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Where is the bottom? What levels will Bitcoin crash to?
Three models
On the six-month horizon, when searching for the bottom in the cryptocurrency market, one can rely on three models. These are historical data from previous cycles and comparisons with gold.
The first model is based on the pattern from 2019, which is closest to the current macroeconomic situation. Back then, the market grew from about $3,000 to $13,000, after which it entered a prolonged correction to $6,500. All this occurred against the backdrop of a rising stock market and the pause in the reduction of the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve System (FRS) — just like now. If we extrapolate that pattern onto the current cycle, the market is already close to its minimum values — in the range of $67,000–73,000.
On the six-month horizon, when searching for the bottom in the cryptocurrency market, one can rely on three models. These are historical data from previous cycles and comparisons with gold.
The first model is based on the pattern from 2019, which is closest to the current macroeconomic situation. Back then, the market grew from about $3,000 to $13,000, after which it entered a prolonged correction to $6,500. All this occurred against the backdrop of a rising stock market and the pause in the reduction of the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve System (FRS) — just like now. If we extrapolate that pattern onto the current cycle, the market is already close to its minimum values — in the range of $67,000–73,000.
Kryprofun:
30 жду с нетерпением
Bitcoin has fallen by 39%. When will the crypto winter end for $75 billion
Bitwise's Director of Investments Matt Hougan stated that the current bear cycle in the digital asset market began back in January 2025. The influx of institutional capital amounting to $75 billion temporarily masked the depth of the decline of most tokens from retail investors.
Experts disagree on the date of the end of the crisis, predicting a recovery from early to autumn 2026.
Experts disagree on the date of the end of the crisis, predicting a recovery from early to autumn 2026.
TORTAR:
Закончится тогда , когда все деньги с нас выкачают !
Peter Brandt called Bitcoin's decline a planned campaign by major players.
The current decline in the price of the leading cryptocurrency is caused by the actions of major market participants, not by panicked private investors, according to technical analyst Peter Brandt.
In his opinion, the price movement bears all the hallmarks of a "planned selloff." Brandt noted that the leading cryptocurrency has been making new local highs and lows for eight days in a row. The expert contrasted this situation with a typical liquidation of retail traders' positions.
In his opinion, the price movement bears all the hallmarks of a "planned selloff." Brandt noted that the leading cryptocurrency has been making new local highs and lows for eight days in a row. The expert contrasted this situation with a typical liquidation of retail traders' positions.
marinero-2362c:
Миллиардеры станут богаче, а количество крипто-миллионеров уменьшится и тогда начнется рост 😂
Michael Barry: the drop in BTC is causing institutions to sell off gold
Barry is a legendary investor who predicted and profited from the 2008 mortgage crisis. A movie titled 'The Big Short' was made based on his story.
• Bitcoin is the source of a chain reaction: a decrease $BTC pulls down not only altcoins. Institutions are selling off gold and silver to cover crypto losses and margin requirements.
• Bitcoin is the source of a chain reaction: a decrease $BTC pulls down not only altcoins. Institutions are selling off gold and silver to cover crypto losses and margin requirements.
maxim969:
кому оно на...й нужно это золото
What do cryptocurrencies need for growth now?
Analysts emphasize that now capital coming through institutional ETFs remains in Bitcoin and does not flow into other assets. And for the next bullish rally to start, there now needs to be a simultaneous emergence in the unregulated zone of a truly mass, useful product and a radical easing of global monetary policy.
Vitalik Buterin criticized the creation of 'yet another copies' of EVM networks
Industries do not need new L1 blockchains or networks that copy the EVM. According to Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin, this approach 'has led developers into a dead end, stifling imagination.'
He noted that the first level of the ecosystem is successfully scaling, so creating another network with an 'optimistic' bridge and a one-week withdrawal delay makes no sense.
He noted that the first level of the ecosystem is successfully scaling, so creating another network with an 'optimistic' bridge and a one-week withdrawal delay makes no sense.
February Bitcoin forecast on Polymarket has significantly worsened
February contract price $BTC on Polymarket — until expiration in 24 days, nearly $1.78 million in turnover only for the target of $70,000 — gives a clear signal of sentiment. The probability that by the time of contract settlement at the end of February the price will be around $70,000 has risen to 74% (an increase of 65%). This is not about the exact closing of the month at this level, but rather the expected price level at the expiration date. Currently, this is the most actively traded scenario for the month.
Elia Burningham jnzs:
итогу одно сказать всё это туфта я ещё две недели назад писал когда биткоин был по 88$ .. что идём на 50$
Bitcoin tested the $70,000 level under the pressure of macro factors and outflows from ETFs
February 5 quotes $BTC fell to $70,119 — the lowest since October 2024. $ETH followed the flagship, dropping to $2,079.
Kronos Research's Director of Investments Vincent Liu linked the decline to a break of important support after a failed bounce. According to him, pressure on the market was intensified by three factors: a wave of liquidations of long positions, sell-offs in the US tech sector, and capital outflows from spot ETFs.
Kronos Research's Director of Investments Vincent Liu linked the decline to a break of important support after a failed bounce. According to him, pressure on the market was intensified by three factors: a wave of liquidations of long positions, sell-offs in the US tech sector, and capital outflows from spot ETFs.
Crypto is stormier than US stocks during the Great Depression - Mike McGlone
Mike McGlone — Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence.
• The chart compares the crash of the stock market in 1929-30 (Dow Jones, gray line) with the fall of the crypto market in 2025-26 (orange line)
• The crypto market is falling on a more aggressive trajectory than US stocks during the Great Depression
• McGlone: "Bitcoin and the crypto market in 2025-26 make the crash of the American stock market in 1929-1930 look like child's play"
• The chart compares the crash of the stock market in 1929-30 (Dow Jones, gray line) with the fall of the crypto market in 2025-26 (orange line)
• The crypto market is falling on a more aggressive trajectory than US stocks during the Great Depression
• McGlone: "Bitcoin and the crypto market in 2025-26 make the crash of the American stock market in 1929-1930 look like child's play"
Saxza:
да ну?) без рабочего класса нет ничего. если для вас такси низко и рабочий класс, то желаю вам никогда не пользовался их услугами и продукцией.
$BTC BITCOIN JUST HIT A HISTORIC EXTREME
#Bitcoin’s RSI on Coinbase is now the 3rd lowest it’s ever been.
Only two moments were lower:
– the 2018 bear market bottom
– the March 2020 COVID crash
That doesn’t mean price flips overnight.
But historically, this $BTC level only shows up when fear is high, leverage is gone, and most people have already given up.
These moments are rare. 🔥
$BTC
#BitcoinDropMarketImpact #BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarketAnalysis #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold
#Bitcoin’s RSI on Coinbase is now the 3rd lowest it’s ever been.
Only two moments were lower:
– the 2018 bear market bottom
– the March 2020 COVID crash
That doesn’t mean price flips overnight.
But historically, this $BTC level only shows up when fear is high, leverage is gone, and most people have already given up.
These moments are rare. 🔥
$BTC
#BitcoinDropMarketImpact #BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarketAnalysis #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold
Gold has become more volatile than Bitcoin: risks at the level of the 2008 crisis
Precious metals have outpaced Bitcoin in terms of market instability. According to current data, the 30-day volatility index for gold reached a peak value of 48.68, and at the time of preparing the material, it was recorded at 41.04. Notably, such levels have not been observed since the global financial crisis of 2008.
After the Ethereum update, every ninth transaction became a 'crypto dust attack'
43% of transactions contained transfers of less than $1, and 38% were for amounts less than one cent, the authors of the study found. Such transfers have no economic value and serve to 'seed wallets,' the specialists explained. The goal of such attacks is to make the user accidentally copy an incorrect address when making a transaction and transfer funds to the fraudsters.
Liquidity does not flee from crypto... it quietly changes its location.
When red headlines dominate the screens, the market tends to interpret every drop as a “collapse”. But experience from previous crypto cycles teaches us an important lesson:
The real collapse is chaotic... what we see now is a smart repositioning.
In February 2026, while the price of Bitcoin is declining and speculative currencies are under clear pressure, a silent shift is happening that doesn't make the headlines, but is more important in the medium term.
The real collapse is chaotic... what we see now is a smart repositioning.
In February 2026, while the price of Bitcoin is declining and speculative currencies are under clear pressure, a silent shift is happening that doesn't make the headlines, but is more important in the medium term.
$BNB
$BNB Readies for Sell-the-Rally: Important Levels to Monitor
Binance Coin ($BNB ) displays evident indicators of a possible short chance as it moves through an essential resistance area. Traders aiming to take advantage of a sell-the-rally setup now possess clear entry, stop-loss, and target levels, simplifying risk management.
Trade Configuration (SHORT)
Entry: 655.167 – 661.133
Limit of Loss: 676.050
Aims:
TP1: 640.250
TP2: 634.284
TP3: 622.351
What is the reason for this configuration?
On the 4-hour chart, $bnb is set for a short as it confronts the resistance zone. The daily pattern stays within a range, highlighting the significance of position when making trades. At present, the price is stabilizing within the (655.167–661.133) range, providing a clear and low-risk entry opportunity.
If BNB cannot maintain this zone and indicates a rejection, the route to the initial target at 640.250 becomes probable. The RSI on the lower timeframe shows that the market isn't oversold yet, allowing space for a potential decline.
Invalidation Point:
A decisive break above 787.116 would completely invalidate the short thesis, altering the focus toward possible upward movement and a squeeze scenario.
Market Discussion:
The main consideration for traders at this moment: will $bnb face rejection here and proceed to TP1, or surpass 787.116 and initiate a bullish squeeze? Observing price movements at these levels is essential for effective risk management and execution.
#BNB #BinanceCoin #CryptocurrencyTrading #ShortPosition #CapitalizeOnTheRally #CryptoMarketAnalysis
$BNB Readies for Sell-the-Rally: Important Levels to Monitor
Binance Coin ($BNB ) displays evident indicators of a possible short chance as it moves through an essential resistance area. Traders aiming to take advantage of a sell-the-rally setup now possess clear entry, stop-loss, and target levels, simplifying risk management.
Trade Configuration (SHORT)
Entry: 655.167 – 661.133
Limit of Loss: 676.050
Aims:
TP1: 640.250
TP2: 634.284
TP3: 622.351
What is the reason for this configuration?
On the 4-hour chart, $bnb is set for a short as it confronts the resistance zone. The daily pattern stays within a range, highlighting the significance of position when making trades. At present, the price is stabilizing within the (655.167–661.133) range, providing a clear and low-risk entry opportunity.
If BNB cannot maintain this zone and indicates a rejection, the route to the initial target at 640.250 becomes probable. The RSI on the lower timeframe shows that the market isn't oversold yet, allowing space for a potential decline.
Invalidation Point:
A decisive break above 787.116 would completely invalidate the short thesis, altering the focus toward possible upward movement and a squeeze scenario.
Market Discussion:
The main consideration for traders at this moment: will $bnb face rejection here and proceed to TP1, or surpass 787.116 and initiate a bullish squeeze? Observing price movements at these levels is essential for effective risk management and execution.
#BNB #BinanceCoin #CryptocurrencyTrading #ShortPosition #CapitalizeOnTheRally #CryptoMarketAnalysis
Matt Hogan: The decline in the crypto market is not just a brief correction
According to Hogan, the current situation resembles the crypto winters of 2018 and 2022, when the overall decline continued despite positive news — the growth of cryptocurrency adoption and improved attitudes from the authorities of major countries.
"What is happening now is a classic bear market. Excessive use of borrowed funds combined with the habit of early investors to lock in profits only reinforces the negative trend," explained the top manager.
"What is happening now is a classic bear market. Excessive use of borrowed funds combined with the habit of early investors to lock in profits only reinforces the negative trend," explained the top manager.
ViktoriaG:
а что Биткойн упал немного?😁
$BTC Bitcoin just crashed below $62,345, sparking market-wide panic as traders dumped positions, watching late-2025 euphoria evaporate into a brutal momentum reversal unfolding globally overnight.
Over $2 trillion in crypto market value has vanished since October’s all-time high, leaving holders underwater and confidence severely damaged across major coins.
Risk-off macro fears, ETF outflows, cascading liquidations, and Bitcoin’s failed hedge narrative combined, driving extreme fear as liquidity thinned worldwide during this selloff.
#BitcoinDropMarketImpact #bitcoin #CryptoMarketAnalysis #MarketSentimentToday
$BTC
Over $2 trillion in crypto market value has vanished since October’s all-time high, leaving holders underwater and confidence severely damaged across major coins.
Risk-off macro fears, ETF outflows, cascading liquidations, and Bitcoin’s failed hedge narrative combined, driving extreme fear as liquidity thinned worldwide during this selloff.
#BitcoinDropMarketImpact #bitcoin #CryptoMarketAnalysis #MarketSentimentToday
$BTC
ABSOLUTE PANIC – FEAR INDEX AT EXTREMELY LOW LEVEL
The fear index has plummeted to the bottom, now only 5 points. Extremely lower than the initial personal assessment of 8
The crowd is panicking, cash becomes 'king', the dollar rises, and a defensive mentality envelops the market
This is the moment investors must ask themselves a question harder than any technical analysis:
"RUN according to emotions or strategic discipline? "
Cash out brings instant safety, but DCA is a silent way to accumulate when others are fleeing. In the financial market, large profits are rarely born from comfort – they are often built during the darkest days.
The crowd is panicking, cash becomes 'king', the dollar rises, and a defensive mentality envelops the market
This is the moment investors must ask themselves a question harder than any technical analysis:
"RUN according to emotions or strategic discipline? "
Cash out brings instant safety, but DCA is a silent way to accumulate when others are fleeing. In the financial market, large profits are rarely born from comfort – they are often built during the darkest days.
$BTC 📊 The recent market move got our Research team nervous 👀Everyone’s asking: “Is this the Bitcoin bottom?”
We deep-dived into 4 key on-chain indicators: NUPL, MVRV Z-Score, Fear & Greed Index, and HODL Waves 🔥check out the hot off the press data and full breakdown below👇
#CryptoMarketAnalysis #BTC #bitcoin #BitcoinDropMarketImpact #Market_Update
$BTC
We deep-dived into 4 key on-chain indicators: NUPL, MVRV Z-Score, Fear & Greed Index, and HODL Waves 🔥check out the hot off the press data and full breakdown below👇
#CryptoMarketAnalysis #BTC #bitcoin #BitcoinDropMarketImpact #Market_Update
$BTC
$BTC ‼️Bitcoin has lost $10,000 in value over the last 24 hours.
Why? Too much FUD.
• “Epstein is Satoshi”
• “Saylor will go bankrupt”
• “USDT is depegging”
• “Quantum will kill Bitcoin”
• “Tom Lee will sell ETH”
All these FUD narratives are hitting at once, triggering panic selling😭
#BitcoinDropMarketImpact #bitcoin #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold #cryptonews #CryptoMarketAnalysis
$BTC
Why? Too much FUD.
• “Epstein is Satoshi”
• “Saylor will go bankrupt”
• “USDT is depegging”
• “Quantum will kill Bitcoin”
• “Tom Lee will sell ETH”
All these FUD narratives are hitting at once, triggering panic selling😭
#BitcoinDropMarketImpact #bitcoin #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold #cryptonews #CryptoMarketAnalysis
$BTC
An 'air gap' is forming in the Bitcoin market
At Compass Point, they believe that the crypto market continues to remain under pressure, and Bitcoin may face a new wave of price decline. According to the forecast of banking analysts, the nearest support level is in the range of $60,000–$68,000, where long-term investors made large purchases most frequently in the previous cycle.
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