Experts claim that the growth of the tax burden may push companies to mass return payments "in envelopes" to maintain profits. According to their estimates, businesses may begin to divert part of the payroll fund into the shadows, which will become one of the key economic threats in 2026.

It is noted that even a "graying" of salaries by 10% can lead to a sharp increase in the deficit in the Social Fund of the Russian Federation, as insurance contributions and revenues to the social support system will decrease.

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