I have been warning you for the last 45 days that a big dump was coming and now itās playing out exactly. Bitcoin has already dumped around $20K and is now trading near 112K, right at the major resistance zone that has triggered every big correction since 2018.
A small bounce to 115Kā116K is possible, but after that I expect another leg down toward 100K, and potentially lower to 90K. Iām still holding my 50% short position. If anything changes or I close my position, Iāll update you. Remember I mentioned earlier that if BTC went back to 125Kā128K, I would add more shorts and that plan hasnāt changed.
Till Monday, I expect some volatility, but Mondayās price action will give a clearer direction.
šø Weekly: BTC touched the long-term trendline again ā clear rejection happened. š Until we get a weekly close above 125K, the risk of a major pullback stays high.
šø Daily: Price is inside the 110Kā125K supply zone. Structure is weak. If price breaks and resists below 110K, then 100K is the next target.
š My Trade:
ā First target 105K hit Holding 50% shorts, expecting a bounce to 115K, then lower.
For the last 40 days Iāve been telling you guys Iām bearish on $BTC. We already dropped almost 8K twice, but every time Bitcoin reclaimed the levels again. Right now itās trading around 18K to 119k but nothing has changed for me. Iām still bearish.
Iāve said many times that the 115K to 124K region is a short zone, not a long zone. If youāre still holding longs, Iād strongly suggest you flip to shorts because the chart is flashing multiple top signals.
Donāt get trapped by hype like āBitcoin to 1 million by the end of this year.ā Thatās just noise. The structure is weak, liquidity is being engineered, and the bigger downside move is still ahead.
šØRisk Management 101 for Crypto Trading ā ļøāļø
ā”ļøHey Traders! To succeed in futures trading, strict risk management is essential. Always allocate only 10% of your wallet per trade. Start with 5% on your initial entry and 5% on your secondary entry. For example, if you have $100 in your wallet, limit your investment to $10 per trade (meaning $5 on the first entry and $5 on the second). Sticking to this 10% rule is key!
ā”ļøWhen you reach your target, adjust your stop loss (SL) to the entry price. If further targets are hit (e.g., Target 2 or Target 4), move your SL up to protect those gains. Remember: SL is criticalāanything can happen in crypto, as we've seen with assets like FTT and Luna.
⨠Profit-Taking Strategy: When the first target is reached, book 25% profit, and continue to take incremental profits as you hit each target. If SL hits, no worriesāwe'll recover, but only if you follow the setup consistently.
š Key Binance Futures Risk Management ā To avoid significant losses, follow this margin formula:
3x leverage: Use 18% of your margin 5x leverage: Use 15% of your margin 10x leverage: Use 10% of your margin 15x leverage: Use 5% of your margin 20x leverage: Use 4% of your margin 25x leverage: Use 3% of your margin 50x leverage: Use 2% of your margin 75x leverage: Use 1% of your margin 100x leverage: Use 1% of your margin āāāāāāš½š½
ā Trade In Discipline Way The People who Follow Discipline,They can make profit 99% Guaranteed ,1% is risk for Market Bad News and volatility
š We are not trading here like gambling.
šI am here for you to guideā¤ļø š“Use 5% of Fund with 10x Leverage š¢1ST Set TP 4 And SL š“Most important thing ā ļøUse Last Price for Short ā ļøUse Mark Price for Long
š“There is two entry in every given signal
ā ļøBuy 50% For 1st Given Entry ā ļøBuy 50% For 2nd Given Entry ā ļøIf said Buy/Sell in market price ,Then Enter in Markets price ā ļøIf said Buy/Sell in Given Entry ,Then Wait for the entry and put limt order to the entries.
ā This can bring your price in Mid price of both Enrty
āSome people enter in Entry 1 with 100% ,that's why when price going towards the Entry Two ,those people get panicked
ā This is call DCA (Doller Cost Average)
āŗRule 1 : In Each TP Book 25% Profit
ā ļøMove Your Stop loss at entry when Tp 1 hit. ā ļøThen when TP2 hit then move stop loss to TP1 š Do It To the last TP
š“Rule 2 : Set TP1 with 25% book profit ā ļøIf TP 2 hit move your stop loss TP1 ā ļøIf TP3 hit move your stop loss TP2 ā”ļøDo It To the last TPs
āŗRule 3 : Use Trailing Stop Loss. If You are busy ā ļøCB ,( call back) rate 0.5% ā ļøActive price TP1 ā ļøUsdt 100% ā ļøuse last price in trailing stop .. not mark price
ā ļøNote:- you can use any rule (method) from these three rules for Profit booking. Understanding the Crypto Lingo: ⢠ATH ā All time high ⢠ATL ā All time low ⢠BEARISH ā An expectation that price is going to decrease ⢠BULLISH ā An expectation that price is going to increase ⢠CMP - Current Market Price ⢠EP - Entry Price ⢠FIAT ā Government-issued currency ⢠FOMO ā Fear of missing out ⢠FUD ā Fear / Uncertainty & Doubt ⢠HODL ā Hold on for dear life ⢠ICO ā Initial coin offering ⢠JOMO ā Joy of missing out ⢠LONG ā Margin bull position ⢠MA - Moving Average ⢠MCAP ā Market Capitalization ⢠MOON ā Continuous upward movement of price ⢠NFT ā Non fungible token ⢠OTC ā Over the counter ⢠PUMP ā Upward price movement ⢠ROI ā Return on investment ⢠SHITCOIN ā A coin with no potential value or use ⢠SHORT ā Margin bear position ⢠SWING ā Zig Zag price movement(Upwards & Downwards) ⢠TA ā Technical Analysis ⢠REKT ā When you have a bad loss ⢠RSI ā Relative Strength Index ⢠WHALE ā Very wealthy trader/Market mover
- Captured Maduro - Threatened Cuba - Threatened Colombia - Threatened Credit card companies - Threatened Institutional home buyers - Captured Russian ships - Threatened Mexico - Annexation proposed for Greenland - Called for Iran intervention - Investigation launched into Powell - Called for 100% tariffs on BRICS nations - Threatened with 25% tariffs on Canada - Called Jerome Powell a jerk - Imposes 10% tariffs on EU - Sued JP Morgan and Jamie Dimon for political debanking - Threatened Canada with 100% tariffs
On 1st Jan, Trump said that his New Year's resolution is "Peace on Earth."
$BTC is currently trading around 89k. It has been nearly five months since I flipped bearish, and my view remains unchanged. I am continuing to hold my short positions.
Why?
Geopolitical Tensions: I expect global instability to rise again, which will likely cause the stock market to drop while Gold and Silver continue their pump.
FOMC Meeting: All eyes are on the Federal Reserve this week. Weāre seeing "insiders" selling non-stop at these levels. š
Right now, BTC is holding the 1W99EMA (around 86,400) quite strongly. However, once we get a candle close below that level, my next target is the 72k region. I have already added to my shorts at 97k and will look to add more if the market provides higher entries as you can see in the chart.
$BTC
Crypto Skull Signal
Ā·
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Bullish
#Bitcoin Sunday Update
$BTC continues to respect the weekly structure. The rejection from the 1W 99 EMA played out as expected, confirming it as a major resistance zone.
A push toward the 99k to 100k area, or even a brief sweep slightly above, remains structurally possible before any deeper downside. However, my higher timeframe outlook stays bearish, with downside targets below 72k in the coming months. I remain strongly bearish on both stocks and Bitcoin.
I added more to my short position around 97k, bringing my average entry close to 104k. Additional short orders are stacked higher and are shared exclusively in the premium channel.
ā ļøWARNING: #SILVER IS FLASHING A SYSTEM RISK SIGNAL... AND THE GAP CAN NO LONGER BE IGNORED šØ
COMEX shows silver near 100 per ounce but that number is no longer real. The physical market has broken away with Japan clearing around 145 the UAE near 165 and China around 140. A forty to sixty percent spread is not a discount. It is a signal that the paper market has detached from reality.
Physical demand is overwhelming supply. Solar manufacturers are consuming annual output China is tightening exports and strategic reserves are at historic lows. The cheap price is only for paper claims that depend on trust in a system losing credibility.
The reason the gap does not close is simple. Banks that dominate paper trading are heavily short. If silver snaps to the real clearing zone near 130 to 150 the losses on those positions Would be massive and would hit balance sheets instantly. Tier one capital ratios would weaken and stress would show up across the system. This is not active price discovery. It is survival mode.
Physical buyers are quietly removing silver from vaults while banks keep issuing synthetic exposure. Real metal leaves the system while paper claims multiply. As registered inventory drops each withdrawal increasses the pressure. When the vaults reach a critical threshold the paper price becomes irrelevant and the market reprices to physical instantly.
This is not ordinary manipulation. It is a structural warning that solvency risk is building in the background. If the squeeze accelerates silver can reprice violently and spill into other risk markets including crypto. Movements in hard assets often lead funding stress and $BTC reacts quickly when liquidity tightens.
A Ponzi scheme is a fraud where early investors are paid āreturnsā directly from deposits of new investors. There is no business, no external value. The operator promises profits, recycles incoming money, and the whole thing collapses once inflows dry up āļø
šÆ Markets are different. Profits come from buying low and selling high in open exchange. There is no promise of payout, only voluntary trades at agreed prices.
š¤ Bitcoin and Ethereum fall into this second category. They are assets with open markets. Early buyers made money because later buyers valued them higher, just like with equities or real estate. That dynamic is speculation, not fraud.
š¤·āāļø Even meme coins and rugs are not Ponzis. They are bad assets with no fundamental value. Early insiders dump on later buyers, but there is no operator promising fixed returns from new deposits. That makes them pump-and-dumps, not Ponzis.
The distinction is clear. Ponzi = guaranteed returns paid from new money. Markets = open price discovery where some win and some lose āļø