ENCRYPTION TAG

On this very day, February 9, 2011, Bitcoin reached $1 for the first time in its history

A simple moment on the charts, yet it marked the beginning of an epic story filled with beautiful, unforgettable memories

I still remember those early days vividly. Bitcoin was still a strange, fringe idea — a project born among a small group of cryptography enthusiasts and freedom seekers. The BitcoinTalk forums buzzed with passionate discussions, and people were trading the digital currency for almost nothing

Then came that historic day: February 9. Suddenly, Bitcoin was worth one real dollar. Many felt that something had changed forever. Someone posted in the forum: “Today we celebrate! Let’s raise a glass to Bitcoin hitting the dollar!” Congratulations spread like wildfire.For me personally, that moment was a turning point. I had only heard about Bitcoin a few months earlier from a friend who called it “digital gold” I read Satoshi’s whitepaper, then started mining a few coins on an old, noisy computer that ran fan-first all night. When I saw the price touch $1, I felt a mix of awe and pride. I wrote in my little notebook: “Today I own something worth a dollar… but more importantly, it represents an idea.” That memory remains crystal clear, as if it happened yesterday.The months that followed felt like a whirlwind of beautiful memories

In May 2011, the price climbed to $8, then soared to nearly $30 in June. We sat glued to screens, watching candlestick charts, cheering with every spike

I remember spending entire nights in chat rooms talking to people from all over the world, sharing stories: one person bought Bitcoin for a few dollars just to test the concept, another sold some to buy a new laptop

The community felt like a small, tight-knit family full of hope and excitement.Of course, the journey wasn’t all smooth

After the June peak, the price crashed to under $3 by the end of the year

Big losses, doubts, and even media headlines declaring “Bitcoin is dead

” But in those tough moments, it was the beautiful memories that kept us going

I recall going back to read old threads from 2010 and 2011, laughing at our wildly optimistic predictions, and telling each other: “Remember when $1 felt like a huge milestone? Now we’re dreaming of much bigger numbers

”Over the years, the memories piled up like unbreakable layers on the blockchain

The first time I bought something real with Bitcoin (a small coffee in 2013), witnessing our first halving together in 2012 and watching the price surge afterward, the collective joy when it crossed $1,000 in 2013, then $20,000 in 2017, and eventually over $100,000 in recent years. Every major milestone brought us back to that first moment in February 2011: the day Bitcoin became “real” in the eyes of the world

Today, exactly 15 years after that historic milestone, we look back with deep gratitude

The beautiful memories aren’t just in the price numbers — they live in the people we met, the discussions that changed how we view money and freedom, the patience we learned, and the unwavering belief that survived every storm

From one dollar on February 9, 2011, to where we stand today, this journey isn’t merely a price chart. It’s a deeply human story of dreams, persistence, and a community that believed in an idea long before the world did.On this day, we raise a virtual glass to everyone who was there from the beginning — and to everyone who joined later

The rest… is history

A beautiful history, filled with memories that will never fade 👏

#BTCMiningDifficultyDrop #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #WhenWillBTCRebound

$BTC

Tether reported $137 BILLION in US Treasury holdings, making the company the 17th largest holder of US debt
Tether takes the capital "invested" in $USDT, lends it to the US government, and collects the yield
Stablecoin holders are effectively "lending" Tether capital at a 0% interest rate, which is then flipped on Treasuries
In just 9 months of 2025, Tether alone reported profits exceeding $10 billion from its stablecoin USDT, an achievement that highlights the unique and highly profitable business model of the company in the world of digital currencies

This figure, officially announced in the Q3 2025 attestation report on October 31, 2025, reflects how Tether has evolved from merely issuing a stablecoin into one of the most profitable private companies in the sector, even surpassing some major traditional banks.How was this possible? The answer lies in the core mechanism of USDT

USDT is issued against deposits of dollars or equivalent assets from users, meaning Tether receives massive amounts of capital without paying any interest on it

The company then invests this capital in safe, highly liquid assets, with the most prominent being U.S. Treasury securities. In the Q3 2025 report, Tether’s holdings of U.S. Treasuries reached approximately $135 billion (direct and indirect), making it the 17th largest holder of U.S. debt globally, surpassing countries such as South Korea. By the end of 2025, these holdings had risen to around $141 billion (approximately $122 billion direct + reverse repurchase agreements), with total reserves reaching $193 billion backing a USDT circulation that exceeded $186 billion.The mechanism is simple yet extremely effective: USDT holders effectively “lend” capital to Tether at 0% interest, because the stablecoin is designed to maintain a $1 value without providing additional returns to holders

Tether exploits this cheap (or free) funding to purchase U.S.Treasuries that generate relatively high annual yields in a high-interest-rate environment (such as the one seen in 2025 due to Federal Reserve policies)

The yield from these Treasuries — along with minor conversion and redemption fees — forms the bulk of the profits. In 2025, the issuance of more than $50 billion in new USDT contributed to expanding this investment base, significantly increasing interest income.Additionally, Tether diversified its reserves to include $17.4 billion in gold (making it one of the largest private gold holders globally), $8.4 billion in Bitcoin, plus an excess reserve of $6.3 billion that exceeds liabilities

This diversification helped enhance stability and profitability, even though the total annual profits for 2025 reached around $10 billion (down from $13 billion in 2024 due to factors such as price volatility in gold and Bitcoin in the final quarter)

This model raises philosophical and economic questions: Does Tether represent a “digital bank” that benefits from trust in the dollar without offering returns to depositors? Users in emerging markets use USDT as an alternative to traditional dollars for remittances and value preservation, while Tether earns billions in interest. Critics see this as a “transfer” of value from holders to the company, while CEO Paolo Ardoino defends the transparency provided through periodic attestation reports from BDO, which confirm full reserve coverage.Ultimately, Tether’s success in 2025 demonstrates how stablecoins have become an integral part of the global financial system

With projections that the stablecoin market will exceed $1 trillion by 2030, and with Tether maintaining over 70% market dominance, its model — investing in safe assets against free funding — appears sustainable as long as confidence in USDT and demand for digital dollars persist

This achievement is not just numbers; it represents a transformation in how wealth is generated in the digital age, where digital reserves become a source of massive profits

🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌

$USDT
$BTC
$ETH
#USDT #Tether #Market_Update

Overnight returns in cryptocurrency refer to price movements that occur when US equity markets are closed (4:00 PM to 9:30 AM EST) ,Unlike traditional markets that close, crypto markets operate 24/7, making this analysis particularly interesting

The data reveals striking differences:

Bitcoin overnight returns: +48 basis points average

Bitcoin intraday returns: -2 basis points average

Ethereum overnight returns: +48 basis points average

Ethereum intraday returns: -2 basis points average

For comparison, equity overnight returns during the same period averaged only +4 basis points versus +2 basis points intraday

Historical Performance Analysis ⬇️

⬆️ Overnight Crypto Returns ⬆️

The subsample stability test reveals important insights about this anomaly’s persistence. While 2017’s crypto boom dominates the overall statistics, the overnight advantage continues throughout different market cycles:

Bull markets (2020): Gains shared between day and night

Bear markets (2022): Losses shared between day and night

Recent period (2022-2025): Night returns clearly dominate ⬇️

⬆️ Bitcoin overnight returns ⬆️

The Weekend Effect in Crypto
One of the most striking aspects of the crypto overnight anomaly is its amplification during weekends – the weekend effect

Weekend overnight returns generate 3-4 times the returns of weekday overnight periods ⬇️

⬆️ Weekend Bitcoin overnight returns ⬆️

This pattern differs significantly from the historical equity overnight effect, which was also weekend-dominated but to a lesser degree

When the equity overnight effect diminished post-2009, much of the decline was attributed to the disappearance of weekend premiums

Daily Patterns Within the Week
The analysis reveals complex intraweek patterns:

Wednesday and Thursday nights: Significantly smaller overnight returns

Tuesday and Thursday: Lower intraday returns drive overall weekly averages

Weekend periods: Consistently strong overnight performance
Why Does This Anomaly Exist?

US Market Dominance Theory
Despite cryptocurrency’s global nature, several factors suggest US market influence:

Trading volume patterns: Most crypto trading occurs during US market hours

Correlation with equities: Crypto and equity markets show increasing correlation

Institutional adoption: Growing US institutional participation in crypto markets

The data from Uniswap (a major decentralized exchange) shows trading activity peaks during NYSE operating hours, supporting the theory that US markets drive crypto price discovery

Market Microstructure Considerations

Unlike the failed equity overnight ETFs that suffered from:

High transaction costs from twice-daily portfolio turnover
Diminishing anomaly strength post-2008

Timing and execution challenges
Crypto markets offer potential advantages:

Lower transaction costs on major exchanges

24/7 trading eliminates timing issues

Stronger and more persistent anomaly

Practical Implementation Considerations

Transaction Costs and Execution
Key factors for potential implementation:

Exchange selection: Major exchanges like Binance offer competitive fees

Execution timing: 24/7 markets eliminate the timing issues that plagued equity strategies

Position sizing: Crypto volatility requires careful risk management

Tax implications: Frequent trading may have tax consequences

Future Outlook and Sustainability
Potential Risks to the Anomaly
Several factors could threaten the sustainability of crypto overnight returns:

Increased arbitrage: As awareness grows, arbitrageurs may eliminate the anomaly

Market maturation: Crypto markets may become more efficient over time

Regulatory changes: New regulations could alter trading patterns

Institutional adoption: Greater institutional presence might reduce anomalies

Market Evolution Considerations
The crypto market’s rapid evolution means patterns observed today may not persist:

Liquidity improvements: Better liquidity could reduce overnight premiums

Global adoption: Increased global trading might diminish US influence

Technology changes: New trading technologies could alter market microstructure

Conclusion: A Viable but Risky Opportunity

The overnight crypto return anomaly presents a compelling trading opportunity that appears more robust than its failed equity counterpart. With average overnight returns of +48 basis points versus -2 basis points intraday for both Bitcoin and Ethereum, the effect is both economically and statistically significant.

Key Success Factors:

Lower transaction costs compared to equity strategies
24/7 market access eliminates timing issues

Strong weekend effect amplifies returns

Persistent across different market cycles

Critical Risks:

High volatility requires careful position sizing

Anomaly could disappear as markets mature

Regulatory risks in evolving crypto landscape

Past performance doesn’t guarantee future results
For traders considering this approach, remember that while the historical data is compelling, cryptocurrency markets are inherently volatile and unpredictable

Any strategy should be thoroughly backtested, properly risk-managed, and represent only a portion of a diversified trading portfolio

The overnight crypto anomaly may represent a genuine market inefficiency, but like all trading strategies, it requires careful implementation and constant monitoring for signs of decay

As Eric Falkenstein noted in his original analysis, this pattern was discovered recently and deserves further investigation before drawing definitive conclusions about its long-term viability

🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌

#BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #WhenWillBTCRebound #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold

$BTC

⬆️ As shown above, Monday stands out as the clear winner with an average daily return of 0.51%

This means that buying Bitcoin at the close on Sunday and holding it until the close on Monday has historically been the most profitable 24-hour period

Here is the average return per day of the week ⬇️

⬆️ This anomaly has often been referred to as part of the “Weekend Effect” — a well-documented phenomenon in both stock and crypto markets

The theory is that traders digest news and events over the weekend, and by Monday, market reactions are triggered, pushing prices upward.

Several potential reasons support this:

Lower liquidity on weekends:

Crypto markets operate 24/7, but fewer traders participate during weekends, leading to sluggish or erratic price action

Institutional activity resumes on Monday: When professional investors return on Monday, their buying may drive up prices

Retail psychology: Many retail traders and investors tend to act after the weekend when they have more time to analyze the market.
While the exact cause is hard to pinpoint, the pattern has been consistent for over a decade

Discover why Monday stands out as the most profitable day to buy Bitcoin—based on 11 years of historical performance ⬇️

How to Use This Data in Practice

Knowing the best day of the week to buy Bitcoin isn’t just an interesting statistic — it can inform actual trading and investment strategies

Here are three key takeaways:

Timing matters: Even in a long-term investment like Bitcoin, short-term timing can influence your returns

Buy Sunday evening (UTC time): Since the daily return is measured from close to close, entering the market late Sunday aligns you with Monday’s historically strong gains

Avoid Thursday entries: Historically, Thursday has shown the weakest performance, averaging only 0.07% — barely positive

This kind of Bitcoin day-of-week analysis is often used by algorithmic traders to build rules-based strategies

Are Some Days Better Than Others for Holding Bitcoin?
Beyond buying, some days offer better performance just for holding

While Monday leads in returns, Wednesdays and Fridays also show relatively strong average returns ⬇️

⬆️ Wednesday: +0.26%
⬆️ Friday: +0.25%

These may be ideal days to hold — or avoid selling — if you’re planning short-term exits

Conversely, if you’re looking to rebalance your crypto portfolio, doing so mid-week might yield better outcomes than early or late week

What About Saturdays and Sundays?

Despite crypto trading 24/7, weekend returns are surprisingly weak

Sunday in particular offers just +0.04%, making it the least favorable day for gains

Interestingly, this contrasts with some other asset classes where weekend gaps or closures affect behavior

Bitcoin’s price, though fluid, may reflect lower trading volume and investor interest during off-hours, causing weaker trends

Surprising Twist : Bitcoin Performs Better Early in the Week

What may surprise many is that early-week returns consistently outperform the rest of the week. In fact, if you simply divide the week in two:

Monday–Wednesday: +0.87% combined

Thursday–Sunday: +0.56% combined

This pattern isn’t just noise — it highlights a potential psychological or behavioral pattern across market participants

If you’re dollar-cost averaging into Bitcoin, consider skewing your purchases earlier in the week

Can This Pattern Change Over Time?

Yes ,Just like any market anomaly, the best day of the week to buy Bitcoin may evolve as more traders recognize and act on the pattern

Crypto markets are young and heavily influenced by narratives, sentiment, and macroeconomic factors

What’s worked historically doesn’t guarantee future performance — but it’s still a statistically sound edge worth knowing

A good rule of thumb: track your own entries and see how they align with these findings over time

🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌

$BTC
#WhenWillBTCRebound #BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold #bitcoin

This week is considered one of the most important weeks in the American financial market during February 2026, as it witnesses the release of a set of major economic data, some of which were delayed due to a recent short-term government shutdown. These data include the December retail sales report, the January jobs report, initial jobless claims, January existing home sales, and most importantly the January CPI inflation index, in addition to five Federal Reserve speaker events. All these elements will directly affect expectations for monetary policy, the path of interest rates, and investment decisions in stocks, bonds, and currencies.The week begins ⬇️

⬆️ on Monday (approximately February 9) with the release of December retail sales data, which was delayed due to the government shutdown. Retail sales represent a crucial indicator of the strength of consumer spending, which constitutes about 70% of U.S. GDP. Estimates indicate an increase of approximately 0.5-0.6% month-over-month, with special focus on core sales (excluding cars and fuel) to measure underlying trends. If the data comes stronger than expected, it reinforces the idea that the economy remains strong despite previously elevated interest rates, which may reduce the chances of an imminent rate cut. However, if it comes weak, it may reflect a slowdown in consumption due to inflation pressures and high rates, thereby supporting expectations for faster rate cuts. This report follows the holiday shopping season, so it will have a significant impact on assessing the resilience of the American consumer ⬇️

⬆️ On Wednesday (approximately February 11), the January jobs report (Nonfarm Payrolls) is released, which is one of the most important economic reports ever. It was also delayed due to the government shutdown, and it is expected to show the addition of about 80-100 thousand jobs only, compared to December’s relatively weak numbers (around 50 thousand). The unemployment rate is expected to remain stable near 4.4-4.5%. This report is considered a “double blow” alongside inflation later, because it determines the strength of the labor market. If it comes strong (more than 150 thousand jobs with elevated wage growth), it will indicate that the economy does not need additional monetary support, thereby strengthening the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance. But if it is weak, it may increase pressure on the Fed to cut rates in upcoming meetings, especially with the noticeable slowdown in hiring in recent months

⬆️ On Thursday (approximately February 12), two important releases arrive: initial jobless claims and January existing home sales. Initial jobless claims are released weekly and provide an immediate glimpse into the health of the labor market; around 230-235 thousand claims are expected, and any noticeable increase heightens slowdown concerns

As for existing home sales (from NAR), they are expected to be around 4.2-4.35 million units annually. The housing market is suffering from high mortgage interest rates, which reduces activity, but any improvement may signal the beginning of a recovery with expectations of lower rates

These two releases complete the picture of the labor market and housing, and influence expectations for overall economic growth ⬇️

⬆️ On Friday (approximately February 13), the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January is released, which is the most impactful data point this week

Estimates indicate a monthly increase of 0.3%, and an annual rate of around 2.5-2.7%, with core CPI (excluding food and energy) close to 2.5%. Inflation has recently stabilized after declining from its 2022 peak, but the Fed is waiting for additional evidence of a sustainable return to the 2% target. If inflation comes higher than expected, especially in core components, it will reduce the probability of a rate cut in March or April, and may push markets to price in a slower cutting cycle. But if it is low, it strengthens expectations for an imminent cut, supporting stocks and gold while pressuring the dollar ⬇️

⬆️ In addition to this data, there are five Federal Reserve speaker events during the week, making monetary communication (forward guidance) pivotal. The speakers usually include members such as Waller, Bostic, Hammack, Logan, and others (such as Miran or Cook in some events). Their statements will focus on assessing incoming data, especially jobs and inflation, and the need to adjust policy. If they indicate caution (due to persistent inflation or a strong labor market), it will be negative for risk assets. But if they appear optimistic about inflation slowing, they may support positive expectations.Overall, this week is decisive in determining the path of monetary policy in 2026
The delayed data makes interaction with them more intense, and markets are extremely sensitive to any deviation from expectations. Investors are watching how the Fed reacts to this combined picture: is the economy strong enough to withstand higher rates for longer, or is the slowdown accelerating and requiring faster intervention? The answer will determine market trends for the coming weeks 🤔

#WarshFedPolicyOutlook #ADPDataDisappoints #DPWatch #Fed $ETH
$BTC
$BNB

The debate over whether the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates again soon rests partly on a number that no one knows: the neutral rate of interest

It’s the rate at which the Fed has a neutral impact on the economy—neither restraining growth with high interest rates nor stimulating it with cheap borrowing. The Fed hasn’t been there in years, having slashed rates to near-zero during COVID, then hiked them above 5% when inflation spiked

Today, rates are closer to more normal levels. After six rate cuts in 2024 and 2025, the Fed's benchmark rate is now between 3.5% to 3.75%. But how close the Fed is to neutral—or whether it’s already there—will help determine whether the central bank may cut rates again.

The uncertainty over that number may make the Fed a bit more careful in the meantime, so it doesn’t inadvertently push below the neutral rate and rekindle inflation with unnecessary stimulus ⬇️

The Fed always moves more cautiously when rates are close to a neutral setting,” wrote Michael Pearce, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics

It’s a debate that’s set to continue after President Donald Trump’s nominee for Fed chair, Kevin Warsh, joins the central bank ⬇️

The current Fed chair, Jerome Powell, spoke directly on the uncertainty at his press conference last month. His message: rates aren’t so high that the economy is weakening significantly, but beyond that, it’s difficult to say.

It's hard to look at the incoming data and say that policy's significantly restrictive at this time,” Powell said. “It may be sort of loosely neutral, or it may be somewhat restrictive; it's in the eye of the beholder. And of course, no one knows with any precision.”

After three cuts last year, he said, the Fed is “well-positioned here to watch how the economy forms” and “let the data speak to us.”

The years between 2008 and 2020 were abnormal in many economists’ view. Despite interest rates being at ultra-low levels, the crisis-scarred economy never gained much steam

Inflation was mostly below the Fed’s 2% target—prices were so stubbornly subdued that it suggested structural weaknesses in the economy

“The current era has been characterized by much lower neutral interest rates, disinflationary pressures, and slower growth,” Powell said in a 2019 speech ⬇️

Now inflation is closer to 3% and may be stickier than in recent memory, which could drive up interest rates to compensate for rising prices. Global supply chains are being reworked, whether from post-COVID shifts or tariffs, and the impact on prices is uncertain.

Even more unclear is whether artificial intelligence will lower or raise interest rates. Perhaps it’ll make the economy far more productive, but it could also pose major disruptions to the job market

When demand is too hot and inflation is rising, the Fed aims to restrict the economy and sets interest rates above neutral. If the economy is faltering, the Fed gives it an extra push with lower interest rates and thus accommodates for growth.

But since Fed officials define neutral differently, they also split on when they’ve struck the right balance

Take St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem. Last month, he said he supports keeping rates at between 3.5% to 3.75% since “this setting is neutral” and thus appropriate for an economy that seems on track

With inflation above target and the risks to the outlook evenly balanced, I believe it would be unadvisable to lower the rate into accommodative territory at this time,” Musalem said, though he added he’d support cutting “if further signs of labor market weakness emerge.”

By contrast, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said this month the neutral is perhaps one or two rate cuts away

But he also said he didn’t pencil in any rate cuts for this year, since the economy’s current strength raises the risk of inflation persisting.

“I think we have so much momentum in the economy that we need to keep our policy rate in a mildly restrictive stance,” Bostic said, adding that “this is a time to be patient.”

And still others think the economy is a bit weaker—thus calling for less restrictiveness. Fed Governor Chris Waller, who voted in the minority to cut rates last month, said last year’s jobs data was “very weak.”

Despite three rate cuts last year, Fed policy is “still restricting economic activity” and rates “should be closer to neutral.” He pointed to Fed officials’ median neutral estimate of 3%, still below the current Fed benchmark rate of 3.5% to 3.75%.

I favored reducing the policy rate to strengthen the labor market and guard against a deterioration that would be harder to address once it has begun,” Waller said

🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌

$BTC
$ETH
$WLD
#BitcoinGoogleSearchesSurge #RiskAssetsMarketShock #WarshFedPolicyOutlook #Fed

⬆️ Jeffrey Epstein's SHOCKING 2016 email just dropped in the DOJ's massive 3M-file dump!

More than one Satoshi exists!

He's pitching a "Sharia" fiat currency stamped with "In God We Trust" for Middle Eastern Muslims

Epstein's chatting with Saudi royals about teaming up with unnamed "Bitcoin founders" to build this ⬇️

⬆️ Jeffrey has ONLY a $3m investment in Coinbase in 2014 while the EpsteinFiles reveal he had A $30m EQUITY POSITION !!!

Jeffrey Epstein, the recent Epstein Files released by the US Department of Justice revealed startling details about his investments in the world of digital currencies. In 2014, Epstein invested just $3 million in Coinbase ⬇️

⬆️ One of Jeffrey Epstein’s wallets is down 5% to a messily $72,485,000,000

Recent reports revealed that one of Jeffrey Epstein's investment portfolios saw a 5% decline, bringing its value down to $72,485,000,000 (approximately $72.5 billion)

This drop comes amid financial and crypto market volatility, even though Epstein's known personal wealth at his 2019 death was only around $600 million

The massive figure raises questions about the nature of this portfolio – is it tied to secret investments or assets managed on behalf of others? The story adds another layer of mystery to Epstein's controversial legacy ⬇️

⬆️ The newly released Jmail archives reveal a 2014 email that functions as a literal roadmap to becoming untouchable by any government on Earth 🔚

1 _EXIT THE BANK (Bitcoin)
2 _EXIT THE MAP (Farkas/Islands)
3 _EXIT THE GRID (Wyler/Satellites)
4 _EXIT THE SPECIES (Gene Bank)

The Breakdown ⬇️

_ Decentralized Finance: Epstein was a "hidden hand" funding Bitcoin Core developers via MIT. He sought a financial "black box" for un-seizable capital

_ Physical Sovereignty: Partnering with billionaire Andrew Farkas on the American Yacht Harbour gave him a private Caribbean gateway to his islands—territory where domestic laws didn't apply.

_Independent Infrastructure: By tracking Greg Wyler’s satellite constellations, Epstein was eyeing a global internet that bypassed national fiber-optic cables and censorship 🤔

_The Endgame: The "Model Gene Bank" was his plan to use this offshore, high-tech sanctuary to experiment with human evolution and eugenics away from ethical regulations

This wasn't just a "watchlist." It was a design for a life above the law ⬆️

🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌

#satoshiNakamato #RiskAssetsMarketShock #bitcoin

🔚 We are now back at pre election prices and sentiment feels like nonstop selling ,What if I told you this bear market is basically over already ,Weekly RSI is below 30, which historically only happens near major cycle bottoms, While price can continue lower even after RSI climbs back above 30, this is not the time to be looking for shorts or panic selling spot. It is quite literally the opposite ,Considering how quickly price has declined, over 50 percent off the highs, this bear market will likely be much shorter in time than usual ↩️⬇️

We have the 200W SMA sitting near $58K, along with multiple support layers into the 50Ks and even the 40Ks. On the monthly, the 50M SMA is near $57K, and the lower monthly Bollinger band is near $54K, a level BTC has never traded below in its entire existence. With this in mind, downside is becoming extremely limited. Without limit orders, it will be nearly impossible to buy the true bottom given the volatility ↩️⬇️

⬆️ Moving away from BTC priced in USD, look at BTC priced in real money, gold. Bitcoin priced in gold made its ATH in December 2024 and has failed to make a new high since. It has been in a steady downtrend for roughly 14 months assuming February closes red. Historically, bear markets in BTC priced in gold last around 13 to 14 months and have never extended beyond that. This suggests February should mark the final month of this downtrend, at least in BTC vs gold terms. There is a possibility BTC continues lower in USD, but that would likely imply gold underperforms BTC for the remainder of 2026.

⬆️ Structurally, BTC is also forming an extremely similar pattern to Google after its 2021 top. Google had a brutal 45 percent drawdown in 2022, then recovered into 2024 and consolidated at its 2021 highs. BTC had a deeper drawdown of around 70 percent, but also recovered to its 2021 highs and consolidated for roughly 7 months before breaking out. Google made new highs earlier than BTC, then saw a 23 percent correction that held just above the previous highs, similar to BTC’s April tariff crash that bottomed near $74K. After that pullback, Google went on to make new highs. Google then broke below its 50W SMA, fell back into the 2021 highs region, briefly wicked near the 200W SMA, and then entered full price discovery. BTC is now in the same phase, having lost the 50W SMA and pulling back into the 2021 highs zone while approaching the 200W SMA. Structurally, this is the same final shakeout before continuation that Google experienced

⬆️ As mentioned earlier, BTC has never traded below the lower monthly Bollinger band at $54K, and I believe that acts as a hard floor, even if price briefly deviates below the 200W SMA, which happens in nearly every bear cycle. This also aligns with a potential regime change at the Fed in 2026, with rate cuts and liquidity expansion likely. Money will be printed, money supply will increase, the Fed balance sheet will expand, and liquidity will flow into risk assets. I say risk assets loosely, because we have seen multiple double digit daily moves in gold and silver, assets people like to call safe havens.

Bottom line, this is not the time to be bearish. Liquidity conditions heavily favor upside over the medium term. Many OG holders have already exited, we are now back at price levels where institutions and governments are far more comfortable accumulating, and a large portion of the market has already capitulated. More may still capitulate, but that is exactly how bottoms are formed.

Is the bottom in at $60K? I have no idea and I am not trying to time it perfectly. All I know is we are in deep value territory, and this is where DCA makes sense on quality assets. I would not be surprised if this phase is where the crypto market matures and weak projects with no fundamentals get washed out, with liquidity rotating into assets that actually have real use cases. I am not trying to time a bottom in SOL either, because BTC will heavily dictate Solana’s direction, and I will be DCA’ing into both at the same time.

To summarize, we are down over 50 percent from the highs, reaching major long term support levels including the 200W SMA, lower monthly Bollinger band, 2021 highs, and the prior 8 month consolidation range. We are at historic bear market oversold levels on RSI, macro conditions point toward easing and growth rather than contraction, and BTC vs gold historical bear market timing of 13 to 14 months all suggest we are extremely close to a major bottom 👌
If you are buying garbage, I cannot help you ,But smart money is getting ready to load heavy on BTC, SOL, BNB ,and a few other high quality names here 👌
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌

$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
#MarketCorrection #RiskAssetsMarketShock #JPMorganSaysBTCOverGold