AndyViz

According to the latest data from CryptoQuant, long-term holders (LTH) — especially those who have held for over 2 years — are making unprecedented large-scale sell-offs in 2024 and 2025. This 'revived supply' of Bitcoin has broken historical records, surpassing even the late 2017 boom.

Difference compared to previous cycles:
Supply quality: Unlike the years 2017 or 2021, which were driven by speculative sentiment and market noise, this sell-off focuses on significantly older coins.

1. Growth vs. Scale
Mainstream Integration: Stablecoins are moving into the financial mainstream, experiencing a "dramatic explosion" in usage.The Global Context: Despite the buzz, Dan Katz (IMF) points out that the $300 billion market cap is still "very, very tiny" compared to the overall global financial system.
2. Financial Inclusion in Emerging Markets
Banking the Unbanked: For the 1.5 billion people globally (including 650 million in Africa) without bank accounts, stablecoins provide essential financial access via smartphones.Inflation Hedge: They allow users in high-inflation regions to save in a stable currency, protecting their wealth from the devaluation of local legal tender.
3. Expanding Use Cases
The utility of stablecoins has evolved beyond crypto trading into practical business applications:
Corporate Finance: Increased use in cross-border trade settlements and trade finance.E-commerce: Major platforms like Stripe and Shopify are now integrating USDC for payment acceptance.
4. Digital Income & The Pandemic Effect
Mass Adoption: In Southeast Asia (Philippines, Indonesia), the COVID-19 pandemic accelerated adoption as people sought "virtual income" after being displaced from traditional labor markets.A Lasting Trend: Experts believe this shift toward digital assets for income and commerce will continue to drive growth.$HANA $BTC

When the currency is inflated (prices of goods rise high, the purchasing power of the currency decreases), banks — especially the Central Bank (CB) — will act as "firefighters" for the economy.
From an economic perspective, they will implement a tight monetary policy to "suck" money from circulation back, reducing the heat of spending demand. Here are specific actions:
1. Increase the operating interest rate (The most important tool)

Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, posits that the CLARITY Act is the primary fundamental driver capable of decisively ending the current "crypto winter." Below are the key takeaways from his analysis: $HANA
Exit Signal for the Bear Market: Hougan views this legislation as the "groundhog" of the industry—a definitive signal that the bear cycle is concluding. If signed into law, the removal of regulatory headwinds in the U.S. could propel Bitcoin and the broader altcoin market toward new All-Time Highs (ATH).Resolution of Regulatory Overlap (SEC vs. CFTC): A cornerstone of the Act is providing a clear taxonomy for digital assets. By demarcating which assets are classified as securities (under SEC jurisdiction) and which are digital commodities (under CFTC oversight), the bill mitigates regulatory uncertainty. This clarity is expected to trigger massive institutional inflows, as fund managers gain a compliant framework for deployment.The Decoupling from the Four-Year Cycle: Hougan suggests that Bitcoin’s traditional four-year halving cycle—historically driven by supply-side shocks—is becoming less relevant. He argues that market dynamics have shifted; price action is now increasingly dictated by institutional adoption and legislative milestones rather than just the halving of miner rewards.Bullish Divergence in Fundamentals: Highlighting a 80% probability of passage on prediction markets (Polymarket), Hougan asserts that Bitcoin’s on-chain fundamentals and macro utility are currently "ahead of the price." This suggests a bullish divergence, where the intrinsic value of the network has yet to be fully priced in by the market.

$BTC

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