ethcorporatereserves

$BTC
wiping out much of its 2025 gains.
This drop is being linked to weakening investor sentiment, with macro risks (like uncertainty over U.S. interest rates) weighing heavily.
Several institutional players are reportedly exiting positions, adding to the downward pressure.
2. Whale Accumulation
Despite the drop, “whale” wallets (those holding 1,000+ BTC) are showing renewed activity, hitting a four-month high.
This suggests that large players may view the current levels as a strategic entry point.
3. Seasonality: November Bias
Historically, November has been a strong month for Bitcoin. On average, BTC has posted ~40%+ gains in Novembers, although the median return is more modest.
This historical pattern is fueling bullish hopes for a rebound, possibly toward $125K–$134K, according to some analysts.
4. Risk Scenario
If the $90,000 support breaks convincingly, BTC could dip lower, potentially toward $75,000, as some market watchers suggest.
Technical indicators (e.g., RSI) are signaling oversold conditions, but momentum remains fragile.
5. Long-Term Models
A more aggressive forecast from a quantile-regression model projects a $275,000 cycle top around November 2025 — though this is a high-end, less-likely scenario.
On-chain and ETF-related flows are being closely watched; if institutional money returns strongly, that could support a major rally.
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✅ Outlook
Base Case: We may see consolidation in the $85K–$95K range while the market digests macro risks.
Bull Case: If whales continue to accumulate and ETFs draw fresh inflows, a November rebound targeting $125K+ could play out.
Bear Case: A sustained break below $90K might trigger deeper downside toward $75K–$80K if risk-off sentiment dominates.
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Let me know if you want a chart-based technical forecast (with support/resistance levels + trade scenarios) or analysis on on-chain data too.$BTC

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⭐ Table of Contents
Could the Cycle Still Continue?
Coinglass shows no signs of a market top yet.Indicators like funding rates remain in a neutral zone.Current cycle may still have room for upward momentum.
According to the latest data from Coinglass, none of the major bull market peak indicators have been triggered in the current crypto cycle. This suggests that the market has not yet reached the kind of overheated conditions that typically mark the top of a bull run.
($BTC ,$ETH )
Historically, a bull market peak is accompanied by extreme funding rates, skyrocketing open interest, and a surge in retail investor participation. So far, these metrics remain in a balanced or moderate range. This implies that while prices may have risen significantly from recent lows, the kind of investor euphoria that usually signals a market top hasn’t arrived.
What Coinglass Metrics Are Telling Us
Coinglass, a leading crypto data analytics platform, tracks several real-time indicators that traders and analysts use to spot potential tops in market cycles. These include:
Funding Rates: Still hovering near neutral, showing no sign of excessive long positions.Open Interest: Growing steadily but not spiking abnormally.Liquidation Levels: Remaining within normal ranges.
These data points reflect a market that is active, but not yet in a bubble phase. It offers room for further growth without immediate risk of a sharp reversal.
Coinglass shows no signs of a market top yet.Indicators like funding rates remain in a neutral zone.Current cycle may still have room for upward momentum.
Could the Cycle Still Continue?
With bull market peak indicators showing no major red flags, many analysts believe the current market has more upside potential. The absence of excessive speculation and leverage suggests that this rally may be healthier and more sustainable than previous ones.
Still, investors are advised to proceed with caution, as sentiment can shift quickly in the crypto space. While there may be room to grow, it’s essential to stay informed and monitor key indicators as the market evolves.
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