Right now, Bitcoin is staying above $75K.
This level matters. A lot.
It’s a weekly support. It was tested recently. What price does here decides the next big move, not the noise on lower timeframes.
On the weekly chart, Bitcoin is now below the 20-week and 50-week moving averages. That’s not ideal. But it also doesn’t mean the trend is dead. These signals often show up after a sharp drop, not before.
From here, there are only two realistic paths.
Scenario 1: $75K holds
If Bitcoin holds the April 2025 low and stays above $75K, then this move down is just a correction.
Nothing more.
That means the bigger structure is still fine. Higher highs, higher lows — still valid. The market just needed to cool off.
Yes, the 20W moving under the 50W looks bearish. But that alone doesn’t start a bear market. What matters now is simple:
Bitcoin must stop making lower lows around this area.
If buyers step in and weekly closes improve, momentum can slowly shift back.
For the bigger trend to fully reset bullish, Bitcoin eventually needs to reclaim the 50-week MA, sitting around $100,400. A clean weekly close above that changes everything.
Key point:
Hold the April low. Show real buying. Build from there.
Scenario 2: April low breaks
This one is straightforward.
If Bitcoin loses the April 2025 low, the structure breaks. No debate.
At that point:
The higher-low structure fails
$75K stops acting as support
If that happens, the market likely looks lower. The $50K–$60K range becomes the next area to watch. That zone makes sense after a move like this. Markets often reset there.
What actually matters now
Forget predictions. Just watch two things:
Does Bitcoin hold $75K on weekly closes?
Does it hold the April 2025 low?
Hold both → upside structure stays alive
Lose both → deeper correction becomes likely
Right now, Bitcoin is sitting right at the line. This is where markets decide direction.
Weekly closes > intraday moves.
#Write2Earn #BTC走势分析 #binance #trading #Market_Update