the news.

The "Good" Side: If the economy cools down too quickly, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be forced to cut interest rates more aggressively in January to avoid a recession.
Historically: Lower interest rates = More liquidity = Bitcoin up in the medium term.

📢 Debate: Do you think this unemployment data is the "perfect excuse" for the Fed to start printing money again and send BTC to new highs, or are we heading into a recession that will drag everything down?
#MacroEconomia #desempleo #Fed #BTC #MarketUpdate $BTC

🇺🇸 COURT BLOCKS TRUMP'S TARIFFS
📉 #Macroeconomia
The U.S. Federal Court has blocked today the tariffs known as "Liberation Day," imposed by President Donald Trump. The court ruled that the president exceeded his authority by imposing widespread tariffs without Congressional approval.

This decision reduces trade tensions and may bring relief to global markets, favoring risk assets such as stocks and cryptocurrencies.
#criptomoeda
#BTC
#ETH
#xrp

🚨 MACRO ALERT THAT COULD SHAKE THE MARKETS 🇺🇸💥

This Wednesday, over $200 BILLION could be released in the U.S., and the impact could be felt in stocks, the dollar, and cryptocurrencies 👀📈

The U.S. government might be forced to refund over $200 billion if the Supreme Court rules the tariffs imposed during the Trump era illegal.

All the money already collected would have to be directly refunded to importers—a rare event that could alter liquidity flows in the markets.

Treasury officials assure that the U.S. has sufficient cash to cover these refunds without triggering a financial crisis. However, the real impact would be on market sentiment and investor reaction.

📉📈 Possible effects:
Reduction in commercial costs
Relief from inflationary pressures
Higher purchasing power
Increased short-term volatility
📌 Cryptocurrencies to watch closely:

$VVV
$CLO
$HYPER

This is not just a legal news story—it's a macroeconomic event that could redefine risk appetite.

If managed well, it could be positive for the markets; if mishandled, volatility could spike.

⏰ Wednesday: key day. Everyone watching.
#MacroEconomia #InversiónCripto #BinanceSquare #EconomiaGlobal #EstadosUnidos

#NFPWatch

📊 US NFP: Positive Surprise in the Labor Market
The Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report released today showed that the US added +147 thousand jobs, exceeding expectations of 110 thousand.

Additionally, the unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, below the forecast of 4.3%.
Result: the labor market remains resilient, even with high interest rates.

💡 Why does this matter?
• An NFP above expectations indicates economic strength → lower chance of immediate interest rate cuts
• Lower unemployment = more consumption = potential inflationary pressure
• Direct impact on the dollar, fixed income, and… crypto as well (via global liquidity)

📌 Traders and investors are already starting to reprice the scenario for the next Fed meeting.

Technical summary:
☑️ Jobs above expectations
☑️ Unemployment below forecast
⚠️ Lower chance of monetary easing in the short term
🔸 Dollar is likely to remain strong in the short term; risk assets may feel the pressure

Disclaimer: This content is for educational and informational purposes. It does not constitute an investment recommendation. Conduct your own analysis.

#NFPWatch #Macroeconomia #CriptoeMercado #PayrollReport #Write2Earn

📊 CRITICAL AGENDA: THIS WEEK'S DATA THAT WILL DETERMINE THE COURSE OF THE FED 📈
The global scenario is tense. Markets are about to face a decisive week, where the cascading publication of economic data from the U.S. and the speeches of Federal Reserve (Fed) leaders will inject high volatility. The key for investors is anticipation and risk management. ⚠️

🗓️ The Risk Calendar That Defines Monetary Policy
The Fed's roadmap is based on two pillars: the labor market and manufacturing health. These are the reports that will move interest rate and liquidity expectations:

All Week: Fed Officials' Interventions – Every comment can readjust traders' expectations about the future of rates. Listening is crucial. 👂

Tuesday: JOLTS Job Openings – A key indicator of job demand. A surprisingly high number could reignite inflationary concerns.

Wednesday: ADP Employment Report and ISM Manufacturing PMI – A dual view of private hiring health and the pulse of the industrial sector. Two vital readings for economic health. 🏭

Thursday: Initial Jobless Claims – The fastest indicator to measure layoff pressure.

Friday (The Main Event): Non-Farm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate – The report that carries the most weight. Its final outcome can determine the tone of the Fed and the overall market sentiment. 👑

🎯 The Importance of Strategy
These reports not only affect stocks; they influence global liquidity conditions, to which digital assets react sharply. The volatility they generate is an opportunity for those with a defined strategy.

The focus should be on monitoring this data to understand market reactions and position oneself prudently.

#MacroEconomia #FEDDATA #GestiónDeRiesgo #Volatilidad #trading $BTC $BNB $SOL 📉📈

🤫 ALERT MACRO! Powell Just Silently Activated the Biggest Crypto Signal of 2025 🟢🚀
Today the screens are red, the market is bleeding, but the President of the Fed, Jerome Powell, just slipped the data that changes everything.

The key was not a cut, but the hint that the Fed might be concluding Quantitative Tightening (QT). 💡

Why is this the OXYGEN VALVE for Crypto? 👇

✅End of the Drain: QT is the process that drains liquidity from the global financial system. When this "slow bleed" stops or reverses, risk assets (like $BTC and alts) stop suffering that constant pressure.

✅The Origin of the Rallies: Every major historical bull run began with this exact type of macro change in liquidity policy, not with a retail news catalyst.

✅Ignored by the Majority: Most traders are too distracted by short-term price action ("the screen is red"), and are not registering the importance of this change.

🔥The Moment of Confirmation:

The next FOMC meeting (November 6-7) is where this hint could turn into confirmation. Get ready: the market will pretend it "saw it coming" after it happens.

$BTC , $XRP , $SOL and all risk assets need the end of QT to breathe and reactivate the cycle. Don't get distracted by the noise!

#MacroEconomia #Powell #QT #liquidez #BTC

➡️ Follow Alezito50x for market alerts and strategy analysis. 🧠

💰 BTC and M2? The key connection. 📈
Interesting analysis: if the M2 Money Supply (liquidity indicator) repeats its massive expansion of 2020, it could be a strong driver for Bitcoin in 2026!
Keep an eye on the macro data. Institutional money could be getting ready!
#bitcoin #Macroeconomia #M2 #BTC2026 #HODL
$BTC

💎 Bitcoin Is Not a Bet, It's Protection: JPMorgan Changes the Institutional Game 🏦🛡️
JPMorgan has redefined the conversation on Wall Street, dubbing Bitcoin ($BTC ) as a "devaluation trade." This key statement elevates Bitcoin from being seen as a high-risk speculative asset to a hedge against the devaluation of fiat currencies by governments.

Why Is Wall Street Turning to BTC?
The banking institution highlights the macroeconomic factors that are forcing big capital to seek hedges:

Rising Deficits: Excessive public spending increases debt.

Monetary Easing: Policies are becoming more lenient, quietly injecting more liquidity into the system.

For big capital, this means that the risk of governments continuing to print money is high, devaluing traditional currencies. Therefore, they are treating Bitcoin as gold with growth potential, not as a casino chip.

The Confirmation of the Narrative
This analysis from JPMorgan is not based on retail enthusiasm or social media trends, but on the cold language of traditional finance. This shift in institutional tone is the confirmation of the true narrative: smart capital is buying protection in the form of Bitcoin.

Short-term price fluctuations are irrelevant in light of this fundamental change. The message is clear: $BTC is the new hedging instrument for institutions.

#Bitcoin #JPMorgan #InversionInstitucional #devaluacion #MacroEconomia $BTC

Do you think other major institutions will follow JPMorgan's lead and classify Bitcoin as an official "protection" asset?

🚨 INFLATION RUINS THE PARTY! 2.2% Reading Puts the Fed Against the Ropes. Volatility Alert! 📈🇺🇸
Inflation has just hit 2.2%, abruptly halting the optimism over interest rate cuts that Wall Street and the crypto market were hoping for. This is the noisy guest that increases uncertainty and volatility across all risk assets like $SAGA and $C98 .

✨✨. The Failure in the System: Inflation vs. The Fed 😤
The Federal Reserve (Fed) wanted to cut rates to boost the economy, but inflation has just put the brakes on them.

🔥The Problem: High inflation forces the Fed to keep rates high for longer. High rates = less liquidity available for the crypto market.

👀The Result: Every word from the Fed now shakes the markets, creating intense pressure and keeping traders operating on caffeine.

✨✨. Why is This Relevant for SAGA and C98? 💥
Altcoins are the assets that suffer the most when liquidity decreases:

🚨Amplified Risk: When liquidity is uncertain, capital tends to flee from higher-risk assets, increasing volatility in smaller coins.

✅Maximum Vigilance: Traders must be glued to the charts, as the next Fed decision has the power to change everything.

🎯Conclusion: Inflation is the dominant factor now. The next Fed decision will be a Defining event. Stay alert; the strategy is not in the coins, but in the correct reading of the Fed.

#inflación #Fed #MacroEconomia #Volatilidad 🧠💰

➡️ Follow Alezito50x for the macro analysis that directly affects your crypto portfolio. 🚀

Bitcoin ($BTC ) surges past $95,000 USDT after Jobs Data 📈💰

🔥 Bitcoin unstoppable! The price of $BTC has surpassed the key resistance level of $95,000 USDT, currently trading near $95,150.
This surge is due to the release of U.S. jobs data, which suggest a slight slowdown in the labor market. Investors interpret this as a higher likelihood that the Federal Reserve will implement more flexible monetary policies, benefiting risk assets like Bitcoin.
#Bitcoin #BTC #MacroEconomia #FED #CryptoNews $BTC