橙子研究院

【TSLA Launching Binance Perpetual Contract, What Does It Mean?】

Summary in One Sentence:
Binance is not 'launching a new contract', but is bringing US stocks into the crypto financial system.

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1️⃣ What is the essence?

TSLAUSDT Perpetual ≠ Buying Stocks
It's a derivative that trades Tesla's price fluctuations 24/7 using USDT,
without a US stock account, no trading time restrictions, and can be leveraged.

👉 Stock prices have entered the perpetual system of the crypto world.

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2️⃣ What does it mean for the market?

This is a signal of the times:
• Crypto exchanges are becoming the global entry point for derivatives
• The crypto world no longer only trades BTC, ETH, but also accommodates traditional asset fluctuations
• In the future, it won't just be TSLA; tech stocks, indices, and ETFs may also enter

Essence: The crypto market is undergoing 'financialization upgrade', not just speculating on new narratives.

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3️⃣ Is it a boon or a risk for retail investors?

A double-edged sword.

Benefits:
• Extremely low threshold, you can participate with 5 USDT
• Round-the-clock trading, efficiency surpassing US stocks
• Familiar perpetual contract gameplay

Risks:
• You are trading 'prices', not 'companies'
• Leverage + 24/7 = Risk amplifier
• News and funding rates will continuously eat into your profits

👉 More suitable for those who understand risk management, not for those who blindly go long or short.

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4️⃣ How should seasoned investors view this?

In 2017 we bet on trends,
In 2021 we bet on narratives,
Now we need to learn to bet on structure and arbitrage.

The significance of TSLA Perpetual is not about 'can it make money',
but rather:
The crypto world is becoming an extension layer of traditional finance, not an opposition.

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5️⃣ Conclusion in one sentence

TSLA Perpetual is not a bull market signal,
it is a milestone marking the official entry of the crypto market into the 'global financial derivatives era'.

#特斯拉 #TSLA $BTC

【4 hours is not strong, but the market is quietly gathering strength】

From the current structure, the 4-hour level cannot be regarded as a strong bullish rebound, and the bullish momentum remains weak. Therefore, the main focus will be on two evolutionary paths:

First situation:
The price retraces on the current 4-hour level but does not create a new low, thus forming a new secondary buying structure. The market is expected to continue in line with this, continuing the upward wave at the 4-hour level.

Second situation:
The 4-hour level again dips and refreshes the previous low, which is the downward structure extension mentioned in the previous live broadcast. However, it is important to note that even if a downward extension occurs, the subsequent focus will still be on the upward wave at the 4-hour level as the main direction.

Operation situation: partial position for T trading, leaving a portion of the position

#BTC走势分析 $ETH $BTC

【Silver has gone completely crazy this month with a 60%+ increase, while ETH remains stagnant: It turns out I bought an 'emotion-stabilizing coin'】

Has silver really gone completely insane?
A 10% increase in one day, almost 60%+ in a month; as a veteran from 2017 in the crypto space, I can't make sense of it.
Gold and silver are hitting new highs every day, yet my ETH feels like it's welded to the floor—truly, everything is rising except for my coin 😭

But if you think about it calmly, the logic isn't complicated:
This surge in gold and silver is fundamentally not about being bullish on the economy, but rather bearish on the future.
High global debt + expectations of interest rate cuts + recurring geopolitical conflicts mean that money is avoiding risk assets and must flow into hard inflation hedges.
Gold is a safe haven, silver has safe haven + industrial properties + lower liquidity, and when it starts to flow, it skyrockets.

As for ETH?
I can only say—the narrative hasn't reached it yet.
Veterans know: it's not that it's not coming, it's just still on the road.
Stay alive first, don't get shaken off the ride.

$ETH #黄金 #Silver

【The daily line is still falling, but BTC is about to surge to 95,000?】

The post from the day before yesterday indicated: On the daily level, the overall trend is still running in the downward wave indicated by the red segment, and the trend has not completely reversed. However, in the short-term structure, there is a secondary level of rebound, corresponding to the "2 sell" rebound in the theory of cycles.

Currently, BTC's four-hour divergence has been signaled, the car door is open, and those who have already boarded should not jump off early.

$ETH #BTC走势分析

Gold hits a new historical high,
bride price directly follows the trend of bulk commodities.

BTC 90,000 USD,
digital gold only allows me to look at the K-line.

Reality tells me one truth:
whether it's physical gold or digital gold,
I am not the target customer.

So the conclusion is very clear——
single dog 🐶 bag,
is currently my lowest risk, least drawdown strategy 😂

#黄金 $BTC #BTC

【Contracts are harvesting emotions, spot is testing its lifespan】

ETH really has me questioning life this time.
The profits I finally made last time,
are basically being returned now.

I added positions at 2890 and 2839,
felt very rational while doing it,
now there's only one feeling left: numbness.

BTC is experiencing a slight drop,
altcoins are suffering losses,
ETH is also crashing,
it's slowly draining your patience and emotions.

Recently, those looking at contracts,
every one can endure more than the last,
Little Z is enduring positions to the point of not being fully conscious.
But to be honest—
contracts are really not something ordinary people should touch.

Only people like Big Brother Ma Ji😂
with infinite backup, infinite bullets, infinite liquidation,
can afford to play this hellish mode.
Money in his hands doesn’t seem like money at all,
I see him getting confused by the market himself.

Looking back at myself,
I’m still honestly stuck in spot trading.
In this market,
I’m not seeking to get rich quickly, just don’t die first.

#BTC $ETH

【The trend has not reversed, but the market has already started to 'give opportunities'】

Updating the current BTC structure from the perspective of Chen theory:

From the four-hour level, the main idea is still to 'make a rebound'.
There are two possible trends, but the strategies are highly consistent:
• First: The price fails to make new highs after two rebounds, then moves into a reverse trend;
• Second: The price makes a new low first, then moves into a reverse trend.

Regardless of which one, the essence is a rebound structure in a downtrend, so the operation focuses on finding rebound opportunities after a retracement, suitable for phased layouts, not chasing highs, not aggressive.

At the daily level, the overall trend is still running in the downtrend wave indicated by the red segment, and the trend has not completely reversed. However, in the short-term structure, there is a secondary rebound trend, corresponding to the '2 sell' rebound in Chen theory.

The first target for the rebound is around 95,000 USD. If sentiment and volume cooperate, the second target is around 98,000 USD.
Overall, the expectation for a rebound still leans towards the 95,000 area, and the specific rhythm and details will be continuously tracked in the posts.

At this stage, patience is more important than direction.

#BTC $BTC #ETH

【Every day there are surges, but I am starving every day】

Every day there are cryptocurrencies surging,
but it seems like they are never in my hands.

I want to ask:
$NOM , $ENSO , do any of you really get to eat these?
Is it a preemptive ambush, or did you just happen to stand guard at the right moment?
Does it only exist in screenshots?

BTC is moving sideways,
the altcoins are wailing.
These coins that suddenly surge,
are they opportunities, or traps prepared for emotions?

I am too thirsty, too hungry.
I want to know how you all catch these surges.

$G

【The market hasn't moved, it's you who is too anxious】

Currently, the market structure remains unchanged, still in a 4-hour level box fluctuation.
Both bulls and bears are repeatedly testing, but no effective breakthroughs or volume signals have appeared yet.

The trend still leans towards the previous blue path, with pullbacks not breaking the previous low, indicating a potential strengthening within the fluctuations, but before stabilizing above 90500, restraint is still necessary.
If it can effectively stabilize later, the market will have the conditions to extend towards around 94500.

Before the direction becomes clear, it is more suitable to control positions and reduce frequency.
During the fluctuation phase, staying alive is more important than judgment.

My order is crazily testing the dog farm 😂

Live broadcast tonight at 21:00, don’t miss it

$BTC #BTC

@CZ Big Brother, my registration time is only 28 days apart from Sister One, but there is indeed a huge gap compared to the first batch of registered users!

Does anyone have friends who registered on Binance in 2017? Come out and show off 😎

【BTC is still hesitating, smart money has already started moving】

From the current structure, the market is more inclined towards the path indicated by the blue line segment, so it may be considered to first layout a portion of the position.

4-hour level:
The trend leans towards the structure of the blue line segment. A pullback at the 4-hour level has not broken the previous low, and it is currently running along the second buy point area. If the subsequent pullback does not refresh the new low, the probability of the market strengthening will significantly increase, and participation in the rebound can be considered in the marked area.

From the perspective of the trend line, BTC has rebounded to near the lower edge of the rising channel, and whether it can successfully stabilize and initiate a continuous rebound is crucial, with 90500 being the key verification point.

Overall, it is still in a 4-hour level box fluctuation, and the direction has not yet been clearly chosen; patiently wait for BTC to give a directional signal.
Personally, I lean towards BTC going near 94500.

Live broadcast tomorrow night at 9 o'clock, don't miss it.

$BTC #ETH trend analysis